Tigers @ Mariners Matchup Details

Positives for the Detroit Tigers Game Today

On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

,Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Maxwell Clark will have an edge in today’s game.

,Maxwell Clark has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Maxwell Clark has posted a 25° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the majors’s 9th-best home run batter.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the 7th-best venue in the majors for lefty home runs.

,The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Casey Mize.

,Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for long-balls.

,Throwing 91.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Emerson Hancock ranks in the 77th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #2 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Emerson Hancock will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In notching a .325 BABIP since the start of last season, Javier Baez is ranked in the 91st percentile.

,When it comes to his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

,Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

,T-Mobile Park ranks as the #7 stadium in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Colt Keith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Dillon Dingler’s BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Dillon Dingler is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Compared to last season, Dillon Dingler has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 20.4% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Colt Emerson will have the handedness advantage against Casey Mize today.

,Colt Emerson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Colt Emerson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge today.

,Cole Young is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sporting a 30.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Spencer Torkelson has performed in the 89th percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Gleyber Torres has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Colt Emerson’s launch angle of late (22.8° over the past week) is a considerable increase over his 13.6° seasonal angle.

,Hitting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Zach McKinstry will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Zach McKinstry has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 89.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 85.3-mph figure.

,Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Cal Raleigh has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Josh Naylor is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge today.

,Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks.

,Zach McKinstry’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 21.5%.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Dillon Dingler ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Over the last week, Gleyber Torres’s 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.6%.

Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Game Today

Maxwell Clark is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

,T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 venue in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Maxwell Clark in today’s matchup.

,Maxwell Clark has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) over the last week.

,Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,By putting up a .274 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Cal Raleigh finds himself in the 8th percentile.

,Sporting a .339 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Cal Raleigh finds himself in the 15th percentile.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Riley Greene in today’s matchup.

,Over the last week, Riley Greene’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.9% down to 7.1%.

,Riley Greene’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 91-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.6-mph over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst field in the majors for left-handed batting average.

,Over his previous 3 games started, Emerson Hancock has seen a notable decline in his fastball velocity: from 94.8 mph over the entire season to 93.8 mph of late.

,Emerson Hancock has used his change-up 15.3% less often this season (4.9%) than he did last season (20.2%).

,With a 0.63 difference between Emerson Hancock’s 8.32 K/9 and his 7.69 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year in terms of strikeouts and should see worse results the rest of the season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 15th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Javier Baez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the same side that Emerson Hancock throws from, Javier Baez will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Javier Baez in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 93 mph to 87.6 mph.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kevin McGonigle in today’s game.

,Kevin McGonigle’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 92.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 89.7-mph over the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kevin McGonigle’s true offensive talent to be a .345, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .018 disparity between that mark and his actual .363 wOBA.

,Javier Baez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.2-mph EV last year has dropped off to 84.2-mph.

,Casey Mize will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s game.

,Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 94-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 89.8-mph over the last 7 days.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this season (8.3°) is quite a bit worse than his 13.4° angle last season.

,Colt Keith has been pinch hit for 48% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Colt Keith’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 88.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.8-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Colt Keith has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 23rd percentile with a 3.37 K/BB rate.

,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #30 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Emerson Hancock will have the handedness advantage over Dillon Dingler in today’s game.

,Dillon Dingler will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Dillon Dingler’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 89-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 78.8-mph over the last week.

,Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Emerson Hancock will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Torkelson in today’s game.

,Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Dominic Canzone has been pinch hit for 27% of the time.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dominic Canzone’s true offensive talent to be a .334, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .027 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .361 wOBA.

,Dillon Dingler’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 47.6% on the season to 36.8% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Colt Emerson is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Colt Emerson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 89.8-mph seasonal average has fallen to 78.3-mph in the past two weeks.

,Colt Emerson has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Cole Young’s launch angle this year (14.4°) is significantly lower than his 17.7° figure last season.

,Cole Young’s launch angle in recent games (-1° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 14.4° seasonal mark.

,Emerson Hancock will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gleyber Torres in today’s game.

,Gleyber Torres’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 89.8-mph mark last year has fallen to 85.9-mph.

,There has been a significant decline in Gleyber Torres’s launch angle from last year’s 14° to 8.5° this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach McKinstry in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Zach McKinstry is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Zach McKinstry has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zach McKinstry in today’s game.

,Sporting a 11.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Zach McKinstry grades out in the 17th percentile for power.

,Cal Raleigh’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,From last season to this one, Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 39% to 31.5%.

,Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 89-mph seasonal average has decreased to 81.8-mph in the past two weeks.

,In the past week, Josh Naylor has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power).

,In notching a .155 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Josh Naylor has performed in the 9th percentile.

,Ranking in the 6th percentile, Colt Emerson sits with a .271 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,In the last week, Maxwell Clark has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 83.9-mph on his flyballs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in the game for batting average.

,Emerson Hancock was rolling in his last start and conceded 0 ER.

,Emerson Hancock has recorded a 3.55 K/BB rate this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

,Spencer Torkelson’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 89.5-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.7-mph over the last 7 days.

,In the last week, Dillon Dingler’s 15.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.4%.

,Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dillon Dingler has had positive variance on his side given the .041 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

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