Rangers @ Dodgers Series Game 3 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Positives for the Texas Rangers World Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium.

In MLB, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

Andy Pages will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Over the last 7 days, Teoscar Hernandez’s maximum exit velocity (a strong measure of recent form and raw power) has been 110.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.

The #2 park in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against Roki Sasaki in today’s matchup.

Evan Carter hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Evan Carter has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season’s 86.3-mph EV.

Joc Pederson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Roki Sasaki in today’s game.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Joc Pederson has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .273 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Freddie Freeman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Freddie Freeman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom in today’s game.

Freddie Freeman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Kyle Tucker’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 42.4% to 48.5%.

Ezequiel Duran is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Ezequiel Duran has posted a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Roki Sasaki throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Josh Smith has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92-mph average to last season’s 90-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Roki Sasaki in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 42.6% to 51.4%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Roki Sasaki throws from, Corey Seager will have the upper hand today.

Josh Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 21.4%.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Josh Smith has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 22.6° angle.

When assessing his home run skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Max Muncy will have an edge in today’s game.

Compared to last year, Evan Carter has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.4% to 56% this season.

Evan Carter has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, striking balls between -4° and 26° 60.9% of the time in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Roki Sasaki will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Among all SPs, Roki Sasaki’s fastball velocity of 95.6 mph is in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

Roki Sasaki has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 7.35 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.55 — a 1.2 K/9 discrepancy.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today’s matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Alex Freeland will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Jacob deGrom today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Alex Freeland will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Alex Freeland has been hot in recent games, notching a 94.2-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Josh Jung has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 94.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Josh Jung has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .292 figure is a good deal lower than his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, Josh Jung is positioned in the 81st percentile.

Teoscar Hernandez has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, angling balls between 23° and 34° 36.4% of the time in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Corey Seager hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Corey Seager has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .362 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .380.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, Jacob deGrom projects as the 13th-best starter in Major League Baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his previous GS, Jacob deGrom performed well and put up 7 strikeouts.

Out of all starting pitchers, Jacob deGrom’s fastball velocity of 96.8 mph is in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.

Jacob deGrom’s 2515.5-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 92nd percentile among all starters.

Given the 0.73 deviation between Jacob deGrom’s 9.77 K/9 and his 10.50 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and figures to see positive regression the rest of the season.

Jacob deGrom projects as the 19th-best starting pitcher in the game right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Los Angeles Dodgers in today’s game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .337, which is a fair amount worse than their actual wOBA of .374 this year.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward,Will Smith projects as the 19th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Will Smith will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Will Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 18% to 25.8%.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past week, Max Muncy’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph lately.

With a .374 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Max Muncy is positioned in the 94th percentile for offensive skills.

Andy Pages has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph mark.

Andy Pages has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 95-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andy Pages ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Burger has been hot in recent games, notching a 95.4-mph average exit velocity over the past week.

Jake Burger’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) has been 114.7 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Shohei Ohtani hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Shohei Ohtani will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his home run ability, Danny Jansen ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers World Series Game 3 Game Today

Andy Pages is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jacob deGrom will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andy Pages in today’s matchup.

The Texas Rangers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of every team playing today.

In the last 7 days, Andy Pages’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.4%.

When it comes to his home runs, Andy Pages has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 27.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.5.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jacob deGrom will have the handedness advantage over Teoscar Hernandez today.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez’s launch angle this season (5.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 9.8° figure last season.

Evan Carter is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Evan Carter today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Joc Pederson has been pulled from the game early 52% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Dodger Stadium ranks as the #22 field in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In today’s matchup, Joc Pederson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.5% rate (92nd percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joc Pederson in today’s matchup.

Freddie Freeman has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .367 mark is inflated compared to his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Today, Kyle Tucker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.9% rate (91st percentile).

Kyle Tucker has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.5% rate last season has fallen off to 3% this year.

Kyle Tucker has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 24th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Dodger Stadium profiles as the #22 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Roki Sasaki will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Duran in today’s game.

Ezequiel Duran has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ezequiel Duran in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run talent, Josh Smith ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Smith is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Josh Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Utilizing Statcast data, Josh Smith ranks in the 14th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 9.400.

With a .174 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Josh Smith finds himself in the 14th percentile.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 91.9-mph EV last season has dropped to 89-mph.

Brandon Nimmo has been cold recently, posting an 82.5-mph average exit velocity in the last week.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager today.

In today’s matchup, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41% rate (98th percentile).

Over the last 7 days, Max Muncy has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power).

Max Muncy has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, angling balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time over the past 7 days.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Roki Sasaki is projected to throw 85 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers today.

It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Charlie Ramos) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

Will Smith, the Dodgers’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Roki Sasaki’s 2082-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 11th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Checking in at the 25th percentile, Roki Sasaki compiled an 8.7% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season.

Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 100.7-mph average last year has decreased to 97.1-mph.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.403) suggests that Shohei Ohtani has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .414 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Freeland in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Alex Freeland is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

Alex Freeland has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Alex Freeland pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo’s launch angle this season (7.3°) is considerably lower than his 11.1° mark last year.

Josh Jung is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Batting from the same side that Roki Sasaki throws from, Josh Jung encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Josh Jung will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Josh Jung’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.7%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.225) suggests that Ezequiel Duran has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .255 actual wOBA.

Over the last two weeks, Joc Pederson has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Grading out in the 9th percentile, Joc Pederson has posted a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Corey Seager’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 46.9% to 41.9%.

Corey Seager’s speed has decreased this season. His 25.29 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.16 ft/sec now.

Roki Sasaki will have the handedness advantage over Jake Burger in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Burger today.

There has been a significant decline in Jake Burger’s launch angle from last year’s 17° to 5.6° this year.

Jake Burger has displayed bad plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 1st percentile with an 8.54 K/BB rate.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jacob deGrom is projected to throw 84 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Jacob deGrom will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob deGrom today.

Jacob deGrom’s higher utilization rate of his fastball this season (51.6 vs. 46% last season) is not ideal consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Josh Jung has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) over the past two weeks.

Dodger Stadium grades out as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Tucker’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) has been 108.7 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Jacob deGrom throws from, Will Smith encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

There has been a decrease in Will Smith’s average exit velocity this season, from 91.2 mph last year to 86.4 mph now,Will Smith has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the past week’s worth of games.

Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .280 rate is a good deal higher than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Danny Jansen’s BABIP skill is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Roki Sasaki will hold the platoon advantage against Danny Jansen in today’s game.

Danny Jansen will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Danny Jansen’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 90.5-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84.6-mph over the last 7 days.

Max Muncy’s BABIP skill is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to plate discipline, Andy Pages’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 11th percentile.

When it comes to his batting average, Ezequiel Duran has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .230 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .191.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.3) suggests that Teoscar Hernandez has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 27.3 actual HR/600.

In the past two weeks, Alex Freeland has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Over the last 14 days, Alex Freeland’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

In his last start, Roki Sasaki was firing on all cylinders and gave up 1 ER.

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Texas Rangers has been 114.7 mph since the start of last season, ranking them as the #28 team in Major League Baseball by this metric.

Danny Jansen’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 14.3% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

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