Reds @ White Sox Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Cincinnati Reds Series Game 2 Game Today

This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate (90%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

,Chase Meidroth has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Chase Meidroth will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,Chase Meidroth has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5% seasonal rate to 10.3% over the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best stadium in the majors for righty batting average.

,Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Colson Montgomery projects as the 19th-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today’s matchup.

,Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Throwing 92.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Rhett Lowder checks in at the 83rd percentile.

,It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jim Wolf) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

,The #5 venue in the game for suppressing BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

,Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

,Rhett Lowder was in good form in his last game started and gave up 2 ER.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-most strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Chicago White Sox with a 24.1% underlying K%.

,Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

,Tyler Stephenson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Braden Montgomery’s BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average.

,The switch-hitting Braden Montgomery will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Rhett Lowder.

,Braden Montgomery has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Dane Myers has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Grading out in the 75th percentile, Dane Myers has notched a .310 BABIP since the start of last season.

,JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s matchup… and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.

,JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Antonacci in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Samuel Antonacci is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Samuel Antonacci will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 18% on the season to 27.3% in the last 14 days.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, posting a .193 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .285 — a .092 difference.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Matt McLain’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16% to 23%.

,Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Munetaka Murakami is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for home runs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Miguel Vargas will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, JJ Bleday ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Antonacci in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Samuel Antonacci has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Luis Castillo has averaged 96.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 96th percentile.

,The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Stephenson, Eugenio Suarez, Matt McLain).

,Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats today… and will be extra-advantaged due to his large platoon split.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Luis Castillo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Luis Castillo… and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.

,Elly De La Cruz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Munetaka Murakami in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Over the past week, Matt McLain’s 44.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 23%.

,Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Hector Rodriguez will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,Chase Meidroth’s BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Checking in at the 12th percentile, Rhett Lowder has compiled a 1.94 K/BB rate this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Sal Stewart has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an advantage today.

,Andrew Benintendi pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Tristan Peters will have an edge in today’s game.

,Tristan Peters pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Tristan Peters will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Braden Montgomery will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Braden Montgomery has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3.8% seasonal rate to 9.1% over the past week.

,Eugenio Suarez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the last 7 days.

,Drew Romo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Drew Romo will hold that advantage today.

,Drew Romo has been unlucky this year, compiling a .213 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .262 — a .049 deviation.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 80th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Tyler Stephenson’s launch angle in recent games (21.3° in the last week) is significantly better than his 16.7° seasonal angle.

,Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have an edge today.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 17.5°, Tristan Peters has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.5° angle in the past two weeks.

,In the past 7 days, Sal Stewart’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph recently.

,Drew Romo’s 19° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in baseball: 83rd percentile.

Negatives with the Chicago White Sox Series Game 2 Game Today

When assessing his home run skill, Chase Meidroth ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Chase Meidroth has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage over Chase Meidroth in today’s matchup.

,Chase Meidroth’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 87.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 84.8-mph over the past 7 days.

,Chase Meidroth’s launch angle recently (2.6° over the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 8° seasonal figure.

,Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

,Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .201.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Eugenio Suarez’s talent is quite weak, posting a 3.9 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 13th percentile.

,Checking in at the 6th percentile, Eugenio Suarez has posted a .204 batting average this year.

,Colson Montgomery has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Over the past 7 days, Colson Montgomery’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Colson Montgomery’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 3.77 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 15th percentile.

,Among all stadiums, Guaranteed Rate Field’s left field dimensions are the shallowest.

,With 7 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Rhett Lowder will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

,Rhett Lowder will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Rhett Lowder has notched an 8.6% Swinging Strike percentage this year, checking in at the 13th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 3rd-worst field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

,Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

,Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Tyler Stephenson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph dropping to 87.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 21.7% to 18.5%.

,Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 46% on the season to 33.3% over the last week.

