
WSH @ COL





MLB Player match stats positives for Washington at Colorado Friday Matchup
Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.
The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Dakota Hudson.
Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle this year (20°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.1° angle last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz’s true offensive ability to be a .296, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .064 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .232 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Nolan Jones is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Jones stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Jones will hold that advantage today.
Jacob Young has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 3% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past 7 days.
Jacob Young has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.3-mph to 94.1-mph over the past week.
Jacob Young’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 47% on the season to 63.6% in the last week’s worth of games.
Utilizing Statcast data, Jacob Young is in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .275.
The switch-hitting Adael Amador will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against DJ Herz.
Extreme flyball hitters like Adael Amador tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like DJ Herz.
Adael Amador will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
Adael Amador has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 58.8% of the time over the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Luis Garcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Dakota Hudson in today’s game.
Luis Garcia is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
When assessing his home run skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hunter Goodman will hold the platoon advantage against DJ Herz in today’s game.
Hunter Goodman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
In the past week’s worth of games, Hunter Goodman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.8% up to 30%.
Jacob Stallings is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Jacob Stallings will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ Herz in today’s matchup.
Jacob Stallings will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Over the past 7 days, Jacob Stallings’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 25%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Ezequiel Tovar will hold the platoon advantage over DJ Herz in today’s game.
Ezequiel Tovar will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Brenton Doyle is penciled in 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Hitting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Brenton Doyle will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Ildemaro Vargas has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile with a 1.07 K/BB rate.
Eddie Rosario has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Hitting from the opposite that Dakota Hudson throws from, Eddie Rosario will have an advantage today.
Eddie Rosario is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
Eddie Rosario has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .182 BA is considerably lower than his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his home run talent, Nolan Jones ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In the past 7 days, Michael Toglia’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.2% up to 18.2%.
Michael Toglia has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last season’s 91-mph mark.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lane Thomas ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lane Thomas is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
Lane Thomas has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.
Lane Thomas’s launch angle this season (18.5°) is a considerable increase over his 10.6° figure last year.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jesse Winker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Dakota Hudson throws from, Jesse Winker will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesse Winker stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Keibert Ruiz, the Nationals’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
DJ Herz is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #2 HR venue among all parks today.
DJ Herz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Joey Meneses’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Joey Meneses has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph mark.
Joey Meneses has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last season’s 90.3-mph figure.
As it relates to his home runs, Joey Meneses has suffered from bad luck this year. His 7.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.6.
The Washington Nationals projected lineup profiles as the 2nd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.
Dakota Hudson is an extreme groundball pitcher (50.5% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #2 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this game.
Because groundball pitchers have a substantial edge over groundball bats, Dakota Hudson and his 50.5% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good spot in today’s outing going up against 4 opposing GB bats.
Dakota Hudson will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats in all categories.
Ildemaro Vargas has recorded a .282 batting average this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.
Compared to last year, Brenton Doyle has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.7% to 18.8% this season.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.4) may lead us to conclude that Luis Garcia has had bad variance on his side this year with his 12.9 actual HR/600.
Ezequiel Tovar’s launch angle this year (19.7°) is significantly higher than his 12.3° mark last season.
Eddie Rosario has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .250 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .284 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts DJ Herz in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.
The Colorado Rockies have 6 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brenton Doyle, Michael Toglia, Elehuris Montero, Hunter Goodman, Nolan Jones, Ezequiel Tovar).
Hunter Goodman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 95-mph over the past week.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Nationals vs Rockies Matchup for Friday
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Keibert Ruiz today.
Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.9-mph EV last year has fallen to 86.8-mph.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 86.8 mph to 83.6 mph.
Batting from the same side that DJ Herz throws from, Nolan Jones will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Nolan Jones’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 83-mph over the past 7 days.
Nolan Jones’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 20% to 10.4%.
In the last week’s worth of games, Nolan Jones’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.4%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.232) implies that Nolan Jones has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .274 actual batting average.
When estimating his home run ability, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jacob Young is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, Jacob Young will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Extreme flyball hitters like Jacob Young tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adael Amador in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Adael Amador is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.
With a .091 wOBA in the past 14 days, Adael Amador has been struggling at the plate.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Adael Amador has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 82.3-mph on his flyballs.
Extreme groundball bats like Luis Garcia generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Dakota Hudson.
Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Luis Garcia has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last week.
Luis Garcia’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 88.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 82.6-mph over the past week.
Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.
Hunter Goodman’s launch angle recently (10.3° over the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.7° seasonal figure.
In terms of plate discipline, Hunter Goodman’s ability is quite poor, putting up a 6.23 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 12th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Stallings in the 17th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Jacob Stallings has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 84.2-mph over the past 7 days.
Despite posting a .373 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jacob Stallings has been very fortunate given the .096 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .277.
Jacob Stallings has compiled a .214 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jacob Stallings has notched a .334 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had some very good luck this year. His .338 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.
Ezequiel Tovar’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) has been 107.2 mph this year, ranking in the 14th percentile.
Sporting an 8.11 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 1st percentile.
In the past week, Brenton Doyle’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.
Despite posting a .325 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has been very fortunate given the .045 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280.
Checking in at the 15th percentile, Jacob Stallings sports a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
When estimating his home run skill, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ildemaro Vargas is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ildemaro Vargas will bat from his weak side against Dakota Hudson in this game.
Extreme flyball hitters like Ildemaro Vargas generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson.
Eddie Rosario’s BABIP talent is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
This year, Eddie Rosario has been pulled from the game early in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Eddie Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Over the last two weeks, Eddie Rosario’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 91.2 mph to 87.7 mph.
Michael Toglia’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will bat from his bad side (0) today against DJ Herz, Michael Toglia has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 15.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Toglia has notched a .254 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 17th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
By putting up a 6.21 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Michael Toglia has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 12th percentile.
Posting a .201 BABIP since the start of last season, Michael Toglia grades out in the 9th percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, Lane Thomas will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Lane Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Jesse Winker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Jesse Winker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.
Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 14.7% to 10%.
Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 10% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks.
Jacob Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
The weakest projected lineup of the day in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Colorado Rockies.
Colorado’s 88.6-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the majors: #21 overall.
The Colorado Rockies have done a weak job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 11.3° mark is among the lowest in MLB this year (#27 overall).
Joey Meneses is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Hitting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, Joey Meneses will have a tough challenge today.
Extreme flyball hitters like Joey Meneses generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson.
Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jesse Winker has been very fortunate this year. His .347 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.
Keibert Ruiz has compiled a .228 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 2nd percentile.
Ranking in the 6th percentile, Keibert Ruiz sports a .287 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Dakota Hudson in the 21st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adael Amador in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Adael Amador has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, compiling a 3.9° angle on such balls in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Brenton Doyle’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 18.8% on the season to 9.1% in the last 7 days.
Luis Garcia’s launch angle lately (1.2° in the past week’s worth of games) is significantly worse than his 8.5° seasonal mark.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, DJ Herz is projected to throw 78 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least on the slate.
Eddie Rosario’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (15.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 18.5° angle last season.
Eddie Rosario’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 14.1% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 13th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Posting a .218 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Michael Toglia is ranked in the 13th percentile.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.9°, Joey Meneses’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-3° in the past 14 days).
Ranking in the 16th percentile, Hunter Goodman has put up a .177 batting average since the start of last season.
Nationals vs Rockies Match Player Stats Friday June 21st Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies Game Predictions, Players odds, Friday lines and Betting Trends
Nationals vs Rockies match player stats Friday, June 21st pre matchup. Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies player predictions
