Phillies @ Dodgers Series Game 4 Playoff Matchup Details

Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies Postseason Game Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the league.

Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Dodger Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.

On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the best park in the majors for righty home runs.

This matchup is expected to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The #6 park in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

With a .291 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm finds himself in the 95th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Alec Bohm ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

J.T. Realmuto has been unlucky this year, putting up a .307 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .018 discrepancy.

J.T. Realmuto is remarkably fast, grading out in the 76th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.35 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Freddie Freeman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Dodger Stadium projects as the #6 park in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today’s game.

The Barrel% of Max Kepler has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.2% last year to 12.1% this year.

Max Kepler has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year’s 88.8-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Teoscar Hernandez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Teoscar Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup projects as the best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

Mark Wegner projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in this game.

Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Batting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Andy Pages will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cristopher Sanchez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 21.8% underlying K%.

In his last GS, Cristopher Sanchez was in good form and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a 13.9% Swinging Strike rate this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a 26.7% K% this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 17th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Despite posting a .301 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Castellanos has suffered from bad luck given the .014 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mookie Betts ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Enrique Hernandez will have an advantage today.

Enrique Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Mookie Betts will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Shohei Ohtani hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 8th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Tyler Glasnow’s overall pitching skill is in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball right now.

It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Philadelphia Phillies offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

Tyler Glasnow will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats in all categories.

Tyler Glasnow was rolling in his previous start and gave up 0 ER.

When estimating his strikeout talent, Tyler Glasnow projects as the 13th-best starter in the majors currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Philadelphia Phillies (21.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-prone team of hitters of all teams on the slate.

Tyler Glasnow was on point in his last start and accumulated 8 strikeouts.

Among all starters, Tyler Glasnow’s fastball spin rate of 2530 rpm is in the 95th percentile this year.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Will Smith is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Will Smith will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Postseason Game Today

The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Harper in today’s game.

Tyler Glasnow will have the handedness advantage over Alec Bohm in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Alec Bohm is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.9% rate (98th percentile).

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (8.8) implies that Alec Bohm has had positive variance on his side this year with his 13.1 actual HR/600.

Alec Bohm’s 6.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 25th percentile this year.

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, J.T. Realmuto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (81st percentile).

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 94.4-mph EV last season has fallen to 92.4-mph.

Hitting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Freddie Freeman will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 20% to 16.4%.

Freddie Freeman has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .370 mark is a good deal higher than his .335 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Max Kepler’s BABIP ability is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Max Kepler is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

Max Kepler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team today.

Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 96.3-mph mark last season has lowered to 93.3-mph.

From last year to this one, Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 43.8% to 38.7%.

Teoscar Hernandez’s footspeed has fallen off this year. His 28.58 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.02 ft/sec now.

Teoscar Hernandez has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 6th percentile with a 5.02 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Cristopher Sanchez as the 8th-best starter in Major League Baseball right now.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward,Cristopher Sanchez is an extreme groundball pitcher (55.4% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #1 HR venue among all parks — in today’s game.

Cristopher Sanchez was rolling in his last start and conceded 1 ER.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Using Statcast metrics, Bryson Stott grades out in the 21st percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 12.300.

This year, Bryson Stott’s 5% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 19th percentile among his peers.

This year, Bryson Stott’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 12th percentile at 89.5 mph.

Andy Pages is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

There has been a significant decline in Andy Pages’s launch angle from last season’s 20.6° to 17.1° this season.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.5) implies that Andy Pages has been very fortunate this year with his 26.0 actual HR/600.

Andy Pages’s 90.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 21st percentile this year.

With a 4.64 K/BB rate this year, Andy Pages has demonstrated weak plate discipline, ranking in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cristopher Sanchez to throw 75 pitches in this game (least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

This year, Brandon Marsh has been pulled from the game early in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brandon Marsh has been lucky given the .023 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

Brandon Marsh’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (11.3°) is quite a bit lower than his 15.8° figure last season.

Grading out in the 9th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.45 ft/sec this year, Freddie Freeman is not very quick.

Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Nick Castellanos meets a tough challenge today.

Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos’s 87.7-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in the majors this year: 20th percentile.

Mookie Betts’s launch angle this season (17.9°) is significantly lower than his 21.4° mark last season.

This year, Mookie Betts’s 5.4% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers.

This year, the hardest ball Mookie Betts has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.4 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), grading out in the 13th percentile.

Checking in at the 13th percentile, Mookie Betts has notched a .259 BABIP this year.

Enrique Hernandez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Enrique Hernandez has been pinch hit for 15% of the time.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.8) provides evidence that Enrique Hernandez has been lucky this year with his 23.4 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Enrique Hernandez in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Grading out in the 20th percentile, Enrique Hernandez sports a .232 BABIP this year.

With a 4.16 K/BB rate this year, Nick Castellanos has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 17th percentile.

Today, Kyle Schwarber is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.3% rate (99th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today’s game.

Despite posting a .392 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Schwarber has had some very good luck given the .027 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .365.

Kyle Schwarber has compiled a .229 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Shohei Ohtani has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .419 rate is quite a bit higher than his .402 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner in today’s matchup.

Trea Turner’s 5.9% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 25th percentile this year.

Trea Turner and his 7° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 13th percentile, among the lowest in the game this year.

Teoscar Hernandez’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (11.7°) is considerably lower than his 16° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Glasnow to throw 78 pitches in this matchup (least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The worst projected offense on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Projected catcher Will Smith grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tyler Glasnow’s 95.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.3-mph decline from last season’s 96.4-mph mark.

Tommy Edman is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 17.1% to 12.8%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (7.9) provides evidence that Tommy Edman has experienced some positive variance this year with his 20.7 actual HR/600.

Tommy Edman’s 4.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 14th percentile this year.

Tommy Edman’s 89.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 11th percentile this year.

By putting up a 13.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Trea Turner finds himself in the 24th percentile for power.

Will Smith’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 21.3° figure last year.

Despite posting a .389 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Will Smith has been very fortunate given the .036 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .353.

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