Pirates @ D-Backs Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense.

,The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Mike Soroka today.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Marcell Ozuna’s launch angle this year (22.9°) is considerably higher than his 14.6° mark last season.

,Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Henry Davis has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past 7 days.

,In the past week, Henry Davis’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 105.8-mph recently.

,When it comes to his batting average, Henry Davis has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .166 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Paul Skenes as the best starter in the majors right now.

,Throwing 96.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Paul Skenes falls in the 94th percentile.

,Paul Skenes performed well in his previous outing and allowed 1 ER.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,When estimating his BABIP talent, Konnor Griffin is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Konnor Griffin has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 94.3-mph.

,Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Mike Soroka today.

,Spencer Horwitz will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Spencer Horwitz has recorded a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.

,Ketel Marte projects as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Paul Skenes.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors’s 11th-best home run hitter.

,Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Nick Gonzales is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

,Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Ildemaro Vargas’s launch angle this year (8°) is significantly higher than his 3.2° angle last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Marcell Ozuna’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 46.8% on the season to 61.5% over the last 7 days.

,Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,Over the last 7 days, Nolan Arenado’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.1% up to 15.4%.

,Spencer Horwitz has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile with a 1.43 K/BB rate.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ryan O’Hearn’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage today.

,When it comes to his strikeout skill, Paul Skenes projects as the 8th-best pitcher in MLB currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Paul Skenes has gone to his change-up 7.6% more often this year (32.1%) than he did last year (24.5%).

,Paul Skenes’s 96.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 92nd percentile among all starters.

,Placing in the 96th percentile, Paul Skenes has posted a 29.7% K% since the start of last season.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael Soroka in the 84th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,Throwing 94.3 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Michael Soroka ranks in the 86th percentile.

,Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 24.1% underlying K%.

,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Michael Soroka will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Michael Soroka was rolling in his previous start and notched 10 strikeouts.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today.

,Geraldo Perdomo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 90.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 88.1-mph.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,In the past 7 days, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 15.4%.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Henry Davis ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his home runs, Henry Davis has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 14.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.4.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today’s game.

,Ryan O’Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today’s game.

,Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Konnor Griffin in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Konnor Griffin’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

,Adrian Del Castillo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Adrian Del Castillo will have an edge today.

,Alek Thomas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 16.9% on the season to 25% in the last 14 days.

,Alek Thomas has been unlucky this year, posting a .244 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .045 difference.

,Marcell Ozuna has been unlucky this year, compiling a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .086 gap.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 77th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adrian Del Castillo in the 75th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Adrian Del Castillo will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Gabriel Moreno will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Gabriel Moreno has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.1% rate last year to 13.2% this year.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Michael Soroka’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 78th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB right now.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O’Hearn has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,Nolan Arenado has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 88.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 86.4-mph.

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 2 Game Today

Chase Field has the 10th-tallest fences among all major league parks.

,Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Corbin Carroll’s launch angle this season (8°) is significantly worse than his 16.8° mark last year.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Corbin Carroll’s 24% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.3%.

,Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in the league.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today’s matchup.

,Marcell Ozuna has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Mike Soroka throws from, Marcell Ozuna will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Marcell Ozuna’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 85.9-mph over the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 7th-worst stadium in baseball for left-handed home runs.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 8°, Corbin Carroll has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.4°) over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Henry Davis is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Mike Soroka throws from, Henry Davis meets a tough challenge today.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Paul Skenes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.4% to 37.1%.

,The #3 stadium in the league for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today’s game.

,Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (29.3) implies that Brandon Lowe has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 34.0 actual HR/600.

,Konnor Griffin is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Mike Soroka will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Konnor Griffin in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Konnor Griffin today.

,Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Spencer Horwitz has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 8.4% rate last season has decreased to 1.2% this year.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Paul Skenes in this game.

,Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 20.2% to 9.3%.

,Oneil Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Oneil Cruz in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 6.8°, Oneil Cruz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.5°) over the last 14 days.

,Sporting a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Oneil Cruz finds himself in the 18th percentile.

,Mike Soroka will have the handedness advantage over Nick Gonzales today.

,Nick Gonzales has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Nick Gonzales will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Nick Gonzales’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.2-mph EV last year has lowered to 86-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ildemaro Vargas will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Paul Skenes in this game.

,In today’s game, Ildemaro Vargas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.8% rate (95th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Paul Skenes will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan Arenado in today’s game.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Ildemaro Vargas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Lowe’s true offensive talent to be a .333, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .043 deviation between that mark and his actual .376 wOBA.

,Spencer Horwitz’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 87.3-mph average last year has dropped to 85.3-mph.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan O’Hearn in today’s game.

,Ryan O’Hearn has been lucky this year, putting up a .375 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .041 discrepancy.

,Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.8-mph average last year has dropped to 83.5-mph.

,Alek Thomas is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,This year, Alek Thomas has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,Alek Thomas has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.1 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-heavy batting order on the slate.

,The #5 park in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Ketel Marte’s launch angle this season (7.4°) is a significant dropoff from his 15.3° figure last year.

,Henry Davis will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Considering the 1.24 discrepancy between Michael Soroka’s 10.57 K/9 and his 9.32 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to perform worse in future games.

,Bryan Reynolds has been lucky this year, posting a .365 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .034 deviation.

,Chase Field ranks as the #24 field in the league for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Paul Skenes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Moreno in today’s matchup.

,Gabriel Moreno has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,Gabriel Moreno’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 90.4-mph EV last season has fallen off to 87.9-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 22nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Sporting a 4.43 K/BB rate this year, Oneil Cruz has shown weak plate discipline, ranking in the 15th percentile.

,Alek Thomas’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 79.6-mph in the last 7 days.

,Ildemaro Vargas’s BABIP skill is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In the last week, Ildemaro Vargas’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 90.3 mph to 79.7 mph.

,Ryan O’Hearn has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 19.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 13.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Adrian Del Castillo’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Adrian Del Castillo has been pinch hit for 18% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Adrian Del Castillo’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, falling from 35.7% on the season to 23.5% over the past two weeks.

,Nick Gonzales’s launch angle this season (5.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 9.3° figure last year.

,As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Adrian Del Castillo has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .293 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .259.

,The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Pittsburgh Pirates has been 119 mph this year, making them the #1 squad in the league by this stat.

,Ryan O’Hearn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 18.4% to 13.7%.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Nick Gonzales ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Compiling a lowly an 85.3-mph average exit velocity in the past 14 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been in a slump in recent games.

,Adrian Del Castillo has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 rate is a good deal higher than his .201 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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