Reds vs Dodgers match player stats | Playoffs 2025 Tuesday, September 30th

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CIN @ LAD

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Reds @ Dodgers Matchup Details

Teams : Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers
Postseason Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 30th
Time : 30/09/25 21:08:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Cincinnati Reds Game Postseason Today

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #1 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Dodger Stadium has the shortest fences in the majors.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average.

Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the best field in baseball for left-handed home runs.

Dodger Stadium profiles as the #6 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Among all parks, Dodger Stadium’s centerfield fences are the shallowest.

Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Max Muncy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Max Muncy will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Mookie Betts is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Greene in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Ke’Bryan Hayes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best stadium in the league for home runs.

When assessing his strikeout talent, Blake Snell projects as the 9th-best SP in MLB right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Cincinnati Reds with a 22.5% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Miguel Andujar is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Greene in today’s matchup.

Andy Pages’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Hunter Greene projects as the 15th-best starter in the league currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to their .347 overall projected rate, the .333 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup in this game suggests this version of the lineup considerably weaker than usual.

Given that groundball pitchers have a sizeable edge over groundball bats, Hunter Greene and his 40.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in this game facing 3 opposing GB bats.

Hunter Greene’s 98.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.2-mph rise from last year’s 97.6-mph figure.

Hunter Greene’s 2439-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 84th percentile among all SPs.

Hunter Greene projects as the 6th-best pitcher in MLB right now when it comes to his strikeout skill, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Checking in at the 98th percentile, Hunter Greene notched a 15.4% Swinging Strike% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Matt McLain will have the upper hand today.

Noelvi Marte’s BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Postseason Today

Elly De La Cruz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Blake Snell,Elly De La Cruz has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

Elly De La Cruz has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .333 figure is a good deal higher than his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .419 rate is quite a bit higher than his .402 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Hays in today’s game.

Austin Hays has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .327 figure is a fair amount higher than his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to plate discipline, Austin Hays’s skill is quite poor, posting a 3.83 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 19th percentile.

Austin Hays has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .266 BA is inflated compared to his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 24th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .231.

Sporting a .225 batting average this year, Tyler Stephenson has performed in the 17th percentile.

Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Extreme groundball bats like Max Muncy tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

Max Muncy’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (22.7°) is significantly lower than his 26.4° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Max Muncy’s true offensive talent to be a .341, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .025 gap between that mark and his actual .366 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Mookie Betts has a tough challenge today.

Extreme groundball bats like Mookie Betts usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

Mookie Betts has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Mookie Betts’s launch angle this season (17.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 21.4° figure last year.

Grading out in the 13th percentile, Mookie Betts sits with a .259 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Michael Conforto is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Michael Conforto has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time.

Michael Conforto has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 83.8-mph over the past 14 days.

In the past week, Michael Conforto’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

Michael Conforto has been cold recently, limping his way to a .288 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When estimating his home run ability, Ke’Bryan Hayes ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 88.9-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 83.4-mph in the last 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.3°, Ke’Bryan Hayes has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.7°) over the last two weeks.

Tommy Edman is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will bat from his bad side against Hunter Greene today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 89.4 mph to 76.3 mph.

Tommy Edman’s launch angle of late (-1° in the last week’s worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 11.6° seasonal mark.

Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 17.1% to 12.8%.

Blake Snell projects as the 14th-best pitcher in MLB currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Cincinnati Reds projected lineup projects as the 2nd-weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Blake Snell will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Blake Snell’s change-up usage has increased by 6.1% from last year to this one (17.5% to 23.6%) .

Blake Snell’s 2453-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 87th percentile out of all starters.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Blake Snell is projected to throw 81 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of the day.

Blake Snell’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.3 mph this year (94.5 mph) below where it was last season (95.8 mph).

Hunter Greene will have the handedness advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 3.3% over the past two weeks.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.8% to 38.7%.

As it relates to plate discipline, Teoscar Hernandez’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 5.02 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 6th percentile.

Freddie Freeman’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 85.5-mph over the past two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.2°, Freddie Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.4°) in the last two weeks.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year. His .370 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Miguel Andujar has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 26% of the time.

Miguel Andujar will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Miguel Andujar’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.1%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.287) may lead us to conclude that Miguel Andujar has been very fortunate this year with his .354 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Ben Rortvedt is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Ben Rortvedt has been pinch hit for 11% of the time.

Ben Rortvedt’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.2-mph figure last year has dropped off to 81.2-mph.

In the past 14 days, Ben Rortvedt’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 84.9 mph to 82.7 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 4th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Andy Pages is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Andy Pages will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Andy Pages tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

Andy Pages’s launch angle this season (17.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 20.6° angle last year.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.5) provides evidence that Andy Pages has been very fortunate this year with his 26.0 actual HR/600.

As it relates to plate discipline, Andy Pages’s skill is quite bad, putting up a 4.64 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Blake Snell will hold the platoon advantage against TJ Friedl today.

TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

TJ Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

TJ Friedl’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 18.8% to 13.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 20th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Steer in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Spencer Steer’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.297) suggests that Spencer Steer has had some very good luck this year with his .316 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Placing in the 22nd percentile, Spencer Steer has put up a .231 batting average this year.

Hunter Greene is expected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup, which is the 4th-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Tyler Stephenson (the Reds’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 21.8% underlying K%.

Matt McLain has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt McLain in today’s matchup.

Matt McLain has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

Utilizing Statcast data, Matt McLain is in the 12th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .218.

Ranking in the 8th percentile, Matt McLain has put up a .327 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

In notching a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Matt McLain is positioned in the 10th percentile.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Matt McLain grades out in the 14th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .287.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Noelvi Marte today.

Noelvi Marte has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 85.3-mph over the last 7 days.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Noelvi Marte’s 35.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.1) provides evidence that Noelvi Marte has been very fortunate this year with his 23.3 actual HR/600.

Noelvi Marte has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 4th percentile with a 5.53 K/BB rate.

Noelvi Marte has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .322 rate is considerably higher than his .292 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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