Tigers @ Royals Matchup Details

Positives for the Detroit Tigers Game Today

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.

This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Seth Lugo.

Compared to his seasonal average of 18.7°, Wenceel Perez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.1° angle over the last 14 days.

Wenceel Perez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 20.5%.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #7 park in baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an advantage in today’s game.

Trey Sweeney has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last two weeks.

Trey Sweeney has been unlucky this year, putting up a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .029 disparity.

Colt Keith’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Colt Keith is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Colt Keith ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best venue in baseball for right-handed BABIP.

Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Zach McKinstry’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 16.5% on the season to 25.7% in the last two weeks.

Sporting a .324 BABIP this year, Zach McKinstry has performed in the 80th percentile.

The #1 venue in the league for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

The Detroit Tigers have 6 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in this game.

Seth Lugo’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this season (91.1 mph) below where it was last season (92.2 mph).

Recording 95.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Seth Lugo ranks in the 95th percentile.

The Detroit Tigers have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Dillon Dingler, Trey Sweeney, Spencer Torkelson).

Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Chris Paddack today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.3°, Adam Frazier has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 36° figure over the past week.

It may be best to expect better numbers for the Kansas City Royals offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

Chris Paddack has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, notching a 6.36 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.11 — a 0.75 K/9 difference.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 80th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Gleyber Torres’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 15%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jonathan India’s launch angle this year (16.8°) is a significant increase over his 13.3° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Spencer Torkelson has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.8% rate last season to 13.6% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo in today’s game.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Dillon Dingler’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 50.7% on the season to 84.6% in the past week’s worth of games.

Posting a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Dillon Dingler grades out in the 83rd percentile.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Dillon Dingler ranks in the 79th percentile with a 17.1° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.

Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today.

Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When estimating his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Maikel Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Maikel Garcia’s launch angle this season (9.8°) is significantly better than his 6.2° mark last season.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Michael Massey’s launch angle from last season’s 16.7° to 23.1° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Kerry Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Negatives with the Kansas City Royals Game Today

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #29 field in the majors for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wenceel Perez in today’s matchup.

Wenceel Perez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 2.6% in the last two weeks.

Wenceel Perez has been lucky this year, posting a .341 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .030 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Sweeney in the 19th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Trey Sweeney is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

This year, Trey Sweeney has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Trey Sweeney hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trey Sweeney in today’s game.

This year, Colt Keith has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 33% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Colt Keith has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.

Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the worst ballpark in baseball for right-handed home runs.

Chris Paddack will hold the platoon advantage over Salvador Perez in today’s game.

Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Salvador Perez’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 90-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 82.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

As it relates to plate discipline, Salvador Perez’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.69 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 10th percentile.

In the past 7 days, Salvador Perez’s 11.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

Salvador Perez has posted a .267 BABIP this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

12% of the time that Zach McKinstry has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

The deepest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Kauffman Stadium.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Zach McKinstry in today’s game.

Zach McKinstry’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88-mph figure last season has dropped to 85.9-mph.

The Detroit Tigers have been the 4th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future,Seth Lugo will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats in all categories.

Seth Lugo’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this year (64.2% compared to 57.5% last season) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Seth Lugo has recorded an 8% Swinging Strike percentage this year, checking in at the 11th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Adam Frazier is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Adam Frazier’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 85.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 81.7-mph over the last week.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adam Frazier ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adam Frazier’s true offensive skill to be a .276, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .026 disparity between that mark and his actual .302 wOBA.

Projected catcher Dillon Dingler projects as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kansas City’s 91.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #30 offense in Major League Baseball this year by this metric.

Kansas City ranks as the #27 team in the game when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (14.6% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Paddack to throw 84 pitches in this matchup (9th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Kansas City Royals (19.3 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-prone group of batters of all teams today.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Chris Paddack in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Mike Yastrzemski has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 38% of the time.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s deepest RF fences today.

In the past 7 days, Mike Yastrzemski’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.

Over the past week, Mike Yastrzemski’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 92.8 mph to 87.5 mph.

Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Gleyber Torres will not have the upper hand today.

Gleyber Torres has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gleyber Torres in today’s game.

Gleyber Torres’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.8-mph over the last week.

In the last two weeks, Gleyber Torres’s 23.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.4%.

Jonathan India has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for long-balls.

Chris Paddack will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

In the past 14 days, Jonathan India’s 30.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.8%.

Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Torkelson today.

Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Spencer Torkelson in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Torkelson’s true offensive ability to be a .329, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .016 deviation between that figure and his actual .345 wOBA.

Spencer Torkelson has compiled a .233 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Riley Greene has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 19.9°, Riley Greene’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly recently (16.3° in the past 14 days).

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Riley Greene has been very fortunate this year. His .356 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Riley Greene’s 38.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.7%.

Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Dillon Dingler will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dillon Dingler in today’s matchup.

Dillon Dingler has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 13th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

In the past two weeks, Kyle Isbel’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 86.3 mph to 78.7 mph.

Kyle Isbel’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (-0.5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 3.5° mark last year.

Batting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s deepest RF fences today.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 94.2-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 90.3-mph in the past two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.5°, Bobby Witt Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.9°) in the last 14 days.

Batting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Maikel Garcia has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Maikel Garcia has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s deepest RF fences today.

Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 90.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 87.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.8°, Maikel Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.1°) over the past 14 days.

As it relates to his home run skill, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Maikel Garcia’s true offensive ability to be a .321, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .035 disparity between that figure and his actual .356 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Today, Vinnie Pasquantino is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.6% rate (93rd percentile).

In notching a .265 BABIP this year, Vinnie Pasquantino finds himself in the 16th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s deepest RF fences today.

Michael Massey’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.2-mph EV last season has dropped off to 86.9-mph.

Using Statcast metrics, Michael Massey grades out in the 7th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .217.

Kerry Carpenter has been pinch hit for 31% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s deepest RF fences today.

Kerry Carpenter will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Kerry Carpenter has displayed bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 2nd percentile with a 6.56 K/BB rate.

Kerry Carpenter’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 18.6% on the season to 10.5% in the past 7 days.

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