MLB Player match stats positives for Boston at Cincinnati Friday Matchup

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 94, °, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Will Benson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Will Benson’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (17.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.5° figure last season.

Will Benson has recorded a .359 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Connor Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today.

Checking in at the 91st percentile, Connor Wong has notched a .371 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Rob Refsnyder has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 97.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

David Hamilton has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

David Hamilton’s launch angle in recent games (22.7° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 12.9° seasonal figure.

David Hamilton grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.3% rate since the start of last season).

Checking in at the 79th percentile, David Hamilton sits with a .275 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O’Neill as the league’s 13th-best home run batter.

Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Tyler O’Neill will have the upper hand today.

Tyler O’Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Jake Fraley is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in today’s game.

Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jake Fraley will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jacob Hurtubise will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford today.

Extreme flyball bats like Jacob Hurtubise tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.

Jacob Hurtubise will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Kutter Crawford in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Elly De La Cruz tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jarren Duran has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last year’s 90.3-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kutter Crawford in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

Cincinnati Reds batters as a unit have been among the worst in MLB this year ( worst) when it comes to their 87.6-mph average exit velocity.

Placing in the 78th percentile, Will Benson has put up a .291 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s game.

Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 107.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

In the past 14 days, Ceddanne Rafaela’s 59.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.1%.

Connor Wong’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.2% to 17.2%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the game.

Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 97.8-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The Boston Red Sox have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott today.

Andrew Abbott is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #1 HR venue among all parks today.

The 8.4% Barrel% of the Boston Red Sox ranks them as the #8 offense in MLB this year by this metric.

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Bobby Dalbec will have an advantage in today’s game.

Bobby Dalbec has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Bobby Dalbec has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 85.8-mph mark.

Despite posting a .201 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bobby Dalbec has had bad variance on his side given the .072 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .273.

Tallying 92.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Andrew Abbott falls in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

When assessing his home run skill, Will Benson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Benson’s launch angle in recent games (25.2° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 15.7° seasonal angle.

Ceddanne Rafaela has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 22.5° angle is among the highest in Major League Baseball this year (99th percentile).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Kutter Crawford in the 86th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Will Benson, Stuart Fairchild).

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Red Sox vs Reds Matchup for Friday

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 5th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Will Benson is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Will Benson has been pinch hit for 30% of the time.

Today, Will Benson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (91st percentile).

Will Benson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 81.7-mph over the past 14 days.

Connor Wong will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Connor Wong’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.7 mph to 81.6 mph.

Connor Wong’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (4.6° over the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 12.6° seasonal figure.

Connor Wong’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 44.3% to 39.3%.

When it comes to his batting average, Connor Wong has been lucky this year. His .332 BA has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

Rob Refsnyder will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Rob Refsnyder’s launch angle this season (8.4°) is considerably worse than his 11.6° figure last year.

Rob Refsnyder’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 8.2% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks.

Rob Refsnyder has paced 7.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 13th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 20th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

David Hamilton is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Andrew Abbott will have the handedness advantage over David Hamilton today.

David Hamilton will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Despite posting a .336 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes David Hamilton has had some very good luck given the .056 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler O’Neill today.

When it comes to his home runs, Tyler O’Neill has been lucky this year. His 42.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 34.3.

When it comes to his home run talent, Jake Fraley ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

11% of the time that Jake Fraley has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Jake Fraley’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 16.9% to 11.3%.

In the last week, Jake Fraley’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.3%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.221) provides evidence that Jake Fraley has had some very good luck this year with his .274 actual batting average.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Stephenson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11% down to 0%.

Tyler Stephenson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 93.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.6-mph over the last two weeks.

In the past 7 days, Tyler Stephenson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jacob Hurtubise ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jacob Hurtubise is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Jacob Hurtubise has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 37% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Elly De La Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Elly De La Cruz has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 23.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 18.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andrew Abbott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jarren Duran in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jarren Duran in today’s game.

Jarren Duran’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 93-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 86.7-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Jarren Duran’s launch angle in recent games (3.8° over the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 8° seasonal figure.

Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, notching a .345 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .019 disparity.

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward, Projected catcher Connor Wong grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kutter Crawford is an extreme flyball pitcher (41% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue among all parks in this game.

Given that flyball hitters hold a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Kutter Crawford and his 41% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult position in today’s outing being matched up with 1 opposing GB bats.

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ceddanne Rafaela has experienced some positive variance this year. His .293 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .269.

Ceddanne Rafaela has displayed poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 2nd percentile with a 7.07 K/BB rate.

Despite posting a .372 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Wong has been lucky given the .069 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Rafael Devers will have a disadvantage today.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Rafael Devers has had some very good luck this year. His .386 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .338.

Hitting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Spencer Steer encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Typically, hitters like Spencer Steer who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Kutter Crawford.

Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has been lucky given the .018 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Rob Refsnyder has been lucky this year, notching a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .053 deviation.

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Boston Red Sox offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Andrew Abbott will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Collectively, Boston Red Sox batters have struggled when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 7th-worst in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Dalbec in the 2nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Bobby Dalbec is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Bobby Dalbec will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Bobby Dalbec’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 7.7%.

Bobby Dalbec has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) over the past two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Bobby Dalbec ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Will Benson has experienced some positive variance this year. His .302 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .280.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 22.5°, Ceddanne Rafaela’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (18° in the past 14 days).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.330) suggests that Tyler O’Neill has been lucky this year with his .378 actual wOBA.

David Hamilton has exhibited some bad exit velocity indicators recently, averaging just 86.2-mph on his flyballs in the past 14 days.

Ranking in the 2nd percentile for power, Jake Fraley has averaged 1.7 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Kutter Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

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Red Sox vs Reds Match Player Stats Friday June 21st Boston Red Sox at Cincinnati Reds Game Predictions, Players odds, Friday lines and Betting Trends
Red Sox vs Reds match player stats Friday, June 21st pre matchup. Boston Red Sox at Cincinnati Reds player predictions