
PHI @ STL


World Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, April 13th
13/04/25 14:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Cardinals Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Thomas Saggese’s BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in the majors.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of the day.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Thomas Saggese will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Thomas Saggese has been hot recently, tallying a .457 wOBA over the past 7 days.
Thomas Saggese has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB over the past 7 days — 109-mph — which is a good proxy for recent form and raw power.
Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Victor Scott will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Victor Scott will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Victor Scott has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 91.1-mph.
Over the last 14 days, Victor Scott’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 22.2% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Willson Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Willson Contreras will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
In the last week, Willson Contreras’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 107.5-mph recently.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
This season, Kyle Schwarber has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.7 mph compared to last year’s 97.9 mph mark.
Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 14.1% to 23.7%.
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an advantage today.
Nick Castellanos has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last season’s 90.7-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Nolan Arenado has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last year’s 89.2-mph figure.
Sporting a 1.83 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Trea Turner will have an edge today.
When it comes to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 19th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Trea Turner has posted a .349 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile.
Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bryce Harper is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Bryce Harper’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13.3% to 22.2%.
In the last week, Bryce Harper’s 41.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.2%.
Zack Wheeler projects as the 15th-best SP in MLB right now when it comes to his strikeout talent, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zack Wheeler is projected to throw 99 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most of all pitchers on the slate today.
Over his last 3 starts, Zack Wheeler has put up a staggering 25 strikeouts.
Out of all starters, Zack Wheeler’s fastball spin rate of 2414 rpm is in the 82nd percentile this year.
Placing in the 86th percentile, Zack Wheeler compiled a 13.1% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Wheeler as the 4th-best pitcher in the league currently.
The underlying talent of the St. Louis Cardinals projected batting order today (.310 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount weaker than their .335 wOBA this year.
It may be sensible to expect worse results for the St. Louis Cardinals offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the league this year.
Busch Stadium projects as the #27 venue in the league for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Zack Wheeler’s high usage rate of his fastball (60.2% since the start of last season) is likely weakening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, J.T. Realmuto has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .321 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
J.T. Realmuto’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 45.2% to 64%.
Alec Bohm’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Alec Bohm is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Alec Bohm has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last year’s 90.4-mph average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge today.
Ranking in the 82nd percentile, the hardest ball Edmundo Sosa has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.17 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is very quick.
Ranking in the 81st percentile, Edmundo Sosa sports a .331 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand today.
Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Matthew Liberatore will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Among all SPs, Matthew Liberatore’s fastball spin rate of 2104.2 rpm grades out in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.
The standard deviation of the Phillies offense’s launch angle since the start of last season (27.7°) ranks as 3rd-lowest in the game. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
Pedro Pages will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Alec Burleson will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Johan Rojas will have an edge in today’s game.
Johan Rojas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.
Brendan Donovan will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Cardinals Series Game 3
Thomas Saggese is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 4th-worst park in the majors for run-scoring.
Zack Wheeler will have the handedness advantage against Thomas Saggese today.
Thomas Saggese has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.
Victor Scott is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
The 2nd-deepest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Busch Stadium.
Victor Scott has compiled a .251 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile.
Victor Scott has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile with a 5.09 K/BB rate.
The #3 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.
Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage against Willson Contreras in today’s game.
Willson Contreras has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Willson Contreras has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.2% rate last year has dropped off to 3.7% this year.
Willson Contreras’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 91.6-mph mark last year has dropped off to 85.4-mph.
Batting from the same side that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Kyle Schwarber encounters a tough challenge today.
Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.
The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams today.
Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Schwarber has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .374 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .359.
Kyle Schwarber has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 34.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 30.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Home runs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all major league parks.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.3) suggests that Nick Castellanos has been lucky since the start of last season with his 21.0 actual HR/600.
Nolan Arenado’s BABIP skill is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Zack Wheeler will have the handedness advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s matchup.
In today’s matchup, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.8% rate (99th percentile).
Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 45% to 29.3%.
Nolan Arenado’s launch angle this season (9.9°) is significantly lower than his 16.8° mark last year.
In the past two weeks, Nolan Arenado has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner today.
Trea Turner’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 89.1-mph average last season has fallen off to 83.6-mph.
Trea Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 15.9% to 6.7%.
Hitting from the same side that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Bryce Harper encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Today, Bryce Harper is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (94th percentile).
Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 94-mph average last year has fallen to 90.5-mph.
The St. Louis Cardinals (21.1 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy team of batters of all teams on the slate today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 5th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
Zack Wheeler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Zack Wheeler will “start” for Philadelphia Phillies in today’s matchup but will be treated as more of an opener and may not stay in the game more than a couple framess.
J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.
J.T. Realmuto has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days.
Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Bohm in today’s matchup.
Over the last 7 days, Alec Bohm’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 56.1%.
Alec Bohm’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 92.9-mph seasonal average has fallen to 87.9-mph in the past week.
There has been a significant decline in Alec Bohm’s launch angle from last year’s 10° to 6.9° this year.
Edmundo Sosa is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Edmundo Sosa has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 25% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound since the start of last season.
Edmundo Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Lars Nootbaar’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 94.4-mph average last season has dropped to 89.8-mph.
It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Philadelphia Phillies offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-luckiest offense in the game this year.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Matthew Liberatore will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Recording 64.9 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season on average, Matthew Liberatore places him the 1st percentile.
Matthew Liberatore will “start” for St. Louis Cardinals in today’s game but will serve in the role of an opener and may not remain in the game more than a couple framess.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pedro Pages ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Pedro Pages is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.
Since the start of last season, Pedro Pages has been pinch hit for in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage against Pedro Pages today.
This year, Alec Burleson has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
Today, Alec Burleson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.1% rate (86th percentile).
Alec Burleson has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 6.6% rate last season has decreased to 0% this year.
From last year to this one, Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.1% to 8.1%.
In the past 14 days, Alec Burleson has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 8th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Johan Rojas is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.
When starting against a southpaw since the start of last season, Johan Rojas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 26% of the time.
Typically, bats like Johan Rojas who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Matthew Liberatore.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 12th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Brendan Donovan has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
From last year to this one, Brendan Donovan’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17% to 10.9%.
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