Reds vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 10th

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Reds vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 10th

CIN @ SD

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Reds @ Padres Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 10th
Time : 10/09/25 20:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Cincinnati Reds Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.

The weather report projects the 5th-best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side against Nick Pivetta in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Andrew Abbott in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

Andrew Abbott has averaged 94.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Petco Park projects as the #26 field in Major League Baseball for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his previous GS, Andrew Abbott was rolling and conceded 1 ER.

The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Andrew Abbott’s four-seam fastball percentage has decreased by 6.1% from last season to this one (53.5% to 47.4%) .

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nick Pivetta in the 92nd percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Nick Pivetta has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.

The Cincinnati Reds have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Will Benson, Tyler Stephenson, Elly De La Cruz).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nick Pivetta in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

Nick Pivetta will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Luis Arraez may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today’s game.

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Game Today

The #7 park in the league for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.5-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Jackson Merrill will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Chad Fairchild) behind the plate in this game.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.

Andrew Abbott is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.8% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #10 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the San Diego Padres with a 18.9% underlying K%.

Andrew Abbott will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Austin Hays meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Hays in today’s game.

Nick Pivetta is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #10 HR venue in the league in this game.

In his previous game started, Nick Pivetta was rolling and conceded 0 ER.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Nick Pivetta will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Stephenson today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gavin Lux today.

When estimating his home run skill, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andrew Abbott will have the handedness advantage against Luis Arraez today.

Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Sheets in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

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