MLB Player match stats positives for Baltimore at Houston Friday Matchup

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 15th-best batter in MLB.

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Justin Verlander in today’s matchup.

The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Gunnar Henderson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today.

Over the last week, Anthony Santander’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 31.3%.

Anthony Santander has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV.

In the last week, Anthony Santander’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

Jon Singleton is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Jon Singleton will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage today.

Jon Singleton has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.2-mph mark.

Jake Meyers’s BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jake Meyers’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 40% to 47.1%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.329) implies that Jake Meyers has suffered from bad luck this year with his .311 actual wOBA.

Jake Meyers has recorded a .265 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage today.

Over the last 7 days, Alex Bregman’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Bregman’s true offensive talent to be a .340, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .035 difference between that mark and his actual .305 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have the upper hand today.

The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O’Hearn can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the majors.

Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today.

Yordan Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Yordan Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 20.7% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Jeremy Pena’s BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

With a .282 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jeremy Pena grades out in the 91st percentile.

By putting up a .280 batting average this year, Jeremy Pena is ranked in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last week, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 30%.

Batting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins II will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros only has 1 same-handed RP.

Compared to his seasonal average of 22.6°, Cedric Mullins II has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 32.4° angle in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cedric Mullins II’s true offensive ability to be a .308, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .064 deviation between that mark and his actual .244 wOBA.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 98th percentile with a 22.6° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB.

Yainer Diaz’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Yainer Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 25%.

Yainer Diaz has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Ryan Mountcastle has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.4-mph.

Using Statcast data, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .268.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Chas McCormick will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Chas McCormick has been unlucky this year, notching a .252 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .060 disparity.

With a .337 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Chas McCormick grades out in the 77th percentile for offensive skills.

The standard deviation of Chas McCormick’s launch angle since the start of last season (25.1°) is in the 94th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

The 5th-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Houston Astros.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Grayson Rodriguez in today’s game.

Houston grades out as the #4 group of hitters in the game when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (16.7% rate this year).

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Houston Astros has been 116.8 mph this year, ranking them as the #6 group of hitters in the game by this stat.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Sporting a .337 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Mountcastle grades out in the 77th percentile.

Ranking in the 85th percentile, Ryan Mountcastle has notched a .316 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Adley Rutschman has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 16.1% over the last two weeks.

Adley Rutschman has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 92.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Grayson Rodriguez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

Tallying 94 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Grayson Rodriguez places in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

In the last week, Jordan Westburg’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 30.8%.

Jordan Westburg has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season’s 90.2-mph figure.

In the past 14 days, Jordan Westburg’s 31.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.6%.

Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 19.3% on the season to 25.8% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Grading out in the 82nd percentile, Chas McCormick sits with a .342 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Checking in at the 76th percentile, Chas McCormick has notched a .450 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 90.5-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Based on Statcast data, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 78th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 23.400.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Orioles vs Astros Matchup for Friday

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10, ° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Gunnar Henderson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 97-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 87.9-mph over the last week.

Gunnar Henderson’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (3° over the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 10.2° seasonal angle.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.7) implies that Gunnar Henderson has experienced some positive variance this year with his 40.9 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Santander will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Justin Verlander in this game.

Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Jon Singleton pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

In the last 14 days, Jon Singleton’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.1°, Jon Singleton has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-8.3°) in the last 14 days.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, Jon Singleton has notched a .166 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Jake Meyers will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among all the teams today.

Jake Meyers has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Alex Bregman will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Alex Bregman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

This year, Ryan O’Hearn has been pinch hit for in 19% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan O’Hearn in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Ryan O’Hearn’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%.

Ryan O’Hearn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 13.3% on the season to 0% in the last week.

Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Yordan Alvarez’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 93.2-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 91.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Last season, Yordan Alvarez had a launch angle of 15.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 11.6°.

Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Grayson Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 86.4-mph in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Singleton in the 3rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.359) implies that Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate this year with his .398 actual wOBA.

Grayson Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.267) suggests that Jose Altuve has experienced some positive variance this year with his .295 actual batting average.

Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

10% of the time that Cedric Mullins II has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins II will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Yainer Diaz will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to plate discipline, Yainer Diaz’s ability is quite poor, putting up a 3.89 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 18th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Justin Verlander throws from, Ryan Mountcastle encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Ryan Mountcastle has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Mountcastle in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Ryan Mountcastle’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Chas McCormick is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Grayson Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chas McCormick in today’s game.

Chas McCormick has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Jake Meyers’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 80.8-mph over the last two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Grayson Rodriguez’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 82nd percentile out of all SPs in baseball right now.

Adley Rutschman, the Orioles’s expected catcher today, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 7 batters who share his hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Grayson Rodriguez ought to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (28.2) provides evidence that Anthony Santander has had some very good luck this year with his 37.9 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 20th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will bat from his bad side (0) today against Justin Verlander, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

When it comes to his home runs, Adley Rutschman has had positive variance on his side this year. His 27.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.8.

The Houston Astros (20.4 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

Justin Verlander will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Westburg in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Westburg in today’s game.

In terms of his batting average, Adley Rutschman has been lucky this year. His .292 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

Chas McCormick’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 94.7-mph mark last year has lowered to 87-mph.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) implies that Jose Altuve has been very fortunate this year with his .346 actual wOBA.

Over the last 7 days, Alex Bregman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 89.9 mph to 81.3 mph.

Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Westburg has been lucky given the .023 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

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Orioles vs Astros Match Player Stats Friday June 21st Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros Game Predictions, Players odds, Friday lines and Betting Trends
Orioles vs Astros match player stats Friday, June 21st pre matchup. Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros player predictions