World Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Reds Matchup Today

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.5-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #4 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Endy Rodriguez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Endy Rodriguez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brady Singer.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams in action today.

The #4 venue in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

When it comes to his home run ability, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Blake Dunn will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Blake Dunn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Blake Dunn will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Blake Dunn’s BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Bailey Falter.

Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,The #2 venue in the majors for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.

Brady Singer has averaged 95.3 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season, grading out in the 91st percentile.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Brady Singer in the 76th percentile among all starters in the majors.

Considering Brady Singer’s large platoon split, Adam Frazier will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.284) implies that Adam Frazier has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .250 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 2.4% rate last year to 9.1% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brady Singer) in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tommy Pham has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Tommy Pham has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .287 figure is a fair amount lower than his .305 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his home runs, Tommy Pham has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 10.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.2.

Tommy Pham has really hit the cover off the baseball. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.6 mph) rate him as one of the game’s best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 78th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Joey Bart pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Jose Trevino will have an edge today.

Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Jose Trevino will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Santiago Espinal will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Santiago Espinal’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The 5th-weakest projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Given his reverse platoon split, Bailey Falter will benefit from matching up with 7 bats in the projected batting order who bat from the other side today.

In his last GS, Bailey Falter turned in a great performance and allowed 2 ER.

Bailey Falter’s four-seamer utilization has fallen by 6.8% from last year to this one (48.5% to 41.7%) .

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Blake Dunn, Gavin Lux).

Considering the 0.81 difference between Bailey Falter’s 6.26 K/9 and his 7.07 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and figures to see positive regression in future games.

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

TJ Friedl will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Spencer Steer will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Jack Suwinski is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Considering Brady Singer’s large platoon split, Jack Suwinski will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

Jack Suwinski pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Reds

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50,°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Bailey Falter in today’s game.

Elly De La Cruz’s speed has declined this season. His 30.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.49 ft/sec now.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Elly De La Cruz ranks in just the 22nd percentile with a 9.8° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in the league.

Endy Rodriguez is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Endy Rodriguez in today’s game.

With a .228 wOBA over the last two weeks, Christian Encarnacion-Strand has been struggling at the plate.

Posting a .228 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Christian Encarnacion-Strand is ranked in the 15th percentile.

With a 9.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Christian Encarnacion-Strand has shown bad plate discipline, ranking in the 4th percentile.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand grades out in the 13th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (10.3% rate since the start of last season).

Blake Dunn is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

This season, there has been a decline in Blake Dunn’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.32 ft/sec last year to 28.66 ft/sec currently.

Jeimer Candelario’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 17.7% to 3.4%.

Jeimer Candelario’s speed has declined this season. His 27.39 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.86 ft/sec now.

In notching a .291 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jeimer Candelario is positioned in the 25th percentile for hitting ability.

Posting a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jeimer Candelario finds himself in the 19th percentile.

Jeimer Candelario has been cold of late, posting a .175 wOBA over the last 14 days.

Jeimer Candelario’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) has been 108.2 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Brady Singer’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 78th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league currently.

Jose Trevino, the Reds’s expected catcher today, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brady Singer is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.6% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Great American Ball Park — the #2 HR venue among all stadiums — in this game.

Brady Singer will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Brady Singer’s slider usage has dropped by 13.3% from last season to this one (45.5% to 32.2%) .

Among all starting pitchers, Brady Singer’s fastball velocity of 92.3 mph grades out in the 24th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Adam Frazier is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adam Frazier in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, Adam Frazier is in the 8th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 7.100.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adam Frazier ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adam Frazier’s 2.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 6th percentile since the start of last season.

Considering Brady Singer’s large platoon split, Ke’Bryan Hayes will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s matchup.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has compiled a .267 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 7th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Posting a .260 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Ke’Bryan Hayes has performed in the 4th percentile.

Using Statcast data, Ke’Bryan Hayes ranks in the 8th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 6.800.

Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

There has been a significant decline in Bryan Reynolds’s launch angle from last year’s 9.1° to 1.5° this year.

Bryan Reynolds’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 27.97 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.98 ft/sec now.

Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Brady Singer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tommy Pham in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.

Typically, bats like Tommy Pham who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brady Singer.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tommy Pham in today’s matchup.

Brady Singer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Bart in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.

Joey Bart will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Joey Bart’s footspeed has declined this year. His 27.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.01 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.304) provides evidence that Joey Bart has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .349 actual wOBA.

Joey Bart ranks in the 15th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12.4% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Trevino in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jose Trevino is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jose Trevino’s speed has declined this season. His 24.43 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 23.68 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.6) may lead us to conclude that Jose Trevino has been lucky since the start of last season with his 20.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Trevino in the 15th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jose Trevino has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 7.2° mark is among the lowest in the game since the start of last season (20th percentile).

Jose Trevino has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .290 rate is considerably higher than his .265 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 7th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Santiago Espinal has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (5.5) suggests that Santiago Espinal has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 12.8 actual HR/600.

Using Statcast metrics, Santiago Espinal is in the 12th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .275.

Santiago Espinal’s 1.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 3rd percentile since the start of last season.

Placing in the 2nd percentile, the hardest ball Santiago Espinal has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 105.9 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bailey Falter in the 17th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bailey Falter to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (5th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,Joey Bart, the Pirates’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bailey Falter in the 20th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bailey Falter in today’s matchup.

TJ Friedl’s BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bailey Falter will have the handedness advantage against TJ Friedl today.

TJ Friedl’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 18.8% to 8.6%.

This year, there has been a decline in TJ Friedl’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.48 ft/sec last year to 24.43 ft/sec currently.

When assessing his home run ability, TJ Friedl ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

TJ Friedl has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 11.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Spencer Steer has been cold recently, struggling to the tune of a .221 wOBA in the past two weeks.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Spencer Steer has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 108 mph (a reliable stat to evaluate power), grading out in the 11th percentile.

This year, there has been a decline in Spencer Steer’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.16 ft/sec last year to 27.55 ft/sec currently.

In notching a .225 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Spencer Steer has performed in the 21st percentile.

Sporting a .251 BABIP since the start of last season, Spencer Steer finds himself in the 8th percentile.

Jack Suwinski will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

With a .199 wOBA in the last two weeks, Jack Suwinski has been struggling at the plate.

With a .253 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jack Suwinski is positioned in the 3rd percentile.

Jack Suwinski has put up a .311 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, checking in at the 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 8th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Jack Suwinski has notched a .174 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 1st percentile.

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