
LAD @ COL






MLB Player match stats positives for Los Angeles at Colorado Thursday Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for run-scoring.
Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
When assessing his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.
The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Stone in today’s game.
When estimating his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 2nd-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
The #1 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Chris Taylor, Andy Pages, Teoscar Hernandez).
Ty Blach will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.
Ty Blach has relied on his change-up 5.1% more often this year (26.4%) than he did last season (21.3%).
Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
Coors Field ranks as the #5 ballpark in MLB for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Adael Amador will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Jake Cave’s BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jacob Stallings has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
The #1 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Ty Blach today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in MLB.
Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 18th-best batter in the league.
Will Smith is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Ty Blach throws from, Chris Taylor will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Michael Toglia has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Andy Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Freddie Freeman projects as the 8th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The Colorado Rockies projected offense grades out as the worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.
Colorado’s 88.6-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in baseball: #21 overall.
Ranking 3rd-lowest in MLB this year, Colorado Rockies bats as a group have posted a 11.3° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (a reliable stat to evaluate power ability).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Ty Blach’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 6th percentile out of all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball right now.
The best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
As it relates to his home run ability, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Ty Blach throws from, Miguel Rojas will have the upper hand today.
Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Miguel Rojas’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The Colorado Rockies have 7 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elehuris Montero, Brenton Doyle, Ezequiel Tovar, Ryan McMahon, Michael Toglia, Sean Bouchard, Jake C).
Given the 1.2 difference between Gavin Stone’s 6.75 K/9 and his 7.95 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to perform better going forward.
As it relates to his home run talent, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Dodgers vs Rockies Matchup for Thursday
Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the strongest out of all the teams in action today.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Miguel Vargas in today’s matchup.
Miguel Vargas’s speed has dropped off this year. His 27.9 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.42 ft/sec now.
Miguel Vargas’s 86.7-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 14th percentile.
Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
When it comes to his home runs, Teoscar Hernandez has had positive variance on his side this year. His 34.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.6.
Jake Cave is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Jake Cave has been pinch hit for 13% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
Jake Cave’s launch angle this year (4.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 15.1° angle last season.
Jake Cave’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 13.3% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Jake Cave is in the 7th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .272.
Batting from the same side that Ty Blach throws from, Freddie Freeman faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Freddie Freeman in today’s game.
Over the past two weeks, Freddie Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.5 mph to 89.1 mph.
Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 21.4% on the season to 0% over the past week.
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Ty Blach in the 3rd percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ty Blach is projected to throw 75 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers on the slate.
It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Nic Lentz) in charge of the strike zone in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the worst stadium in the majors for strikeouts.
Gavin Stone will have the handedness advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.287) may lead us to conclude that Ezequiel Tovar has had some very good luck this year with his .338 actual wOBA.
Ezequiel Tovar’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) has been 107.2 mph this year, placing in the 14th percentile.
In terms of plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar’s skill is quite poor, sporting an 8.11 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 1st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adael Amador in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Adael Amador is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.
The switch-hitting Adael Amador will bat from his weak side (0) today against Gavin Stone, The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams today.
Los Angeles’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Adael Amador, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jacob Stallings ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Gavin Stone will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Stallings in today’s matchup.
Jacob Stallings’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 87.2-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.2-mph over the last 7 days.
Despite posting a .373 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jacob Stallings has been lucky given the .096 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .277.
As it relates to his home run skill, Adael Amador ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Adael Amador has been cold of late, struggling to the tune of a .091 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Adael Amador has exhibited some bad exit velocity metrics lately, averaging just 82.3-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kike Hernandez in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Kike Hernandez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Kike Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Kike Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.
Ty Blach will have the handedness advantage over Shohei Ohtani today.
Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Shohei Ohtani has been lucky this year, notching a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .398 — a .019 gap.
Will Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Will Smith has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 11.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 3.2% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 15th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Chris Taylor is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.
Chris Taylor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Chris Taylor’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 86.2-mph EV last season has fallen off to 82.9-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 4th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
When it comes to his home runs, Michael Toglia has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 21.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.6.
Michael Toglia has recorded a .254 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Toglia has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 12th percentile with a 6.21 K/BB rate.
Andy Pages is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Colorado (#1-best of all teams on the slate).
Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Sporting a 4.67 K/BB rate this year, Andy Pages has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 10th percentile.
Ryan McMahon has been lucky this year, putting up a .348 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .033 gap.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Stone to throw 83 pitches today (14th-most of the day), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The #1 park in MLB for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
In his previous game started, Ty Blach was firing on all cylinders and allowed 2 ER.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Teoscar Hernandez has had positive variance on his side this year. His .352 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .329.
From last year to this one, Shohei Ohtani’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.2% to 13.1%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Miguel Rojas is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Miguel Rojas in today’s game.
Miguel Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.3-mph average last season has lowered to 87.3-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 20th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Gavin Stone will hold the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle in today’s game.
Brenton Doyle has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.
In the last 7 days, Brenton Doyle’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.8%.
Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, posting a .325 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .280 — a .045 discrepancy.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 13th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Michael Toglia has recorded a .218 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 13th percentile.
Miguel Rojas’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (1.3°) is significantly worse than his 4.9° figure last year.
From last year to this one, Chris Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16% to 9.8%.
Chris Taylor has posted a .290 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile.
Kike Hernandez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 14.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 7.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Using Statcast data, Kike Hernandez is in the 4th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .253.
Sporting a .201 BABIP since the start of last season, Michael Toglia is positioned in the 9th percentile.
By putting up a .284 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jacob Stallings is ranked in the 15th percentile.
Dodgers vs Rockies Match Player Stats Thursday June 20th Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies Game Predictions, Players odds, Thursday lines and Betting Trends
Dodgers vs Rockies match player stats Thursday, June 20th pre matchup. Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies player predictions
