Pirates vs Mets match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, May 14th

|
Pirates vs Mets match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, May 14th

PIT @ NYM

Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets Series Game 3Pirates vs MetsPirates vs MetsPirates vs MetsPirates vs MetsPirates vs MetsPirates vs Mets

Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, May 14th
14/05/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Mets Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Luisangel Acuna will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Luisangel Acuna hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Luisangel Acuna usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Luisangel Acuna will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ranking in the 86th percentile, Luisangel Acuna sports a .336 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Luisangel Acuna’s BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side against Bailey Falter in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Juan Soto has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 35.1% over the past 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in the league.

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Pete Alonso will have the upper hand today.

Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Carlos Torres) behind the plate in this game.

The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today.

Collectively, Pittsburgh Pirates bats have performed well in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 4th-best in the game.

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

With 6 batters who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Clay Holmes figures to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Considering that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Clay Holmes (57.1% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected lineup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Ke’Bryan Hayes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

In the past 7 days, Ke’Bryan Hayes’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 13.3%.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph figure.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 3.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 11.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bryan Reynolds’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Clay Holmes.

Bryan Reynolds has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Bryan Reynolds has been unlucky this year, posting a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .071 discrepancy.

Joey Bart’s BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Bart is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Joey Bart hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Joey Bart has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.1-mph mark.

When estimating his home run talent, Joey Bart ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Bart’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 90.1-mph now compared to just 87.9-mph then.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

In notching a .274 batting average since the start of last season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa finds himself in the 86th percentile.

Starling Marte is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Starling Marte will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter today.

Extreme groundball batters like Starling Marte usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Tyrone Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today’s matchup.

Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Tyrone Taylor will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.4) provides evidence that Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 10.3 actual HR/600.

Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .245 rate is considerably lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking in the 81st percentile, Tyrone Taylor has posted a .316 BABIP since the start of last season.

When it comes to his home run ability, Alexander Canario ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alexander Canario has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 22.9% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days.

Alexander Canario’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 22.9% on the season to 42.9% in the past week.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .284 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .346.

Bailey Falter has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 8 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Mark Vientos will have an edge in today’s game.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Jared Triolo has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last 7 days.

Jared Triolo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.6-mph EV.

Jared Triolo’s launch angle this season (17.6°) is significantly higher than his 13° angle last season.

Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .221 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Mets Series Game 3

When estimating his home run ability, Luisangel Acuna ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luisangel Acuna is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Citi Field’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Luisangel Acuna has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 84.7-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst venue in MLB for run-scoring.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP.

The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 44.4% to 37.2%.

Francisco Lindor has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .376 figure is considerably higher than his .346 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citi Field ranks as the #30 venue in the majors for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Juan Soto encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Pete Alonso’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 18.5% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Alonso’s true offensive ability to be a .365, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .070 gap between that figure and his actual .435 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Clay Holmes in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.

The Pittsburgh Pirates projected offense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

Citi Field grades out as the #30 park in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering the 0.74 difference between Clay Holmes’s 9.28 K/9 and his 8.54 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see negative regression going forward.

Clay Holmes will hold the platoon advantage against Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 10.5°, Ke’Bryan Hayes has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.2°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 0%.

There has been a significant decline in Bryan Reynolds’s launch angle from last year’s 9.1° to 5.1° this year.

Hitting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Joey Bart will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Joey Bart will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .352 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Bart has had positive variance on his side given the .035 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

As it relates to his home run skill, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Clay Holmes.

There has been a decrease in Starling Marte’s average exit velocity this year, from 89.8 mph last year to 86.6 mph now,From last season to this one, Starling Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 10.8% to 6.9%.

Checking in at the 24th percentile, Starling Marte has put up a .192 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

Starling Marte is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#2-best on the slate).

Tyrone Taylor is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Tyrone Taylor has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph dropping to 71.6-mph in the last 7 days.

Tyrone Taylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.7-mph mark last season has decreased to 88.3-mph.

Alexander Canario is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Alexander Canario faces a tough challenge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alexander Canario in the 18th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alexander Canario in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bailey Falter in the 19th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Because flyball batters have a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Bailey Falter and his 37.6% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in today’s matchup squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bailey Falter today.

Bailey Falter’s sinker utilization has risen by 5% from last year to this one (14.2% to 19.2%) .

Mark Vientos has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 14.2% rate last season has decreased to 6.1% this season.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.8°, Mark Vientos’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (5.4° in the past 14 days).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.0) may lead us to conclude that Mark Vientos has had some very good luck this year with his 19.2 actual HR/600.

Jared Triolo is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jared Triolo has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 17% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Clay Holmes will hold the platoon advantage over Jared Triolo in today’s matchup.

Latest New York Mets Match Player Stats

Latest Pittsburgh Pirates Match Player Stats