
TOR @ TB




Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 22nd
22/09/24 13:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Rays Series Game 3 Matchup Today
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums.
George Springer has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .302 rate is a fair amount lower than his .356 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to plate discipline, George Springer’s skill is quite good, putting up a 1.86 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.
Tropicana Field projects as the #28 stadium in the game for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Shane Baz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.
In his last GS, Shane Baz was in good form and gave up 2 ER.
Out of all starters, Shane Baz’s fastball velocity of 95 mph grades out in the 86th percentile this year.
Among all starting pitchers, Shane Baz’s fastball spin rate of 2417 rpm is in the 85th percentile this year.
Collectively, Toronto Blue Jays hitters have shined when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), placing 3rd-best in the majors.
When estimating his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95-mph.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 27.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is deflated compared to his 32.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Checking in at the 98th percentile, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has put up a .403 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.418) may lead us to conclude that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year with his .400 actual wOBA.
Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today’s matchup.
Nathan Lukes has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Nathan Lukes has been hot recently, posting a .364 wOBA in the last 14 days.
Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge in today’s game.
Addison Barger has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91.9-mph.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Addison Barger has experienced some negative variance this year. His .270 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .310.
By putting up a 24.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Addison Barger has performed in the 82nd percentile for power.
Alejandro Kirk’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Alejandro Kirk has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past week.
Alejandro Kirk has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 95.5-mph in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.
Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Shane Baz in today’s matchup.
Spencer Horwitz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Spencer Horwitz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.5-mph EV.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Leo Jimenez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Leo Jimenez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .220 rate is a good deal lower than his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Posting a .324 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Leo Jimenez is positioned in the 75th percentile for hitting ability.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.
Shane Baz has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.49 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.34 — a 0.86 K/9 disparity.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball.
Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Rays Series Game 3
The #7 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.
Shane Baz will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Springer today.
George Springer has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 81.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
George Springer’s launch angle this season (8.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 11.8° mark last season.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Shane Baz is projected to throw 83 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least on the slate.
It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Nate Tomlinson) calling pitches in this game.
Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks.
Given the 1.25 difference between Shane Baz’s 3.21 ERA and his 4.46 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and figures to see worse results in the future.
Shane Baz has been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .237 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.
Batting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s matchup.
There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 10.2° to 7° this year.
As it relates to his home run talent, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nathan Lukes today.
In the last two weeks, Nathan Lukes has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Nathan Lukes has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, lifting balls between 23° and 34° just 3.2% of the time in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Addison Barger is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Addison Barger in today’s matchup.
Addison Barger’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (5.4° over the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.5° seasonal mark.
Addison Barger’s 9.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 16th percentile this year.
Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have a disadvantage today.
Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Alejandro Kirk has hit 8.1 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 10th percentile for power.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Horwitz in today’s matchup.
Spencer Horwitz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.
Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Horwitz has had positive variance on his side given the .033 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.
Nathan Lukes has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .329 mark is inflated compared to his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Leo Jimenez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.
Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Leo Jimenez encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Leo Jimenez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
In the last two weeks, Leo Jimenez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.
The #7 park in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.
In the past two weeks, George Springer’s 9.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle recently (1.4° over the last 7 days) is considerably worse than his 7° seasonal angle.
Leo Jimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 90.6-mph seasonal average has fallen to 88.4-mph in the last 14 days.
Posting a 6.02 K/BB rate this year, Addison Barger has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 17th percentile.
Alejandro Kirk has recorded a .273 BABIP this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.
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