
LAA @ HOU






Todays Series Game 4 Matchup Details
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 22nd
22/09/24 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Angels vs Astros Series Game 4 Matchup Today
When estimating his batting average ability, Yainer Diaz is projected as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Yainer Diaz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Yainer Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Yainer Diaz has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 96.9-mph in the last week.
In the past 7 days, Yainer Diaz’s 61.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.5%.
Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 5th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.
Minute Maid Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.
Nolan Schanuel will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today.
When it comes to plate discipline, Nolan Schanuel’s ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.35 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 96th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Spencer Arrighetti in the 84th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.
Recording 93.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Spencer Arrighetti falls in the 81st percentile.
The Los Angeles Angels have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Niko Kavadas, Mickey Moniak, Logan O’Hoppe, Jack Lopez).
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Brian Walsh) calling pitches in this game.
Minute Maid Park projects as the #9 venue in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
When assessing his home run ability, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Minute Maid Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the game for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Over the past 14 days, Logan O’Hoppe’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph in recent games.
Logan O’Hoppe’s launch angle recently (27.2° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 14.9° seasonal angle.
Logan O’Hoppe has been unlucky this year, notching a .298 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .027 deviation.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Among all parks, Minute Maid Park’s LF fences are the shallowest.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In notching a .275 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jeremy Pena has performed in the 86th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Taylor Ward is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
The Barrel% of Taylor Ward has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.3% last year to 13.6% this year.
In the past two weeks, Taylor Ward’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph recently.
Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 17.8% to 22.4%.
Jon Singleton is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Jon Singleton will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The Los Angeles Angels projected offense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Spencer Arrighetti will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Eric Wagaman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Eric Wagaman has been hot lately, compiling a a 13% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) in the past 14 days.
Eric Wagaman has hit one of the hardest balls in the majors over the past week — 111.7-mph — which is a strong measure of recent form and raw power.
Niko Kavadas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Niko Kavadas will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Niko Kavadas’s launch angle lately (58° over the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 26.9° seasonal mark.
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand today.
Yordan Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Yordan Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 44.1% on the season to 50% over the past two weeks.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Zach Neto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Zach Neto has performed at a clip of 24.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 76th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.
Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage today.
Grading out in the 87th percentile, Jose Altuve has notched a .350 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Los Angeles grades out as the #3 group of hitters in the league when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (16.4% rate this year).
When it comes to his home run skill, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Mickey Moniak will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Over the past 7 days, Mickey Moniak’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 16.7%.
Mickey Moniak’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 13.4% on the season to 50% in the last 7 days.
The Houston Astros have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future, Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Griffin Canning in today’s game.
Griffin Canning’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this year (92.8 mph) below where it was last year (94 mph).
Posting a .273 batting average this year, Jeremy Pena finds himself in the 82nd percentile.
Given the 0.82 deviation between Griffin Canning’s 6.82 K/9 and his 7.64 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to see better results the rest of the season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Jake Meyers will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Meyers has been unlucky this year. His .284 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Niko Kavadas in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Alex Bregman’s launch angle lately (33.2° in the past week’s worth of games) is a significant increase over his 18.4° seasonal angle.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Altuve ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jake Meyers’s launch angle lately (29° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his 14.3° seasonal figure.
Nolan Schanuel’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nolan Schanuel has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .254 BA is a good deal lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Over the past week, Eric Wagaman’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 30% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Despite posting a .281 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mickey Moniak has suffered from bad luck given the .024 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.
Negative Match Player Stats with Angels vs Astros Series Game 4
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 10th-worst park in baseball for right-handed BABIP.
Minute Maid Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense.
Hitting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Yainer Diaz will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Today, Yainer Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.4% rate (79th percentile).
Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 21.6% to 11.7%.
When it comes to his home run ability, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Among all stadiums, the 3rd-tallest fences are at Minute Maid Park.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan Schanuel in today’s game.
Nolan Schanuel’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 86-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82-mph over the last 7 days.
Over the last two weeks, Nolan Schanuel’s 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.
Given the 0.92 discrepancy between Spencer Arrighetti’s 10.60 K/9 and his 9.69 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year as it relates to strikeouts and should negatively regress in the future.
Logan O’Hoppe has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage against Logan O’Hoppe in today’s game.
Logan O’Hoppe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
When assessing his home run ability, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.
Griffin Canning will hold the platoon advantage against Mauricio Dubon today.
Jeremy Pena is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.
Batting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Jeremy Pena has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Over the last week, Jeremy Pena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.
In the last week’s worth of games, Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 91.3 mph to 86.3 mph.
Gustavo Campero is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Gustavo Campero will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Spencer Arrighetti today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gustavo Campero today.
Over the last week, Gustavo Campero has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power).
Mauricio Dubon has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Taylor Ward will not have the upper hand today.
Taylor Ward has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will be challenged by the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Taylor Ward in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Jon Singleton is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.1% rate (99th percentile).
In the last week’s worth of games, Jon Singleton’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.
Jon Singleton has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph dropping to 80.6-mph in the past week.
It may be wise to expect improved performance for the Los Angeles Angels offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for home runs.
Spencer Arrighetti has exhibited weak control this year, notching a 6th percentile BB% of 10.6%.
Eric Wagaman’s BABIP ability is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage over Eric Wagaman today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Eric Wagaman in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Niko Kavadas in the 1st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Niko Kavadas has been pulled from the game early 12% of the time.
Niko Kavadas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Over the past week, Niko Kavadas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.
The #10 ballpark in the league for suppressing base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.
Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.
Over the last 14 days, Yordan Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 93.7 mph to 88.9 mph.
Yordan Alvarez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (12.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 15.8° mark last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Singleton in the 6th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Spencer Arrighetti will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Neto today.
Zach Neto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Zach Neto has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.
Batting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Alex Bregman encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Over the past week, Alex Bregman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.
Alex Bregman’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 82.8-mph over the past week.
Griffin Canning will have the handedness advantage over Jose Altuve today.
Jose Altuve has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 6.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week.
Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 90.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 86.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
In his previous game started, Spencer Arrighetti performed well and gave up 2 ER.
Mickey Moniak is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.
This year, Mickey Moniak has been pulled from the game early in 18% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
In today’s matchup, Mickey Moniak is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (90th percentile).
In his last outing, Griffin Canning was rolling and conceded 0 ER.
Griffin Canning’s change-up percentage has jumped by 5.2% from last year to this one (21.8% to 27%) .
With a 0.4 discrepancy between Griffin Canning’s 5.16 ERA and his 4.76 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year and ought to perform better the rest of the season.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Houston Astros with a 19.3% underlying K%.
Griffin Canning’s 2116-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 10th percentile out of all SPs.
Checking in at the 9th percentile, Griffin Canning has posted a 17.5% strikeout rate this year.
Jake Meyers is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Jake Meyers will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Jake Meyers has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks.
Jake Meyers has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 78.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Niko Kavadas’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 91.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 84.5-mph over the last week.
As it relates to his home run ability, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
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