World Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Guardians Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tanner Bibee in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

Tanner Bibee has averaged 92.4 adjusted pitches per start since the start of last season, placing in the 75th percentile.

Projected catcher Bo Naylor projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The league’s 4th-highest fences can be found at Progressive Field.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games today at 44°.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tanner Bibee in the 81st percentile among all starters in the majors.

The Kansas City Royals have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cavan Biggio, MJ Melendez, Drew Waters).

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Kris Bubic.

Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in the game for RHB base hits.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Ramirez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kris Bubic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Salvador Perez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 17.6% to 20.7%.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Kris Bubic (44.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Cleveland’s projected batting order.

Kris Bubic will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Kris Bubic has been lucky since the start of last season, notching a 1.88 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.10 — a 2.22 deviation.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kris Bubic in the 81st percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bo Naylor, Gabriel Arias, Jhonkensy Noel).

Kris Bubic was on point in his last game started and compiled 8 strikeouts.

Lane Thomas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Kris Bubic in today’s matchup.

Lane Thomas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Gabriel Arias will have the handedness advantage over Kris Bubic today.

Gabriel Arias has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Gabriel Arias will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Gabriel Arias’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) has been 113.4 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year’s 87.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP.

MJ Melendez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today.

MJ Melendez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) suggests that MJ Melendez has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .200 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.307) suggests that MJ Melendez has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .286 actual wOBA.

Since the start of last season, MJ Melendez has an average exit velocity of 90.9 mph, which is one of the best in the majors at the 83rd percentile.

Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (31.8) implies that Bobby Witt Jr. has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 26.0 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 5th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average skill.

Compared to last year, Bobby Witt Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.7% to 52.9% this season.

Maikel Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Maikel Garcia tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Bibee.

Maikel Garcia has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 3.8% rate last season to 10.3% this year.

Maikel Garcia’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 93.6-mph now compared to just 90.4-mph then.

Maikel Garcia’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Brayan Rocchio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Kris Bubic in this game.

Brayan Rocchio will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Brayan Rocchio is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).

Jhonkensy Noel is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Jhonkensy Noel will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Jhonkensy Noel pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonkensy Noel in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Steven Kwan will hold that advantage today.

Steven Kwan has recorded a .349 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile.

With a 0.98 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Steven Kwan has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Vinnie Pasquantino’s launch angle from last season’s 14.4° to 25° this season.

Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Guardians

It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Kansas City Royals offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Progressive Field projects as the #7 stadium in the majors for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB.

Tanner Bibee has relied on his cutter 8.8% less often this season (15.6%) than he did last season (24.4%).

Kansas City’s 89.5-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the best in MLB: #4 overall.

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.

In his previous game started, Tanner Bibee struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.

Considering the 0.49 deviation between Tanner Bibee’s 9.47 K/9 and his 8.98 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see negative regression in the future.

The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the best out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-worst stadium in the league for right-handed home runs.

Carlos Santana’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 15.3% to 9.7%.

Carlos Santana has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .327 figure is quite a bit higher than his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 0th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

This year, there has been a decline in Carlos Santana’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.93 ft/sec last year to 24.54 ft/sec currently.

Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91-mph figure last year has decreased to 88.7-mph.

Jose Ramirez’s footspeed has declined this season. His 28.17 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.69 ft/sec now.

Jose Ramirez has had some very good luck with with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .368 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his home runs, Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 35.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 30.8.

Tanner Bibee will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Salvador Perez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Bibee.

Salvador Perez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kris Bubic in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

Kris Bubic was rolling in his previous GS and gave up 0 ER.

Among all starters, Kris Bubic’s fastball spin rate of 2363.4 rpm is in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Kris Bubic has averaged 73.4 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season, checking in at the 0th percentile.

Kris Bubic has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting an 11.51 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.20 — a 2.31 K/9 discrepancy.

With a .188 wOBA over the last 14 days, Lane Thomas has been struggling at the plate.

Lane Thomas’s 89.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 16th percentile since the start of last season.

This season, there has been a decline in Lane Thomas’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.21 ft/sec last year to 28.73 ft/sec currently.

Gabriel Arias is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Typically, hitters like Gabriel Arias who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Kris Bubic.

Posting a .252 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gabriel Arias finds himself in the 15th percentile for offensive skills.

Gabriel Arias’s 4.7° launch angle (an advanced metric to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the league: 9th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Jonathan India meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.53 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

MJ Melendez is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

MJ Melendez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 2nd-worst field in the majors for LHB home runs.

Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Bobby Witt Jr. generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Bibee.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 16th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Maikel Garcia will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 9th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brayan Rocchio hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

In notching a .266 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Brayan Rocchio is positioned in the 6th percentile for hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonkensy Noel in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jhonkensy Noel has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .210 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .187 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jhonkensy Noel ranks in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (30.3% rate since the start of last season).

Sporting a 4.43 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jhonkensy Noel has shown poor plate discipline, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.290) provides evidence that Jhonkensy Noel has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .313 actual wOBA.

When assessing his home run skill, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kris Bubic will hold the platoon advantage over Steven Kwan today.

Steven Kwan’s launch angle this season (7.8°) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.8° mark last year.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Steven Kwan has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .349 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.

Since the start of last season, Steven Kwan’s 2.7% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 6th percentile among his peers.

Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.5-mph mark last year has fallen to 89.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

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