Twins vs Cardinals match player stats | 2025 World Series Game 3 Sunday, March 30th

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Twins vs Cardinals match player stats | 2025 World Series Game 3 Sunday, March 30th

MIN @ STL

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World Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Minnesota Twins at St. Louis Cardinals
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, March 30th
30/03/25 14:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Cardinals Series Game 3 Matchup Today

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Victor Scott will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.

Victor Scott may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

Hitters such as Victor Scott with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Ober who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-lowest fences in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Willson Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Over the past two weeks, Nolan Arenado’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 31% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Andre Pallante.

Willi Castro has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount lower than his 18.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the last week, Willi Castro has posted a 26.7° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .317 figure is a fair amount lower than his .350 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willi Castro ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.8% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

In the past week, Carlos Correa has displayed impressive power, recording a an 18.2% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power).

In the last 7 days, Carlos Correa has averaged an impressive 102.1-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Ty France is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Extreme groundball batters like Byron Buxton tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

Using Statcast metrics, Byron Buxton grades out in the 94th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .370.

When assessing his home run talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton has strong power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante struggles to strike batters out (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Buxton.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Ryan Jeffers has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, compiling a 27.4° angle on such balls over the past 14 days.

Checking in at the 85th percentile, the hardest ball Ryan Jeffers has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.9 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Checking in at the 86th percentile for power, Ryan Jeffers has hit 27.5 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ivan Herrera has been hot recently, notching a a 17.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Bailey Ober in the 94th percentile among all SPs in the game.

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Mike Estabrook) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Bailey Ober’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (61.8% since the start of last season) figures to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Bailey Ober has put up a 14.2% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Bailey Ober has put up a 27.6% Strikeout% since the start of last season, placing in the 88th percentile.

Bailey Ober will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today’s game.

The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today’s game.

Trevor Larnach has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 60% of the time over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Posting a .289 batting average since the start of last season, Jose Miranda grades out in the 92nd percentile.

Posting a .447 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Jose Miranda is positioned in the 75th percentile.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Andre Pallante (59.7% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Minnesota’s projected lineup.

Over his previous 3 outings, Andre Pallante has experienced a notable decline in his fastball velocity: from 93.9 mph over the whole season to 92.8 mph recently.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Andre Pallante has used his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 69.1% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-most strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Minnesota Twins with a 24.1% underlying K%.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Andre Pallante will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Alec Burleson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Alec Burleson is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jordan Walker will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jordan Walker has hit one of the hardest balls in the league in the past 14 days — 115.5-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Masyn Winn has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .267 mark is quite a bit lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Wallner projects as the 15th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Wallner is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Wallner generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Cardinals Series Game 3

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Victor Scott ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Victor Scott is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest right field dimensions among all major league parks.

Victor Scott grades out in the 24th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (38.4% rate since the start of last season).

The standard deviation of Victor Scott’s launch angle since the start of last season (31.9°) is in the 9th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott in the 19th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Ranking in the 14th percentile, Victor Scott sports a .225 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Bailey Ober will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willson Contreras in today’s game.

Willson Contreras has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 25.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 19.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.352) suggests that Willson Contreras has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .370 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Bailey Ober will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan Arenado in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Arenado are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Nolan Arenado has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Willi Castro is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willi Castro in today’s game.

Willi Castro has been cold lately, posting an 82.3-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days.

Willi Castro has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, lifting balls between -4° and 26° just 16.7% of the time in the last week’s worth of games.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for homers.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Correa in today’s game.

Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Notching a 2.7° launch angle in the last 14 days suggests that Carlos Correa has been finding it challenging to lift the ball lately, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage over Ty France today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ty France in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Ty France has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power).

Ty France has displayed some bad exit velocity stats recently, averaging just 86.8-mph on his flyballs in the last week’s worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Byron Buxton will have a tough matchup today.

Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Byron Buxton has displayed poor plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 6th percentile with a 5.12 K/BB rate.

Ryan Jeffers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Jeffers in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Ryan Jeffers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.8% rate (80th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan Jeffers in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Bailey Ober will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ivan Herrera in today’s matchup.

Ivan Herrera has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Bailey Ober to be limited in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.

The St. Louis Cardinals (19.8 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup of the day.

Busch Stadium projects as the #25 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Because flyball batters hold a substantial edge over groundball pitchers, Bailey Ober and his 42.6% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough position in this game squaring off against 1 opposing GB bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bailey Ober in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-luckiest offense in MLB since the start of last season.

The #4 ballpark in the game for suppressing home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Lars Nootbaar’s 5.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the league: 5th percentile.

39% of the time that Trevor Larnach has started against a northpaw since the start of last season, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trevor Larnach today.

Trevor Larnach has struggled to lift the ball of late, putting up a 6.2° launch angle over the last 14 days.

Jose Miranda has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Miranda in today’s game.

Jose Miranda pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Jose Miranda will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Jose Miranda has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .284 rate is a good deal higher than his .251 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andre Pallante in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Minnesota Twins offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andre Pallante in the 12th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Andre Pallante to be on a bit of a short leash today, projecting a maximum of 82 pitches.

Alec Burleson has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Alec Burleson has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Alec Burleson has exhibited some bad exit velocity statistics lately, averaging just 86-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks.

As it relates to his home runs, Alec Burleson has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 21.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.5.

Over the last 14 days, Alec Burleson’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 9.4% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Brendan Donovan has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) has been 108.7 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 19th percentile.

Brendan Donovan hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which generally leads to easy pop-ups. His 15.2% “too-high” rate since the start of last season is in the 22nd percentile.

Jordan Walker is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season, Jordan Walker has been pinch hit for 17% of the time.

Hitting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Jordan Walker encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Notching a 1.2° launch angle in the past 14 days suggests that Jordan Walker has been finding it challenging to lift the ball of late, which is a key component of hitting for power.

With a 5.12 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jordan Walker has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 17th percentile.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Bailey Ober will hold the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.

In the last 14 days, Masyn Winn has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 3.9° angle.

Masyn Winn’s 88-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 6th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Since the start of last season, Matt Wallner has been pulled from the game early in 26% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Matt Wallner pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Wallner in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Matt Wallner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

When it comes to his batting average, Matt Wallner has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .259 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .225.

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