,Braden Montgomery is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

,Braden Montgomery’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 89-mph seasonal average has decreased to 86-mph in the past 7 days.

,Braden Montgomery’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 44% on the season to 25% in the last 7 days.

,Dane Myers is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

,Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Dane Myers will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,Dane Myers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Over the last two weeks, Dane Myers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

,Dane Myers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 91.4-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 86.7-mph over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Using Statcast data, JJ Bleday grades out in the 5th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .263.

,With a .176 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , JJ Bleday finds himself in the 1st percentile.

,By putting up a .236 BABIP this year, JJ Bleday finds himself in the 5th percentile.

,In the last 7 days, Samuel Antonacci’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

,Samuel Antonacci has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 84.5-mph over the last week.

,Samuel Antonacci’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 14.5% on the season to 9.7% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Ranking in the 21st percentile for power, Samuel Antonacci has paced 11.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ke’Bryan Hayes ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ke’Bryan Hayes is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

,17% of the time that Ke’Bryan Hayes has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Luis Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Matt McLain is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Matt McLain will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.

,Matt McLain will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Matt McLain’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 80.5-mph over the last two weeks.

,Sporting a .216 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Matt McLain is ranked in the 11th percentile.

,In the past week, Munetaka Murakami’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 100.1 mph to 97.6 mph.

,Munetaka Murakami’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, falling from 35.8% on the season to 20% in the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Munetaka Murakami’s true offensive skill to be a .345, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .037 difference between that mark and his actual .382 wOBA.

,Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage against Miguel Vargas in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Miguel Vargas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.2% down to 0%.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Ke’Bryan Hayes ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today’s game.

,Elly De La Cruz’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 93.5-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 91.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Over the past two weeks, Elly De La Cruz’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

,Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, putting up a .366 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .343 — a .023 difference.

,Ranking in the 8th percentile, Miguel Vargas has posted a .245 BABIP this year.

,Matt McLain has posted a .286 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Hector Rodriguez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Hector Rodriguez in today’s game.

,Hector Rodriguez has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the last week’s worth of games.

,In the last week, Hector Rodriguez has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 80.8-mph on his flyballs.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Hector Rodriguez’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,With a 0.64 discrepancy between Rhett Lowder’s 5.26 ERA and his 4.62 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year and figures to see better results in the future.

,Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Sal Stewart will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.

,Sal Stewart will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Sal Stewart’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.1% down to 6.7%.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Sal Stewart’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.6%.

,In the past week, Andrew Benintendi’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

,Andrew Benintendi’s launch angle this year (16.9°) is significantly lower than his 20.6° figure last season.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Andrew Benintendi ranks in the 14th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .220.

,Cincinnati Reds hitters jointly place in the league for power this year when assessing with their 9.8% Barrel%.

,Ranking 2nd-highest in MLB since the start of last season, Cincinnati Reds batters as a group have compiled a 16.1° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (an advanced stat to measure power skills).

,When estimating his home run talent, Tristan Peters ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tristan Peters is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

,Tristan Peters has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 14 days.

,Over the past 14 days, Tristan Peters’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.2 mph to 81.2 mph.

,Luis Castillo turned in a great performance in his previous outing and allowed 0 ER.

,In the last two weeks, Braden Montgomery’s 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%.

,There has been a significant decline in Eugenio Suarez’s launch angle from last season’s 22° to 18.7° this year.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Drew Romo ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Drew Romo is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Drew Romo’s 82.9-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in Major League Baseball this year: 5th percentile.

,Drew Romo is in the 11th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (33.7% rate this year).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,With a .233 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Colson Montgomery is ranked in the 25th percentile.

,Eugenio Suarez’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Despite posting a .323 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tristan Peters has been lucky given the .028 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.

,In the past 14 days, Tristan Peters’s 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47%.

,With a .213 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Drew Romo is positioned in the 12th percentile.

,Placing in the 17th percentile, Drew Romo has notched a .263 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

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