Cardinals vs Mariners match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 10th

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Cardinals vs Mariners match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 10th

STL @ SEA

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Cardinals @ Mariners Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : St. Louis Cardinals at Seattle Mariners
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 10th
Time : 10/09/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Thomas Saggese has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Victor Scott II will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Victor Scott II has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Projected catcher Pedro Pages projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #2 ballpark in MLB for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

Given the 1.17 discrepancy between Michael McGreevy’s 5.30 K/9 and his 6.47 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and should perform better in the future.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the majors’s 14th-best home run hitter.

Eugenio Suarez has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.

Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Josh Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today’s matchup.

Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Michael McGreevy today.

J.P. Crawford has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Jorge Polanco usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Ivan Herrera has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.6% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Cal Raleigh are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Logan Gilbert projects as the 16th-best pitcher in the majors currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Logan Gilbert will hold that advantage today.

Logan Gilbert projects as the 14th-best starter in the majors right now as it relates to his strikeout skill, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The St. Louis Cardinals have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Pedro Pages, Thomas Saggese, Nolan Gorman, Willson Contreras).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill.

Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Julio Rodriguez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s matchup.

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Nolan Gorman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today.

Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Pedro Pages has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today’s game.

Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Game Today

Thomas Saggese is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

T-Mobile Park projects as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Thomas Saggese today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Thomas Saggese in today’s matchup.

T-Mobile Park grades out as the #30 venue in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 21st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Victor Scott II is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The #1 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael McGreevy in the 9th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael McGreevy to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (5th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ben May) calling pitches in this game.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Michael McGreevy (48.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 GB hitters in Seattle’s projected batting order.

Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage against Willson Contreras today.

Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Batting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Eugenio Suarez faces a tough challenge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Michael McGreevy will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena today.

Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Ivan Herrera meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Michael McGreevy,The 4th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in T-Mobile Park.

Logan Gilbert’s 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.8-mph drop off from last season’s 96.6-mph figure.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Logan Gilbert has utilized his off-speed and breaking pitches 5.3% less often this year (62.4%) than he did last season (67.7%).

Logan Gilbert’s 2116-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 3rd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Michael McGreevy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lars Nootbaar today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Nolan Gorman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 22nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Pedro Pages is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

Logan Gilbert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pedro Pages in today’s matchup.

Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

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