Rangers @ Yankees Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Texas Rangers Series Game 2 Game Today

Paul Goldschmidt’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The #8 park in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

,In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

,Paul Goldschmidt has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,The #8 park in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

,Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge today.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the game.

,Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Given Will Warren’s large platoon split, Corey Seager will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Andrew McCutchen’s launch angle this season (24.3°) is quite a bit better than his 14.6° mark last season.

,Andrew McCutchen can really hit the cover off the ball. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (99.2 mph) rank him as one of the game’s best: in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

,Ezequiel Duran is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year’s 84.5-mph average.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi today.

,Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball batters like Cody Bellinger usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Nathan Eovaldi.

,Jasson Dominguez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Posting a .340 BABIP since the start of last season, Jasson Dominguez is positioned in the 95th percentile.

,Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Josh Jung has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Josh Jung’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 48.7% to 56.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today.

,Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,In the past two weeks, Danny Jansen’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph in recent games.

,Danny Jansen’s launch angle in recent games (25.7° in the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 22.1° seasonal mark.

,The New York Yankees projected lineup grades out as the best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

,It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) behind the plate in this game.

,The #2 field in the game for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

,Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Nathan Eovaldi (46.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in New York’s projected lineup.

,Evan Carter is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage over Will Warren in today’s game… and even better, Warren has a large platoon split.

,Evan Carter’s launch angle this year (23.7°) is significantly better than his 14.1° mark last year.

,Evan Carter’s launch angle in recent games (28.3° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 23.7° seasonal angle.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.245) implies that Evan Carter has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .221 actual batting average.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today.

,Jose Caballero has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 90.6-mph.

,Jose Caballero has posted a .321 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

,Considering Will Warren’s large platoon split, Alejandro Osuna will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.273) provides evidence that Alejandro Osuna has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .214 actual batting average.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Alejandro Osuna’s ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.52 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 90th percentile.

,Joc Pederson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Because of Will Warren’s large platoon split, Joc Pederson will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

,Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.211) suggests that Joc Pederson has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .187 actual batting average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Jake Burger has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 89.5-mph average.

,Jake Burger’s launch angle lately (17.8° over the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 10.8° seasonal angle.

,Nathan Eovaldi has averaged 92.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 76th percentile.

,Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the New York Yankees with a 24.2% underlying K%.

,Nathan Eovaldi was in good form in his previous start and posted 7 strikeouts.

,Andrew McCutchen’s speed has increased this season. His 27.06 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.54 ft/sec now.

,By putting up a .334 BABIP since the start of last season, Josh Jung grades out in the 90th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Burger’s true offensive skill to be a .327, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .054 difference between that figure and his actual .273 wOBA.

,Ezequiel Duran has recorded a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile.

,Corey Seager has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last week.

,Corey Seager has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 100.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.2-mph average.

,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Alejandro Osuna has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .277 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

,Aaron Judge will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,In the last week, Aaron Judge’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 27.8% up to 40%.

,It may be wise to expect better numbers for the Texas Rangers offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

,Will Warren’s high usage rate of his fastball (65.9% this year) is likely weakening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Trent Grisham pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Jung ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Paul Goldschmidt has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 8% rate last season to 18.5% this year.

,Grading out in the 84th percentile, Paul Goldschmidt sports a .322 BABIP since the start of last season.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Will Warren in the 86th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,Will Warren’s 2552-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 97th percentile among all starters.

,Ryan McMahon has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.8% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.

,Ryan McMahon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 19.6% on the season to 29.2% in the last 14 days.

,Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan McMahon has been unlucky given the .044 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

Negatives with the New York Yankees Series Game 2 Game Today

Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to less offense.

,Batting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Paul Goldschmidt encounters a tough challenge today.

,In the last 7 days, Paul Goldschmidt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 18.5% down to 0%.

,Over the last week, Paul Goldschmidt’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

,Trent Grisham’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 95.7-mph seasonal average has dropped to 93.4-mph in the past 14 days.

,Trent Grisham has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 32.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 28.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Trent Grisham has compiled a .224 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ranking in the 4th percentile, Trent Grisham sports a .244 BABIP since the start of last season.

,Yankee Stadium has the 5th-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

,The New York Yankees infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams today.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corey Seager today.

,Corey Seager’s launch angle in recent games (3.3° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 11.9° seasonal figure.

,Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Will Warren will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew McCutchen in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Warren’s large platoon split.

,Today, Andrew McCutchen is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (92nd percentile).

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today’s matchup.

,Ezequiel Duran has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Because of Will Warren’s large platoon split, Ezequiel Duran will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.

,In today’s matchup, Ezequiel Duran is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 37.9% rate (76th percentile).

,Ezequiel Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Yankee Stadium profiles as the #25 venue in the league for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Despite posting a .367 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cody Bellinger has been lucky given the .037 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

,Jasson Dominguez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season.

,Jasson Dominguez has been cold recently, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) over the past 14 days.

,Batting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Aaron Judge will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.4% to 11.1%.

,Considering Will Warren’s large platoon split, Josh Jung will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

,Josh Jung hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Josh Jung will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Ryan McMahon is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,14% of the time that Ryan McMahon has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,In today’s game, Ryan McMahon is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (92nd percentile).

,Ryan McMahon’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.6% to 33.3%.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .236 BA is considerably higher than his .222 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Danny Jansen is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Will Warren will hold the platoon advantage over Danny Jansen today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Warren’s large platoon split.

,Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

,Danny Jansen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Jasson Dominguez has displayed some bad exit velocity statistics in recent games, averaging just 82.3-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks.

,Jasson Dominguez has struggled to lift the ball recently, notching a 4.2° launch angle in the last two weeks.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Nathan Eovaldi’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 84th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game currently.

,It may be best to expect weaker performance for the New York Yankees offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

,Nathan Eovaldi is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #4 HR venue in MLB — in this game.

,Nathan Eovaldi’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this year (80.3% compared to 72.5% last season) figures to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

,12% of the time that Evan Carter has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Evan Carter hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Jose Caballero is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Jose Caballero will have a tough challenge today.

,Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 86.1-mph EV last year has lowered to 83.4-mph.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Alejandro Osuna ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alejandro Osuna is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

,When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Alejandro Osuna has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 45% of the time.

,Alejandro Osuna hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Joc Pederson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joc Pederson has been pinch hit for 49% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Jake Burger is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,Will Warren will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Burger in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Warren’s large platoon split.

,Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Jake Burger’s launch angle this year (10.8°) is considerably worse than his 17° mark last year.

,Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nathan Eovaldi today.

,In the last two weeks, Cody Bellinger’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.6%.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joc Pederson in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 5th-worst venue in the majors for righty BABIP.

,Evan Carter will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Evan Carter has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Will Warren in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

,Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Will Warren will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Josh Jung has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Joc Pederson has struggled with his Barrel%; his 9.8% rate last year has fallen off to 3.5% this season.

,In the last week, Joc Pederson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 90.1 mph to 82.4 mph.

,Will Warren has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 10.99 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.45 — a 1.54 K/9 difference.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 18th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Ryan McMahon has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph dropping to 86.4-mph over the past 7 days.

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