
KC @ OAK






MLB Player match stats positives for Kansas City at Oakland Thursday Matchup
Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Spence today.
Adam Frazier has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .279 rate is a fair amount lower than his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Oakland Coliseum has the 7th-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.
Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Oakland Athletics.
Salvador Perez is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Oakland (#3-worst on the slate).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Zack Gelof will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Zack Gelof has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.2-mph average to last year’s 92.7-mph average.
Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zack Gelof has had bad variance on his side given the .048 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.
Miguel Andujar’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Miguel Andujar is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Andujar will hold that advantage today.
In the past two weeks, Miguel Andujar has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 8.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 0.8°.
Seth Lugo is expected to throw 98 pitches in this matchup, which is the highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.
The Oakland Athletics have 6 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zack Gelof, Brent Rooker, Tyler Soderstrom, Max Schuemann, Shea Langeliers, Lawrence Butler).
With 6 hitters who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Seth Lugo figures to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
As it relates to plate discipline, Nick Loftin’s ability is quite strong, posting a 1.65 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 90th percentile.
Placing in the 90th percentile, Nick Loftin has notched a .277 batting average since the start of last season.
When assessing his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last season’s 90.7-mph figure.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.1) suggests that Bobby Witt Jr. has been unlucky this year with his 20.1 actual HR/600.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.
Mitch Spence’s 90.4-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 14th percentile out of all starters.
Kansas City’s 89.6-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in baseball: #4 overall.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge today.
Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year’s 89.1-mph average.
Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an advantage today.
Lawrence Butler will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
This season, Lawrence Butler has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.4 mph compared to last year’s 90.4 mph mark.
Lawrence Butler has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .252 figure is a fair amount lower than his .290 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Grading out in the 78th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season, Lawrence Butler demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a crucial ability for achieving a high batting average.
When estimating his home run ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler Soderstrom will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Tyler Soderstrom has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 93.2-mph mark.
Brent Rooker projects as the 9th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brent Rooker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brent Rooker will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Brent Rooker has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 91.8-mph mark.
The 4th-weakest projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Oakland Athletics.
The Oakland Athletics have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, Max Schuemann is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Max Schuemann will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Max Schuemann has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 93-mph in the past week.
Max Schuemann’s launch angle recently (24.4° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 16.4° seasonal mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Spence in today’s matchup.
Kyle Isbel has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 91.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Mitch Spence’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (93.2% this year) should work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) implies that Adam Frazier has had some very poor luck this year with his .216 actual batting average.
Tyler Nevin will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Tyler Nevin’s 89.8-mph average exit velocity is among the best in MLB since the start of last season: 75th percentile.
Tyler Nevin’s speed has gotten better this season. His 25.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.19 ft/sec now.
Checking in at the 86th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season, Tyler Nevin demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.
J.J. Bleday is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, J.J. Bleday will have an edge today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and J.J. Bleday will hold that advantage in today’s game.
J.J. Bleday has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.2-mph EV.
J.J. Bleday’s launch angle this season (18.8°) is a significant increase over his 15.4° mark last season.
When estimating his home run talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Spence today.
MJ Melendez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 95.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
In the past 7 days, Tyler Soderstrom’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.
Utilizing Statcast data, Bobby Witt Jr. is in the 98th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .376.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.309) may lead us to conclude that Maikel Garcia has had some very poor luck this year with his .286 actual wOBA.
Miguel Andujar has compiled a .332 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) may lead us to conclude that Maikel Garcia has experienced some negative variance this year with his .243 actual batting average.
MJ Melendez has been unlucky this year, notching a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .317 — a .064 deviation.
Kyle Isbel has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .222 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .239 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Salvador Perez’s launch angle this season (18.3°) is a considerable increase over his 15.3° mark last season.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (30.6) may lead us to conclude that Salvador Perez has had some very poor luck this year with his 22.9 actual HR/600.
Nick Loftin has been unlucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 3.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount lower than his 10.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his home runs, Vinnie Pasquantino has suffered from bad luck this year. His 14.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.9.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 75th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Royals vs Athletics Matchup for Thursday
When assessing his home run ability, Adam Frazier ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Adam Frazier is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
This year, Adam Frazier has been pulled from the game early in 32% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
The #1 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oakland Coliseum.
In the league, Oakland Coliseum’s right field dimensions are the 10th-deepest.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oakland Coliseum as the worst ballpark in the game for right-handed home runs.
Oakland Coliseum’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.
The weather report calls for the 7th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Mitch Spence will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Salvador Perez today.
Zack Gelof is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.
Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Gelof in today’s matchup.
Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Miguel Andujar encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Miguel Andujar has shown some bad exit velocity stats of late, averaging just 84.3-mph on his flyballs over the last two weeks.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Salvador Perez (the Royals’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Seth Lugo in today’s game.
Seth Lugo’s 91.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1.1-mph fall off from last season’s 92.8-mph figure.
Seth Lugo has utilized his curveball 11% less often this season (18.3%) than he did last year (29.3%).
Seth Lugo has compiled an 8.7% Swinging Strike percentage this year, checking in at the 18th percentile.
Oakland Coliseum projects as the #26 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
When it comes to his home run talent, Nick Loftin ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nick Loftin is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
This year, Nick Loftin has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Mitch Spence will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s matchup.
In today’s matchup, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.6% rate (91st percentile).
Oakland Coliseum grades out as the #30 venue in the game for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Mitch Spence will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.
Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 25th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Lawrence Butler is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oakland Coliseum as the 2nd-worst park in the game for lefty batting average.
Tyler Soderstrom has been lucky this year, posting a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .053 deviation.
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Brent Rooker will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Brent Rooker’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, going from 40.5% on the season to 16.7% in the past week’s worth of games.
With a 1.83 gap between Seth Lugo’s 2.40 ERA and his 4.23 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and figures to see worse results going forward.
Seth Lugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Schuemann in today’s matchup.
Max Schuemann has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 22nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Kyle Isbel is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Kyle Isbel has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Mitch Spence in the 18th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.
The Kansas City Royals (21 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy group of batters of all teams on the slate.
Mitch Spence has notched an 8.3% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.
Tyler Nevin is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Nevin in today’s game.
J.J. Bleday’s BABIP skill is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
18% of the time that MJ Melendez has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 17th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 14th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Hitting from the same side that Mitch Spence throws from, Maikel Garcia will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 24th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 25th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Maikel Garcia has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.
Brent Rooker has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .357 rate is a good deal higher than his .334 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.J. Bleday’s true offensive ability to be a .315, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .035 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .350 wOBA.
Royals vs Athletics Match Player Stats Thursday June 20th Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics Game Predictions, Players odds, Thursday lines and Betting Trends
Royals vs Athletics match player stats Thursday, June 20th pre matchup. Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics player predictions
