Pirates vs Astros match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 4th

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PIT @ HOU

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Pirates @ Astros Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, June 4th
Time : 04/06/26 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 3 Game Today

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (47.5% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Isaac Paredes’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 16.7%.

,Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today’s matchup.

,Pittsburgh’s 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Cam Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Cam Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Cam Smith has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 7.1% rate last season to 13.8% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

,The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kai-Wei Teng.

,Bryan Reynolds has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Bryan Reynolds has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 8.9% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng in today’s game.

,Brandon Lowe has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.

,Brandon Lowe has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last year’s 94.9-mph figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 20th-best batter in the majors when estimating his batting average talent.

,Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.

,Jeremy Pena will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 7th-best field in the majors for RHB home runs.

,Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage today.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Oneil Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.9% up to 22.2%.

,Oneil Cruz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 15.3% on the season to 55.6% in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Jared Triolo’s BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 9.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 15.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,Compared to last season, Nick Gonzales has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.1% to 51.3% this season.

,In notching a .373 BABIP this year, Nick Gonzales is positioned in the 97th percentile.

,Posting a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nick Gonzales is ranked in the 76th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Christian Walker is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Christian Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Nick Allen will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Christian Vazquez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.

,Spencer Horwitz has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Spencer Horwitz has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.5% seasonal rate to 15.9% in the last two weeks.

,Minute Maid Park grades out as the #7 stadium in the game for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Yordan Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 6.5°, Nick Gonzales has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 11.8° mark in the last 14 days.

,Jake Meyers’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sporting a .280 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Meyers has performed in the 86th percentile.

,Placing in the 95th percentile, Jake Meyers sports a .339 BABIP since the start of last season.

,It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,David Rackley projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches today.

,The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Christian Walker has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.2% seasonal rate to 19.4% over the last 14 days.

,Jared Triolo has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .227 rate is a good deal lower than his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Kai-Wei Teng in the 79th percentile among all starters in baseball.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 24.4% underlying K%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the best venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

,As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jared Jones in the 89th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the worst park in the game for righty batting average.

,The league’s 3rd-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Minute Maid Park.

,Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.

,The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -12° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.

,The #1 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Yordan Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Cam Smith encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.

,Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,In today’s matchup, Brandon Lowe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.3% rate (91st percentile).

,Batting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Jeremy Pena encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.4-mph mark last season has fallen off to 86.3-mph.

,Batting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Isaac Paredes encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Paredes has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph dropping to 81.2-mph in the last 7 days.

,In today’s matchup, Oneil Cruz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (80th percentile).

,Jared Triolo is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Kai-Wei Teng will have the handedness advantage over Nick Gonzales today.

,Nick Gonzales has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Jared Jones will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Walker today.

,Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 93.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 89.9-mph in the past two weeks.

,Jake Meyers is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Jake Meyers will not have the upper hand today.

,When assessing his home run talent, Nick Allen ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nick Allen is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Nick Allen has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 23% of the time when starting against a northpaw since the start of last season.

,Christian Vazquez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Christian Vazquez is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,This year, Christian Vazquez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Yordan Alvarez has been lucky this year, posting a .440 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .417 — a .023 difference.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryan Reynolds’s true offensive ability to be a .333, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .034 gap between that figure and his actual .367 wOBA.

,Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 20.2% to 11.8%.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Nick Gonzales ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Vazquez in the 10th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kai-Wei Teng is projected to throw 80 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate.

,Considering the 1.63 deviation between Kai-Wei Teng’s 2.57 ERA and his 4.20 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and ought to negatively regress the rest of the season.

,Kai-Wei Teng has been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB on balls in play this year with a .225 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

,Kai-Wei Teng has exhibited bad control this year, posting a 12th percentile Walk% of 11.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,In today’s matchup, Cam Smith is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.4% rate (90th percentile).

,Hitting from the same side that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Jared Triolo will be in a tough position today.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Lowe today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 3rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,In his previous GS, Kai-Wei Teng didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.

,Jared Jones will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

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