Marlins @ Rockies Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Miami Marlins Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an edge today.

When assessing his home run skill, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB home runs.

The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Troy Johnston will have the handedness advantage over McCade Brown in today’s game… and even more favorably, Brown has a large platoon split.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Troy Johnston can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Troy Johnston has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week.

Blaine Crim will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Weathers in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Blaine Crim will hold that advantage today.

Over the last week, Blaine Crim has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power).

As it relates to his home run talent, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hunter Goodman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Hunter Goodman will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Connor Norby has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.4-mph average to last season’s 86.2-mph figure.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.5) suggests that Connor Norby has had some very poor luck this year with his 12.2 actual HR/600.

Connor Norby’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Connor Norby has had bad variance on his side this year. His .294 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

In the last week, Agustin Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph of late.

Agustin Ramirez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .230 BA is deflated compared to his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Agustin Ramirez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .303 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jordan Beck is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Jordan Beck will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jordan Beck will hold that advantage today.

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Given McCade Brown’s large platoon split, Jakob Marsee will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Jakob Marsee is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

The #1 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Liam Hicks will hold the platoon advantage against McCade Brown today… and even better, Brown has a large platoon split.

Liam Hicks may have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Kyle Karros will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Karros will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The 3rd-weakest projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Miami Marlins.

McCade Brown will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats in all categories.

Miami’s 91.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #25 offense in the majors this year by this metric.

Placing 2nd-lowest in the game this year, Miami Marlins batters as a group have put up a 10.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to study the ability to lift the ball for power).

Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Weathers in today’s matchup.

Kyle Farmer will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today’s game.

It may be best to expect better numbers for the Colorado Rockies offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

The Colorado Rockies have 9 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Weathers in this game.

Ryan Weathers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The Colorado Rockies have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Jordan Beck, Hunter Goodman).

Ryan Weathers’s 96.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 93rd percentile out of all SPs.

Ryan Weathers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling an 8.28 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.79 — a 0.51 K/9 deviation.

Otto Lopez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.333) suggests that Otto Lopez has been unlucky this year with his .302 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Tyler Freeman is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Tyler Freeman will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Tyler Freeman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

In the past 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph in recent games.

In the last 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.5%.

When estimating his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Colorado Rockies Game Today

The weather report expects the most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Among all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Brenton Doyle has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

Brenton Doyle’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 87.4-mph over the last 7 days.

Placing in the 4th percentile, Brenton Doyle has put up a .266 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

With a 4.71 K/BB rate this year, Brenton Doyle has shown bad plate discipline, checking in at the 10th percentile.

Troy Johnston is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Troy Johnston today.

Troy Johnston has been lucky this year, posting a .324 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .029 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaine Crim in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Blaine Crim is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Hunter Goodman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 14.8% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck this year. His .362 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291.

Hunter Goodman has displayed weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 6th percentile with a 5.05 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Connor Norby is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

McCade Brown will hold the platoon advantage over Connor Norby in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Brown’s large platoon split.

Connor Norby will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

This season, Connor Norby’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 14.8% last year to just 8.5% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 22nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

McCade Brown will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Agustin Ramirez in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Brown’s large platoon split.

Agustin Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Agustin Ramirez has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 10.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 5% over the last 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 5.7°, Agustin Ramirez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (0.9° in the past 14 days).

Jordan Beck has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 81.8-mph over the past week.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) may lead us to conclude that Jordan Beck has experienced some positive variance this year with his .271 actual batting average.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jordan Beck’s talent is quite poor, sporting a 4.14 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 16th percentile.

Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, putting up a .333 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .034 gap.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jakob Marsee in today’s matchup.

Jakob Marsee has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Jakob Marsee’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 87.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Jakob Marsee’s launch angle lately (6° in the past two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 9.1° seasonal angle.

As it relates to his home run ability, Liam Hicks ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Liam Hicks in today’s matchup.

Liam Hicks has been lucky this year, compiling a .308 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .013 disparity.

Based on Statcast metrics, Liam Hicks grades out in the 14th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 9.300.

Kyle Karros is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Kyle Karros has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 81.6-mph over the past two weeks.

Kyle Karros’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 10.1% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Karros ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects McCade Brown in the 22nd percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects McCade Brown to throw 78 pitches in today’s game (2nd-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The #1 park in the league for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

McCade Brown’s high utilization rate of his fastball (54.9% since the start of last season) is likely harming his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The #1 field in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

McCade Brown struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous game started and posted 2 Ks.

Kyle Farmer is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

Kyle Farmer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 20.8% to 13.5%.

Based on Statcast data, Kyle Farmer grades out in the 11th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .287.

Kyle Farmer has performed at a clip of 13.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Orlando Arcia is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Orlando Arcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.1-mph mark last year has fallen off to 88.1-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Orlando Arcia ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Orlando Arcia’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (5.3°) is significantly worse than his 9.2° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryan Weathers in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

The weakest projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Colorado Rockies.

In his previous start, Ryan Weathers was in good form and allowed 1 ER.

Ryan Weathers’s four-seam fastball rate has increased by 5.9% from last season to this one (39.7% to 45.6%) .

McCade Brown will have the handedness advantage over Otto Lopez today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Brown’s large platoon split.

Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Otto Lopez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

Otto Lopez’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 88.4-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 85.1-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When assessing his home run ability, Tyler Freeman ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 88.6-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.2-mph over the last 14 days.

Tyler Freeman’s launch angle this year (8.3°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.9° angle last year.

Tyler Freeman has averaged 5.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 5th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Miami’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Tyler Freeman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Sporting a .287 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 15th percentile.

With a 4.56 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has displayed bad plate discipline, placing in the 12th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 25th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Considering McCade Brown’s large platoon split, Heriberto Hernandez will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Heriberto Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Despite posting a .329 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Heriberto Hernandez has experienced some positive variance given the .025 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

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