MLB Player match stats positives for Houston at Chicago Thursday Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Luis Robert is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best field in MLB for right-handed home runs.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 8th-lowest fences in the majors.

Luis Robert pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Jon Singleton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Hitting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Jon Singleton will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Jon Singleton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Paul DeJong’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (21.4°) is quite a bit better than his 15.5° figure last season.

Paul DeJong’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (27.1° over the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 21.4° seasonal angle.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Chris Flexen’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 15th percentile among all starters in the league right now.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Korey Lee (the White Sox’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

The #2 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

The 3rd-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Guaranteed Rate Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Andrew Benintendi is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros only has 1 same-handed RP.

Andrew Benintendi has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Lenyn Sosa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Over the last week, Lenyn Sosa’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.5%.

As it relates to his batting average, Lenyn Sosa has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .220 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.

Trey Cabbage’s BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Trey Cabbage will have the upper hand today.

Out of every team playing today, the 15th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Tommy Pham has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Meyers has experienced some negative variance this year. His .311 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .329.

Korey Lee will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Korey Lee has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 91.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Luis Robert’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Robert will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Luis Robert has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 15.5% rate last year to 25.6% this season.

It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Chicago White Sox offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.

Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Tommy Pham’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 43.3% to 49.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jose Altuve ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alex Bregman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 17.3% on the season to 23.1% over the past 7 days.

As it relates to his home run skill, Trey Cabbage ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Yainer Diaz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.7% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Andrew Vaughn has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Andrew Vaughn has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.

Jake Meyers’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 40% to 47.1%.

The Chicago White Sox have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Paul DeJong, Korey Lee, Luis Robert).

Spencer Arrighetti’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (59.4% this year) figures to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Jon Singleton has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

In the last 7 days, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 30%.

Based on Statcast data, Jeremy Pena is in the 91st percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .282.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Lenyn Sosa has had some very poor luck this year. His .286 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Astros vs White Sox Matchup for Thursday

This game is forecasted to have the 4th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage against Luis Robert in today’s game.

The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams in action today.

In the past week, Luis Robert’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 95.1 mph to 77.2 mph.

Luis Robert’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 28.2% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

Hitting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Alex Bregman will have a tough matchup today.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Alex Bregman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

In the last 7 days, Alex Bregman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 89.9 mph to 81.3 mph.

Jon Singleton’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jon Singleton today.

Jon Singleton has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.1°, Jon Singleton has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-8.3°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Paul DeJong is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-worst park in the game for righty base hits.

Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage against Paul DeJong in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #23 stadium in baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Over the past 7 days, Gavin Sheets’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

Compared to their .325 overall projected rate, the .312 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Houston Astros projected lineup in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup a fair amount a bit watered down.

Brennan Miller projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Chris Flexen will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Chris Flexen has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 6.8% more often this year (61.3%) than he did last season (54.5%).

Chris Flexen will have the handedness advantage against Jose Altuve in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Altuve today.

Jose Altuve has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .295 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .267 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andrew Benintendi’s 5.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 24th percentile this year.

By putting up a .237 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Andrew Benintendi finds himself in the 3rd percentile.

Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Lenyn Sosa has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Paul DeJong’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 88.7-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 82.1-mph in the past week.

When it comes to his home runs, Paul DeJong has had positive variance on his side this year. His 34.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.0.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 21st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Batting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Jeremy Pena will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Jeremy Pena’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 88.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 86.4-mph over the past 14 days.

Andrew Benintendi has performed at a clip of 11.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 22nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trey Cabbage is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

Trey Cabbage will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

This season, there has been a decline in Trey Cabbage’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.41 ft/sec last year to 27.78 ft/sec currently.

Jake Meyers is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Chris Flexen will have the handedness advantage over Jake Meyers today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Meyers today.

In the past two weeks, Jake Meyers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

Spencer Arrighetti will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tommy Pham today.

Tommy Pham’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.7-mph over the last 7 days.

Over the past 7 days, Tommy Pham’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.8%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Korey Lee ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Korey Lee is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Korey Lee meets a tough challenge today.

The Chicago White Sox projected lineup ranks as the 3rd-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

With 6 batters who share his hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Spencer Arrighetti ought to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Lenyn Sosa’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 91.1 mph to 88 mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.7°, Jeremy Pena has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.1°) in the past 14 days.

Recording 14.1 outs per outing this year on average, Chris Flexen checks in at the 10th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) suggests that Jose Altuve has had some very good luck this year with his .346 actual wOBA.

Jon Singleton has recorded a .166 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Flexen in the 17th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-worst field in the league for strikeouts.

Given his large reverse platoon split, Chris Flexen faces a tough challenge squaring off against 7 hitters in the projected lineup who share the same handedness today.

Chris Flexen wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his last GS and posted 2 Ks.

Chris Flexen will hold the platoon advantage over Yainer Diaz in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz has displayed bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 18th percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate.

Korey Lee’s launch angle of late (3° over the last 14 days) is considerably worse than his 7.1° seasonal mark.

Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Vaughn in today’s matchup.

Andrew Vaughn has displayed bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile with a 3.54 K/BB rate.

Tallying 13.4 outs per start this year on average, Spencer Arrighetti places in the 7th percentile.

As it relates to his home run skill, Andrew Benintendi ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gavin Sheets has been lucky this year, putting up a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .022 disparity.

Luis Robert has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 39.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 36.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Spencer Arrighetti in today’s matchup.

In his previous outing, Spencer Arrighetti didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

Spencer Arrighetti has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 10.57 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.08 — a 1.49 K/9 discrepancy.

From last season to this one, Tommy Pham’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.8% to 10.8%.

Lenyn Sosa’s launch angle this season (5.1°) is considerably worse than his 14° angle last season.

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Astros vs White Sox Match Player Stats Thursday June 20th Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox Game Predictions, Players odds, Thursday lines and Betting Trends
Astros vs White Sox match player stats Thursday, June 20th pre matchup. Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox player predictions