Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for White Sox vs Pirates Matchup Today

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Jonathan Cannon in today’s game.

Spencer Horwitz will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the past 7 days, Spencer Horwitz’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.8%.

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

Compared to his seasonal average of 19.1°, Colson Montgomery has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 42.5° angle in the last week.

Edgar Quero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Edgar Quero will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Bailey Falter.

This year, Edgar Quero has an average exit velocity of 91.1 mph, which ranks among the best in baseball at the 78th percentile.

Edgar Quero grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.6% rate this year).

Edgar Quero has compiled a .336 BABIP this year, grading out in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

PNC Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Chase Meidroth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Chase Meidroth usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter.

Chase Meidroth has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 88.1-mph average.

Chase Meidroth has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 91st percentile with a 1.35 K/BB rate.

Chase Meidroth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 11.9% on the season to 19.2% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Jonathan Cannon (33.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Pittsburgh’s projected offense.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonathan Cannon in today’s game.

With a 4.97 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things a pitcher can most influence), Jonathan Cannon places him the 16th percentile.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oneil Cruz, Jack Suwinski, Joey Bart).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Michael A. Taylor will have an advantage in today’s game.

Michael A. Taylor has strong power (85th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (32.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter is a pitch-to-contact type (4th percentile K%) — great news for Taylor.

Michael A. Taylor has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season’s 88.9-mph EV.

Michael A. Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 10.4% to 22.3%.

Michael A. Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 15.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably lower than his 19.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Extreme groundball bats like Ke’Bryan Hayes generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jonathan Cannon.

Ke’Bryan Hayes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, putting up a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .037 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jonathan Cannon.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.325) may lead us to conclude that Bryan Reynolds has been unlucky this year with his .286 actual wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his BABIP talent, Austin Slater is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Slater is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Austin Slater will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Austin Slater usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Falter.

Austin Slater has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 3.4% rate last season to 16.7% this season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Austin Slater ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Joey Bart will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Joey Bart has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last season’s 93-mph average.

Joey Bart’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 43.1% to 51.9%.

Joey Bart’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 12.2% to 17.3%.

Joey Bart has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 2.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 16.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitters such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jonathan Cannon who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.6-mph over the course of the season to 94.3-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Andrew McCutchen has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last year’s 93-mph EV.

As it relates to his home run ability, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Luis Robert Jr. has big-time power (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter has a pitch-to-contact profile (12th percentile K%) — great news for Robert Jr..

Luis Robert Jr. has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage today.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz has strong power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jonathan Cannon doesn’t generate many whiffs (8th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.

Oneil Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The Chicago White Sox have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luis Robert Jr., Michael A. Taylor, Mike Tauchman, Colson Montgomery).

Due to his reverse platoon split, Bailey Falter will hold the advantage facing 7 hitters in the projected batting order who hit from the other side in today’s outing.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Bailey Falter will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Bailey Falter has utilized his change-up 7.4% more often this year (8%) than he did last season (0.6%).

Considering the 1.21 deviation between Bailey Falter’s 5.46 K/9 and his 6.66 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to positively regress in future games.

The 2nd-worst projected lineup of the day in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Bailey Falter is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #29 HR venue among all major league stadiums today.

Out of all starting pitchers, Bailey Falter’s fastball velocity of 91.5 mph grades out in the 18th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Miguel Vargas will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Miguel Vargas has been unlucky this year, compiling a .299 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .031 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Nick Gonzales is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Nick Gonzales will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Nick Gonzales has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 12.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly deflated relative to his 16.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Using Statcast data, Nick Gonzales ranks in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .337.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Nick Gonzales ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lenyn Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Lenyn Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter in today’s game.

Lenyn Sosa has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last 14 days.

Last year, Lenyn Sosa had an average launch angle of 10.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.5°.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Lenyn Sosa’s 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

Negative Match Player Stats with White Sox vs Pirates

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the worst stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs.

The league’s 6th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at PNC Park.

Spencer Horwitz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Spencer Horwitz’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 91.9 mph to 88.8 mph.

Checking in at the 14th percentile, Spencer Horwitz sits with a .273 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Spencer Horwitz has recorded a .226 batting average this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 3rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Colson Montgomery is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground among all parks — generally bad for home runs.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bailey Falter will have the handedness advantage over Colson Montgomery in today’s game.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

As it relates to his home run ability, Edgar Quero ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the worst ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Edgar Quero in today’s matchup.

Edgar Quero has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .269 BA is inflated compared to his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Using Statcast data, Edgar Quero ranks in the 22nd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .295.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Chase Meidroth will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Chase Meidroth is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Chase Meidroth’s 34.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.9%.

The #1 park in the game for suppressing home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

Jonathan Cannon is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.7% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #29 HR venue in Major League Baseball today.

In his previous game started, Jonathan Cannon was rolling and conceded 0 ER.

Jonathan Cannon’s cutter utilization has risen by 6.7% from last season to this one (19.8% to 26.5%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jonathan Cannon in the 18th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

The #6 ballpark in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

Michael A. Taylor is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Michael A. Taylor has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 41% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 12th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes faces a tough challenge today.

In the past 14 days, Ke’Bryan Hayes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 91.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 82.5-mph over the past two weeks.

Bryan Reynolds has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 11.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 5.6% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Bryan Reynolds’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 91.5-mph seasonal average has decreased to 87.2-mph in the last two weeks.

Bryan Reynolds’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 48.8% on the season to 38.9% in the last two weeks.

Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Bryan Reynolds sports a .287 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

30% of the time that Austin Slater has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Austin Slater will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Austin Slater has put up a .283 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile.

Joey Bart is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Batting from the same side that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Joey Bart encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Joey Bart is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.8% rate (87th percentile).

This season, there has been a decline in Joey Bart’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.03 ft/sec last year to 26.45 ft/sec currently.

Placing in the 19th percentile, Joey Bart has put up a .286 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

When estimating his home run talent, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Jonathan Cannon will hold the platoon advantage over Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s launch angle from last season’s 8.9° to 3.2° this season.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 3.2°, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.1°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Jonathan Cannon will have the handedness advantage against Andrew McCutchen today.

In today’s game, Andrew McCutchen is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.1% rate (89th percentile).

Andrew McCutchen has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days.

Andrew McCutchen’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 17.4% to 11.7%.

Luis Robert Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Luis Robert Jr.’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

Luis Robert Jr. has posted a .266 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 10th percentile.

Oneil Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 98-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 95.4-mph in the past two weeks.

Oneil Cruz has compiled a .210 batting average this year, grading out in the 9th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bailey Falter in the 9th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bailey Falter to throw 82 pitches in this game (least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Because groundball hitters hold a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Bailey Falter and his 38.2% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in this outing matching up with 2 opposing GB bats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Bailey Falter’s overall pitching skill is in the 24th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

It may be wise to expect better results for the Chicago White Sox offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Miguel Vargas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Typically, bats like Miguel Vargas who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bailey Falter.

Miguel Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Jonathan Cannon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Gonzales today.

Nick Gonzales has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days.

Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 88.4-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.7-mph in the past 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.9°, Nick Gonzales has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-7.3°) over the past two weeks.

Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.290) implies that Lenyn Sosa has been lucky this year with his .305 actual wOBA.

As it relates to plate discipline, Lenyn Sosa’s skill is quite bad, sporting a 9.18 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 1st percentile.

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