Jets vs Bears Match Player Stats | 2025 NFL Playoffs 4 Sunday

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NYJ @ CHI

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 4 New York Jets at Chicago Bears
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 4th
04/10/26 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the New York Jets Game Today

The Chicago Bears may lean on the pass less in this week’s game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.

,The highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).

,The Bears O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

,Since the start of last season, the feeble New York Jets pass defense has allowed a whopping 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 10th-highest rate in the NFL.

,As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York’s collection of LBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

,The projections expect Garrett Wilson to notch 8.7 targets in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

,With an impressive 32.1% Target Share (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Garrett Wilson has been among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.

,Garrett Wilson has notched a whopping 85.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 88th percentile among WRs.

,With a stellar 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Garrett Wilson ranks as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the league.

,Garrett Wilson’s receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 64.3% to 76.8%.

,Geno Smith’s throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 66.8% to 75.3%.

,Since the start of last season, the deficient Bears defense has allowed a monstrous 73.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL.

,The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed bad efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 8.62 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-most in football.

,The Jets pass defense has displayed bad efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 7.92 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-most in football.

,At the moment, the 9th-most run-centric offense in football (41.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Chicago Bears.

,In this week’s contest, D’Andre Swift is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.6 carries.

,D’Andre Swift has averaged 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (93rd percentile).

,The opposing side have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (144 per game) against the New York Jets defense since the start of last season.

Negatives with the Chicago Bears Game Today

Right now, the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (58.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Bears.

,Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

,The Jets pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.39 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

,Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 55.2% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

,Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

,Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

,When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago’s unit has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the best in the league.

,In this game, Geno Smith is anticipated by the projections to wind up with the 10th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.2.,The New York cornerbacks project as the 5th-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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