Braves vs Reds match player stats Tuesday, September 17th 2024. Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds

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Braves vs Reds match player stats Tuesday, September 17th 2024. Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds

ATL @ CIN

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Todays Matchup Details

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds

Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 17th
17/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Reds Matchup Today

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson today.

Sean Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

The #2 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP skill.

Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #2 venue in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Grant Holmes today.

Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.

Noelvi Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 38.4% on the season to 66.7% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Among all parks, Great American Ball Park’s left field fences are the 6th-shallowest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average.

Orlando Arcia will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Williamson today.

Orlando Arcia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today.

Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage today.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Williamson throws from, Gio Urshela will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Gio Urshela has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage today.

Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Marcell Ozuna as baseball’s 19th-best home run hitter.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson in today’s matchup.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 venue in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Ty France will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his home run talent, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson today.

Whit Merrifield has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Noelvi Marte’s launch angle recently (22.9° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 11.3° seasonal figure.

Despite posting a .241 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Noelvi Marte has had bad variance on his side given the .048 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Brandon Williamson has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 7 opposite-handed batters in this game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Brandon Williamson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Brandon Williamson has used his cutter 17.2% more often this season (47.1%) than he did last year (29.9%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Jorge Soler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Harris II ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Harris II has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 15.2% in the last two weeks.

Jonathan India will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When estimating his home run skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Whit Merrifield has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .293 figure is quite a bit lower than his .312 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Atlanta Braves have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future, The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best venue in the game for home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Orlando Arcia’s launch angle this year (8.9°) is significantly higher than his 5.5° figure last season.

Santiago Espinal’s launch angle this season (14.8°) is significantly better than his 11.3° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Gio Urshela has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last year’s 87.4-mph mark.

Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Reds

Sean Murphy is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sean Murphy in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Brandon Williamson throws from, Matt Olson will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Olson in today’s matchup.

Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 93.7-mph EV last year has dropped off to 91.2-mph.

In the last week, Matt Olson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 94.3 mph to 87.8 mph.

Matt Olson’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (10.1° in the past two weeks) is considerably worse than his 13.7° seasonal angle.

Elly De La Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz’s true offensive ability to be a .331, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .018 difference between that mark and his actual .349 wOBA.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Grant Holmes will hold the platoon advantage over Noelvi Marte in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Noelvi Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.3% rate (83rd percentile).

Noelvi Marte has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past two weeks.

Noelvi Marte’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 86.3-mph seasonal average has lowered to 81.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Grant Holmes will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Stephenson in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 14 days.

Tyler Stephenson’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 90-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 83.7-mph in the past two weeks.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Stephenson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.302) may lead us to conclude that Tyler Stephenson has been lucky this year with his .336 actual wOBA.

Ty France is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Grant Holmes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty France today.

Ty France has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.

Ty France’s launch angle of late (4.9° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly lower than his 12.6° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Orlando Arcia is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Orlando Arcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Orlando Arcia’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 88.5-mph seasonal average has decreased to 86.5-mph over the past week.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.257) may lead us to conclude that Orlando Arcia has been very fortunate this year with his .276 actual wOBA.

When assessing his home run ability, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Santiago Espinal will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Santiago Espinal’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 87.7 mph to 84.1 mph.

Santiago Espinal has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 15.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 6.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

TJ Friedl’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 85.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 83.5-mph in the last 7 days.

TJ Friedl has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 26.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 14.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

TJ Friedl has recorded a .226 batting average this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.

Gio Urshela is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gio Urshela in today’s matchup.

Gio Urshela’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 45.3% on the season to 25% over the last 7 days.

Gio Urshela’s quickness has declined this year. His 26.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.19 ft/sec now.

Gio Urshela has recorded a .268 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 6th percentile.

When estimating his home run ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Jake Fraley has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.

Jake Fraley’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 89.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 83.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Jake Fraley’s launch angle this year (10.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 16.3° mark last season.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ramon Laureano in today’s game.

When it comes to his batting average, Ramon Laureano has been very fortunate this year. His .250 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232.

Sporting a 5.82 K/BB rate this year, Ramon Laureano has displayed bad plate discipline, checking in at the 18th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Spencer Steer faces a tough challenge today.

Spencer Steer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.6% to 14.9%.

This year, the hardest ball Spencer Steer has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 108 mph (an advanced metric to evaluate power), grading out in the 14th percentile.

Spencer Steer has compiled a .262 BABIP this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.

Utilizing Statcast data, Sean Murphy grades out in the 24th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .210.

Sean Murphy has recorded a .224 BABIP this year, ranking in the 16th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Jonathan India meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Jonathan India is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38% rate (76th percentile).

In the last 7 days, Jonathan India’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.

Jonathan India’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.3-mph mark last season has fallen off to 87.3-mph.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 98.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 95.5-mph in the past two weeks.

Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, compiling a .396 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .048 difference.

When it comes to his home run ability, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Whit Merrifield is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Whit Merrifield will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Whit Merrifield’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (11.6°) is considerably worse than his 15.1° figure last season.

This year, Whit Merrifield’s 2.7% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 6th percentile among his peers.

Utilizing Statcast data, Gio Urshela grades out in the 13th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 9.300.

Brandon Williamson will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Harris II today.

In today’s game, Michael Harris II is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (97th percentile).

Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Michael Harris II’s 4.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11%.

Grading out in the 17th percentile, Michael Harris II has posted a .286 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Despite posting a .313 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes TJ Friedl has had positive variance on his side given the .014 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

When it comes to his batting average, Jake Fraley has been very fortunate this year. His .277 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .231.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Brandon Williamson is projected to throw 83 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 10th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

Out of all starters, Brandon Williamson’s fastball spin rate of 2147.1 rpm is in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

Brandon Williamson has recorded a 9.2% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile.

Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Posting a .229 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jorge Soler grades out in the 21st percentile.

Brandon Williamson was on point in his last GS and conceded 1 ER.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.285) provides evidence that Santiago Espinal has been very fortunate this year with his .298 actual wOBA.

Sporting a .270 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Orlando Arcia has performed in the 8th percentile.

Placing in the 0th percentile, the hardest ball Whit Merrifield has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 104.6 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 13th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

This year, Gio Urshela’s 4.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 17th percentile among his peers.

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