Guardians @ Braves Series Game 3 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Positives for the Cleveland Guardians World Series Game 3 Game Today

Truist Park profiles as the #6 venue in baseball for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense.

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

As a result of his huge platoon split, Chris Sale will be in a tough position going up against 6 hitters in the projected batting order of the opposite hand in today’s game.

Cleveland’s 16.1° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors since the start of last season: #1 overall.

Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Juan Brito has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 71.4% of the time in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

As it relates to his home run skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Riley is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Truist Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today’s game.

Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Chase DeLauter ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Mauricio Dubon has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 1.4% rate last season to 10.8% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Fry in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

David Fry is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Rhys Hoskins will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale today… and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

In the past 14 days, Rhys Hoskins’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20% up to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

In the past 7 days, Brayan Rocchio’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.7-mph lately.

Mauricio Dubon has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last season’s 84.8-mph figure.

Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tanner Bibee in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

Tanner Bibee has averaged 96.5 adjusted pitches per start since the start of last season, checking in at the 95th percentile.

The underlying talent of the Atlanta Braves projected lineup today (.318 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit worse than their .337 wOBA this year.

The Atlanta Braves have been the 5th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future,David Fry will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale in today’s game… and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split.

Jose Ramirez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93-mph average to last season’s 90.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 83.1-mph over the course of the season to 91.5-mph in recent games.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.251) implies that Brayan Rocchio has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .229 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Angel Martinez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Chris Sale… and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

Juan Brito has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° 28.6% of the time over the last 7 days.

Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

In the past week, Angel Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.5-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Chris Sale is projected to throw 98 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most on the slate today.

Because of his reverse platoon split, Tanner Bibee will hold the advantage squaring off against 6 bats in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in today’s game.

In his last start, Tanner Bibee turned in a great performance and notched 7 strikeouts.

Tanner Bibee has relied on his cutter 8.5% more often this year (29.7%) than he did last year (21.2%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

In the past 7 days, Ozzie Albies’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph lately.

When assessing his strikeout ability, Chris Sale projects as the 2nd-best starter in baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Placing in the 90th percentile, Chris Sale notched a 13.3% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.

Steven Kwan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 18% to 22.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Negatives with the Atlanta Braves World Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Chris Sale as the 8th-best starting pitcher in the game right now.

The Cleveland Guardians have been the 9th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward,The 3rd-deepest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces.

Chris Sale will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Brito in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Juan Brito is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Juan Brito pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Juan Brito in today’s game.

Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .350 figure is considerably higher than his .340 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage over Austin Riley in today’s matchup.

Austin Riley has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 15.6% rate last year has fallen off to 9.1% this year.

Austin Riley’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 92.3-mph mark last year has decreased to 86.4-mph.

In terms of plate discipline, Austin Riley’s ability is quite bad, posting a 4.05 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 18th percentile.

The #9 park in MLB for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

In today’s game, Matt Olson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.1% rate (76th percentile).

In the past 7 days, Matt Olson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 99.9 mph to 97.9 mph.

Matt Olson has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .369 mark is quite a bit higher than his .349 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Ronald Acuna Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 96.1-mph mark last season has fallen off to 93.6-mph.

Ronald Acuna Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 46.9% to 35.9%.

Matt Olson has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .273 rate is a fair amount higher than his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dominic Smith is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Compiling a 5.9° launch angle in the last two weeks’ worth of games suggests that Dominic Smith has been finding it challenging to lift the ball recently, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Dominic Smith has had some very good luck with with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .336 figure is inflated compared to his .286 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ozzie Albies’s BABIP talent is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.

Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 41.4% to 33.3%.

Given Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Chase DeLauter will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chase DeLauter in today’s game.

Chase DeLauter’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 97.2-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 92.4-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 12th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Tanner Bibee will hold the platoon advantage over Mauricio Dubon today.

Since the start of last season, David Fry has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 57% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

David Fry will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.231) suggests that David Fry has been lucky since the start of last season with his .264 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Rhys Hoskins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

When it comes to his home run skill, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brayan Rocchio is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #9 park in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

In terms of his home runs, Dominic Smith has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 16.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 8.4.

Over the last 7 days, Chase DeLauter’s swing has not been well optimized for base hits, hitting a mere 16.7% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.

Out of all starting pitchers, Tanner Bibee’s fastball spin rate of 2237.8 rpm ranks in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

David Fry’s BABIP ability is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.1) implies that Jose Ramirez has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his 25.4 actual HR/600.

Given Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Steven Kwan will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 86.3-mph average last year has dropped to 79.5-mph.

Drake Baldwin has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 28.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 25.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his home run skill, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mauricio Dubon’s BABIP ability is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brayan Rocchio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Mike Yastrzemski has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9.1% rate last season has fallen off to 3.6% this year.

Mike Yastrzemski’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 90.8-mph figure last season has fallen off to 88.7-mph.

Mike Yastrzemski’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 18.5% to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Angel Martinez in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Angel Martinez in today’s game.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Angel Martinez has been lucky since the start of last season. His .283 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .259.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Mike Yastrzemski’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 42.6% to 35.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Atlanta Braves with a 20.3% underlying K%.

Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 15.6% to 9.5%.

The Cleveland Guardians (20.4 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy team of batters on the slate today.

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