Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for White Sox vs Reds Series Game 2 Matchup Today

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for left-handed batting average.

The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Davis Martin today.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Timothy Elko is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best park in baseball for RHB home runs.

In MLB, Great American Ball Park’s left field fences are the 6th-shallowest.

Timothy Elko will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s matchup.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #8 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Timothy Elko in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Edgar Quero is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Edgar Quero will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Nick Lodolo today.

Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Chase Meidroth will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Chase Meidroth has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in the league.

Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage today.

Gavin Lux will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Michael A. Taylor will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.7) may lead us to conclude that Michael A. Taylor has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 9.3 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Michael A. Taylor has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .195 BA is deflated compared to his .209 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Santiago Espinal has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Connor Joe will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Miguel Vargas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Miguel Vargas will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s game.

The Chicago White Sox have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward,Great American Ball Park ranks as the #1 park in baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Lodolo’s 92.6-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.5-mph fall off from last year’s 94.1-mph figure.

Nick Lodolo has averaged 93.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael A. Taylor, Timothy Elko, Luis Robert Jr.).

Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Over the past two weeks, Spencer Steer has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 22.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.9°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Davis Martin’s overall pitching skill is in the 8th percentile among all SPs in baseball currently.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Davis Martin in today’s matchup.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Stephenson, Matt McLain).

Considering the 1.16 disparity between Davis Martin’s 5.91 K/9 and his 7.07 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see positive regression in future games.

Lenyn Sosa will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.

Lenyn Sosa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Lenyn Sosa has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year’s 88.9-mph figure.

Negative Match Player Stats with White Sox vs Reds Series Game 2

Typically, hitters like Elly De La Cruz who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Davis Martin.

Over the last 14 days, Elly De La Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 95.9 mph to 89.6 mph.

There has been a significant decline in Elly De La Cruz’s launch angle from last year’s 9.7° to 3.5° this season.

Elly De La Cruz’s launch angle recently (0.4° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably lower than his 3.5° seasonal figure.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) provides evidence that Elly De La Cruz has been very fortunate this year with his .244 actual batting average.

Elly De La Cruz has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .307 rate is a fair amount higher than his .281 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Timothy Elko is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

Typically, bats like Timothy Elko who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Nick Lodolo.

Timothy Elko will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Edgar Quero will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

In the last week, Edgar Quero’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 56.7%.

Edgar Quero has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last two weeks.

Checking in at the 10th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.24 ft/sec this year, Edgar Quero is very slow.

When assessing his home run talent, Edgar Quero ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 9th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Typically, hitters like Chase Meidroth who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Nick Lodolo.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Chase Meidroth in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Chase Meidroth has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Davis Martin will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Hays today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) implies that Austin Hays has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .270 actual batting average.

Posting a 5.51 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Austin Hays has demonstrated bad plate discipline, grading out in the 5th percentile.

Austin Hays has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .328 mark is a fair amount higher than his .301 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Davis Martin will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Stephenson today.

Tyler Stephenson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 95.7-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 86.5-mph over the last week.

In the past 7 days, Tyler Stephenson has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.306) provides evidence that Tyler Stephenson has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .339 actual wOBA.

Gavin Lux has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Gavin Lux has been pulled from the game early 16% of the time.

Gavin Lux has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Over the last week, Gavin Lux’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 91.3 mph to 83.6 mph.

Gavin Lux’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, falling from 13.8% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 11th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Michael A. Taylor is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

50% of the time that Michael A. Taylor has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael A. Taylor in today’s game.

Michael A. Taylor has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 10.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

Michael A. Taylor has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph dropping to 84.4-mph in the last 7 days.

Hitting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Santiago Espinal will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal has been lucky this year, putting up a .317 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .028 deviation.

Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Santiago Espinal sports a .287 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

When assessing his home run ability, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (5.1) may lead us to conclude that Santiago Espinal has been lucky since the start of last season with his 10.7 actual HR/600.

Sporting a .149 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Santiago Espinal grades out in the 7th percentile.

Luis Robert Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Luis Robert Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 11.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

Luis Robert Jr.’s launch angle recently (-4.3° over the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 18.6° seasonal figure.

Luis Robert Jr. has posted a .293 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 25th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Robert Jr. has notched a .210 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sporting a .191 batting average this year, Luis Robert Jr. finds himself in the 11th percentile.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew Vaughn in today’s matchup.

Andrew Vaughn’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 41.3% to 36.3%.

With a .243 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Andrew Vaughn is positioned in the 7th percentile.

With a 5.63 K/BB rate this year, Andrew Vaughn has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 9th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Connor Joe is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Connor Joe will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his batting average, Connor Joe has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .225 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .201.

Utilizing Statcast data, Connor Joe is in the 23rd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.500.

Connor Joe has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .302 rate is a good deal higher than his .277 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, Connor Joe’s 4.6% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 21st percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Since the start of last season, Miguel Vargas has been pulled from the game early in 20% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.

Miguel Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Miguel Vargas has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Miguel Vargas’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 92-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 83.5-mph over the last week.

In the past week, Miguel Vargas’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

The 5th-weakest projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Junior Valentine profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in this game.

Nick Lodolo is an extreme groundball pitcher (45.3% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Great American Ball Park — the #1 HR venue among all stadiums — in this matchup.

Because groundball batters struggle against groundball pitchers, Nick Lodolo (45.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 2 GB hitters in the opposing club’s projected offense.

Nick Lodolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

In his last game started, Nick Lodolo didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.

Nick Lodolo has used his sinker 9.4% more often this season (22.7%) than he did last year (13.3%).

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Davis Martin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Spencer Steer’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.

Spencer Steer has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 81.6-mph in the past 7 days.

Spencer Steer has compiled a .270 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, placing in the 7th percentile.

Placing in the 6th percentile, Spencer Steer sits with a .178 batting average this year.

Davis Martin is an extreme groundball pitcher (42.5% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Great American Ball Park — the #1 HR venue among all parks — in this game.

In his previous start, Davis Martin was rolling and gave up 0 ER.

Among all starting pitchers, Davis Martin’s fastball spin rate of 2387 rpm ranks in the 78th percentile this year.

Davis Martin has compiled a .323 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the game on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Martin to throw 85 pitches today (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Davis Martin in the 18th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

Davis Martin didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his previous GS and notched 2 Ks.

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lenyn Sosa in today’s matchup.

Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 8.8%.

By putting up a .276 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Lenyn Sosa grades out in the 13th percentile.

As it relates to plate discipline, Lenyn Sosa’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 7.39 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 2nd percentile.

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