Phillies vs Dodgers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 17th

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PHI @ LAD

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Phillies @ Dodgers Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 17th
Time : 17/09/25 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the best ballpark in MLB for right-handed home runs.

The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium.

Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height among all parks.

The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Otto Kemp will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

The #7 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

The #1 park in the game for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

The #7 park in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Shohei Ohtani hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors’s 3rd-best home run batter.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Kyle Schwarber has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 15.6% rate last year to 20.8% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Given Jesus Luzardo’s large platoon split, Enrique Hernandez will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mookie Betts ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Mookie Betts will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today… and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jesus Luzardo in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

Jesus Luzardo has averaged 96.6 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 97th percentile.

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) calling pitches today.

Jesus Luzardo performed well in his last GS and gave up 2 ER.

Jesus Luzardo’s slider rate has spiked by 9.6% from last season to this one (29.2% to 38.8%) .

Jesus Luzardo projects as the 20th-best pitcher in the game currently when assessing his strikeout ability, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jesus Luzardo was on point in his last start and compiled 11 strikeouts.

Harrison Bader has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Harrison Bader will have an advantage in today’s game.

Tommy Edman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jesus Luzardo) in today’s matchup.

Blake Snell’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.3 mph this season (94.5 mph) below where it was last season (95.8 mph).

Blake Snell projects as the 9th-best starter in the game right now when assessing his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tallying 92.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Blake Snell places him the 79th percentile.

The Philadelphia Phillies have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Otto Kemp, Brandon Marsh, Kyle Schwarber, Weston Wilson).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Given Jesus Luzardo’s large platoon split, Teoscar Hernandez will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the majors.

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

J.T. Realmuto’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Freddie Freeman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ben Rortvedt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Andy Pages’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andy Pages will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today’s game… and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Over the past week, Bryson Stott’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.9% up to 18.8%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Bryson Stott ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alex Call will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today’s game… and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alex Call will hold that advantage today.

Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Weston Wilson will have the upper hand today.

Weston Wilson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 95.3-mph.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today

Otto Kemp is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Kemp in today’s game.

Sporting a 5.38 K/BB rate this year, Otto Kemp has displayed weak plate discipline, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

Because of Jesus Luzardo’s large platoon split, Shohei Ohtani will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 100.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 98.5-mph over the past week.

Shohei Ohtani has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 43.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 37.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .414 figure is inflated compared to his .393 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Blake Snell throws from, Kyle Schwarber will not have the upper hand today.

Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home runs, Kyle Schwarber has had some very good luck this year. His 46.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 38.6.

Kyle Schwarber has compiled a .236 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Schwarber’s true offensive skill to be a .372, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .025 disparity between that mark and his actual .397 wOBA.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Nick Castellanos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

Posting a 4.09 K/BB rate this year, Nick Castellanos has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 17th percentile.

Enrique Hernandez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Enrique Hernandez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.

In the last two weeks, Enrique Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.

Enrique Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 84.3-mph in the last 14 days.

When it comes to his home runs, Enrique Hernandez has had some very good luck this year. His 21.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.9.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Enrique Hernandez in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

By putting up a .264 BABIP this year, Mookie Betts is ranked in the 16th percentile.

Grading out in the 24th percentile, Mookie Betts sports a .204 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense grades out as the 4th-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the best venue in the game for home runs.

Dodger Stadium profiles as the #21 venue in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in this matchup, which is especially troublesome given his large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesus Luzardo today.

Among all SPs, Jesus Luzardo’s fastball spin rate of 2237 rpm is in the 22nd percentile this year.

Jesus Luzardo’s 95.8-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 87th percentile among all starters.

Harrison Bader will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Harrison Bader’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 15.7% to 12.5%.

Despite posting a .360 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Harrison Bader has been lucky given the .051 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 17.1% to 12.6%.

Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, falling from 12.6% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Tommy Edman has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 20.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 8.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tommy Edman has posted a .288 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 15th percentile.

By putting up a .242 BABIP this year, Tommy Edman finds himself in the 3rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Blake Snell in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Blake Snell will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In his previous outing, Blake Snell was firing on all cylinders and allowed 2 ER.

Blake Snell has utilized his change-up 6.5% more often this season (24%) than he did last season (17.5%).

Blake Snell struggled when it came to striking batters out in his last start and posted 2 Ks.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 43.8% to 38.6%.

As it relates to his home runs, Teoscar Hernandez has had positive variance on his side this year. His 28.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.0.

When it comes to plate discipline, Teoscar Hernandez’s ability is quite poor, sporting a 5.33 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 4th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Blake Snell throws from, Bryce Harper will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, Bryce Harper has been very fortunate this year. His 29.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.3.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today’s matchup.

J.T. Realmuto’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.8-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

J.T. Realmuto’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (3.3° over the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 10.3° seasonal mark.

J.T. Realmuto is in the 17th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (13.5% rate this year).

J.T. Realmuto has displayed poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 21st percentile with a 3.69 K/BB rate.

Checking in at the 25th percentile for power, J.T. Realmuto has hit 13.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Considering Jesus Luzardo’s large platoon split, Freddie Freeman will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 20% to 16.5%.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Freddie Freeman has had some very good luck this year. His .367 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .338.

Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Blake Snell throws from, Brandon Marsh will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Marsh’s true offensive skill to be a .323, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .020 disparity between that figure and his actual .343 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 5th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Ben Rortvedt is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Because of Jesus Luzardo’s large platoon split, Ben Rortvedt will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.

Ben Rortvedt’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 86.2-mph figure last season has dropped off to 81.4-mph.

Based on Statcast metrics, Ben Rortvedt ranks in the 3rd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .251.

Ben Rortvedt’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

From last season to this one, Ben Rortvedt’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 42.3% to 29.4%.

Andy Pages is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

Andy Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.7-mph over the past 14 days.

Andy Pages’s launch angle this season (17.6°) is quite a bit worse than his 20.6° angle last season.

When it comes to his home runs, Andy Pages has been very fortunate this year. His 25.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.6.

Andy Pages has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 12th percentile with a 4.55 K/BB rate.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Blake Snell throws from, Bryson Stott encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Bryson Stott’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43%.

Utilizing Statcast data, Bryson Stott ranks in the 22nd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 12.600.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 15.5°, Bryson Stott has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (10.1°) over the past 14 days.

Alex Call is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

This year, Alex Call has been pulled from the game early in 16% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.

Alex Call has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) may lead us to conclude that Alex Call has been lucky this year with his .267 actual batting average.

By putting up a 7.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Alex Call is positioned in the 10th percentile for power.

Alex Call has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .330 figure is considerably higher than his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Call’s 4.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 15th percentile this year.

Weston Wilson is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Weston Wilson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Weston Wilson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

Weston Wilson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 15.9% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 14th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

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