Tigers @ Guardians Matchup Details

Positives for the Detroit Tigers Game Postseason Today

Progressive Field projects as the #3 field in the league for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his strong side against Gavin Williams in this game.

Wenceel Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Wenceel Perez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 14.1% to 20.5%.

Angel Martinez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

The #3 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Angel Martinez will get to bat from his better side against Tarik Skubal in today’s game.

Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Among all stadiums, Progressive Field’s RF fences are the shallowest.

Kyle Manzardo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Progressive Field profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Progressive Field has the shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Gavin Williams has relied on his change-up 5.3% less often this year (0.1%) than he did last year (5.4%).

Gavin Williams has had some very good luck with his ERA this year; his 3.06 figure is a fair amount lower than his 4.46 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Gavin Williams in the 82nd percentile among all starters in MLB.

The Detroit Tigers (24.6% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the most strikeout-prone group of batters of all teams on the slate today.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Gavin Williams will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Javier Baez’s launch angle in recent games (24.3° over the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 11.4° seasonal mark.

Compared to last year, Javier Baez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 35% to 40.9% this season.

Austin Hedges will have the handedness advantage over Tarik Skubal in today’s matchup.

Austin Hedges pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Austin Hedges will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tarik Skubal as the best starting pitcher in the league right now.

The worst projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.

Tarik Skubal’s 2354-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a sizeable 128-rpm spike from last year’s 2226-rpm mark.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Tarik Skubal projects as the best starter in the game right now as it relates to his strikeout talent, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Cleveland Guardians have 5 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gabriel Arias, Austin Hedges, Johnathan Rodriguez, Kyle Manzardo, Jhonkensy Noel).

Tarik Skubal’s 96.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 96th percentile out of all SPs.

Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams today.

Zach McKinstry’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (28.2° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 14.4° seasonal figure.

Gleyber Torres’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Gleyber Torres has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Gabriel Arias will have an edge in today’s game.

Gabriel Arias has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Gabriel Arias will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his home run talent, Bo Naylor ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

As it relates to his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Gavin Williams today.

Dillon Dingler’s BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dillon Dingler’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 53.1% on the season to 60% over the last 14 days.

Brayan Rocchio will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

In the last week’s worth of games, Brayan Rocchio’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph recently.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.1°, Brayan Rocchio has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.7°) over the past two weeks.

Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Jhonkensy Noel will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Jhonkensy Noel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run talent, Jhonkensy Noel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Steven Kwan will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Parker Meadows is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge in today’s game.

Parker Meadows pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Kerry Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today’s game.

Johnathan Rodriguez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Johnathan Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage over Tarik Skubal in today’s game.

Johnathan Rodriguez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Game Postseason Today

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

In MLB, the 4th-highest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the best of the day for mound aces.

Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wenceel Perez today.

Wenceel Perez’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90.3-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 87.1-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Progressive Field profiles as the #27 venue in the majors for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Angel Martinez in the 23rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Angel Martinez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 79.1-mph over the last week.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Angel Martinez has had some very good luck this year. His .274 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .261.

Angel Martinez has recorded a .214 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #1 field in the league for suppressing home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Batting from the same side that Tarik Skubal throws from, Kyle Manzardo will be in a tough position today.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Manzardo has had some very good luck this year. His .330 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

By putting up a .267 BABIP this year, Kyle Manzardo is ranked in the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gavin Williams in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

The 3rd-worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Detroit Tigers.

Projected catcher Austin Hedges projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Gavin Williams is projected to throw 83 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-most of the day.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Javier Baez ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Javier Baez is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Javier Baez has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Austin Hedges’s BABIP talent is projected in the 0th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Hedges is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a southpaw this year, Austin Hedges has been pinch hit for 20% of the time.

Based on Statcast metrics, Austin Hedges is in the 11th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .230.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hedges in the 2nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 90.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.4-mph in the last two weeks.

Jose Ramirez’s launch angle of late (1.4° over the last 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 18.9° seasonal angle.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.340) provides evidence that Jose Ramirez has had some very good luck this year with his .360 actual wOBA.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Tarik Skubal is projected to throw 81 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers today.

The Cleveland Guardians have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tarik Skubal in today’s game.

Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Zach McKinstry has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Zach McKinstry will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Gavin Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gleyber Torres in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Gleyber Torres’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.

Gabriel Arias is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

12% of the time that Gabriel Arias has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

In the last 7 days, Gabriel Arias’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.3% down to 0%.

In the past two weeks, Gabriel Arias’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 96.7 mph to 90.4 mph.

Tarik Skubal will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Naylor in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 21.4°, Bo Naylor has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (14°) over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Grading out in the 20th percentile, Bo Naylor sports a .292 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Torkelson in today’s game.

Cleveland’s #3-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Spencer Torkelson, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Riley Greene has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 14th percentile with a 4.46 K/BB rate.

Dillon Dingler is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Dillon Dingler will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dillon Dingler today.

As it relates to his home run talent, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 19.7% to 13.8%.

Ranking in the 9th percentile, Brayan Rocchio sports a .278 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

By putting up a .231 batting average this year, Brayan Rocchio is positioned in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonkensy Noel in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jhonkensy Noel is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Jhonkensy Noel has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 37% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

Jhonkensy Noel has struggled with his Barrel%; his 14.5% rate last season has decreased to 6.2% this season.

As it relates to his home run ability, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tarik Skubal will have the handedness advantage against Steven Kwan in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 87.2 mph to 83.9 mph.

This year, the hardest ball Steven Kwan has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 104.2 mph (a reliable stat to measure power), grading out in the 0th percentile.

21% of the time that Parker Meadows has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Parker Meadows will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Parker Meadows’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 90.5 mph to 87.5 mph.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Kerry Carpenter has been pinch hit for 30% of the time.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kerry Carpenter today.

In the past 7 days, Kerry Carpenter’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 0%.

42% of the time that Johnathan Rodriguez has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Latest Cleveland Guardians Matches

• Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins Odds MLB – Saturday 12th 2026
• Guardians vs Twins match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 12th
• Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins Odds MLB – Friday 11th 2026
• Guardians vs Twins match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 11th
• Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles Odds MLB – Wednesday 9th 2026
• Guardians vs Orioles match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 9th
• Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles Odds MLB – Tuesday 8th 2026
• Guardians vs Orioles match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, September 8th
• Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles Odds MLB – Monday 7th 2026
• Guardians vs Orioles match player stats | 2026 Monday, September 7th

Latest Detroit Tigers Matches

• Rockies vs Tigers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, September 13th
• Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers Odds MLB – Saturday 12th 2026
• Rockies vs Tigers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 12th
• Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers Odds MLB – Friday 11th 2026
• Rockies vs Tigers match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 11th
• Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Odds MLB – Wednesday 9th 2026
• Twins vs Tigers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 9th
• Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Odds MLB – Tuesday 8th 2026
• Twins vs Tigers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, September 8th
• Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Odds MLB – Monday 7th 2026

---