
LAA @ HOU


World Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, April 13th
13/04/25 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Angels vs Astros Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.
Nolan Schanuel will have the handedness advantage over Hayden Wesneski today.
Nolan Schanuel has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.
Extreme flyball hitters like Nolan Schanuel tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hayden Wesneski.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.
Nolan Schanuel has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile with a 1.39 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cameron Smith in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
The shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park.
The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cameron Smith will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 10th-best venue in MLB for righty home runs.
In the last week’s worth of games, Cameron Smith’s maximum exit velocity (a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 110.6-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.
Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Mike Trout has posted a 26.2° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.
Since the start of last season, Mike Trout’s 17.1% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 97th percentile among his peers.
As it relates to his batting average, Mike Trout has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .217 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .277.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Taylor Ward is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Taylor Ward has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past 7 days — 110.3-mph — which is a good indicator of recent form and raw power.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Taylor Ward has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .324 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Luis Rengifo is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Extreme groundball bats like Luis Rengifo are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hayden Wesneski.
Placing in the 97th percentile, Luis Rengifo has posted a .302 batting average since the start of last season.
In notching a .336 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Luis Rengifo grades out in the 79th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Jo Adell has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last season’s 89.6-mph mark.
Jo Adell’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 38.3% to 46.2%.
Jo Adell has been lifting the ball well recently, posting a 35.8° launch angle in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Christian Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the majors for strikeouts.
Given that groundball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over groundball bats, Kyle Hendricks and his 42.1% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable spot today facing 3 opposing GB bats.
Kyle Hendricks’s change-up rate has increased by 5% from last season to this one (39.4% to 44.4%) .
In his last outing, Kyle Hendricks was on point and gave up 2 ER.
With a 0.85 discrepancy between Kyle Hendricks’s 5.59 ERA and his 4.74 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season and should see positive regression going forward.
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.
Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.6% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Extreme flyball bats like Isaac Paredes tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball.
Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball hitters like Yordan Alvarez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.
Jorge Soler projects as the 16th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jorge Soler is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.
Jorge Soler has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 12.6% rate last season to 19.4% this year.
Jorge Soler has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year’s 90.5-mph figure.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Meyers has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .287 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.
Kyren Paris has been hot recently, posting a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) in the past week’s worth of games.
Over the last 7 days, Kyren Paris has averaged an impressive 103.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.
Over the last two weeks, Kyren Paris has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, posting a 23.6° angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyren Paris in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Hayden Wesneski (35.4% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 GB hitters in Los Angeles’s projected lineup.
The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Logan O’Hoppe, Jo Adell, Kyren Paris).
Negative Match Player Stats with Angels vs Astros Series Game 3
Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Minute Maid Park ranks as the #22 stadium in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Schanuel in today’s matchup.
Nolan Schanuel’s launch angle this season (2.1°) is significantly lower than his 10° angle last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
In the league, the 3rd-highest fences are at Minute Maid Park.
Cameron Smith is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
This year, Cameron Smith has been pulled from the game early in 17% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 9th-worst stadium in the majors for right-handed BABIP.
Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Cameron Smith faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
Cameron Smith has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly in recent games, compiling a 3.6° angle on such balls over the last two weeks.
Hayden Wesneski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Trout in today’s matchup.
Mike Trout hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Typically, bats like Mike Trout who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Hayden Wesneski.
Hitting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Taylor Ward has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Luis Rengifo has been pinch hit for 16% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.
The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will bat from his weak side (0) today against Hayden Wesneski,As it relates to his home run ability, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Luis Rengifo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Jo Adell is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.
Jo Adell has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
Hayden Wesneski will have the handedness advantage over Jo Adell in today’s game.
Jo Adell will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Christian Walker will have a disadvantage today.
Christian Walker’s launch angle this year (7.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 16.4° figure last season.
Christian Walker has struggled to lift the ball recently, compiling a -4.3° launch angle in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Kyle Hendricks in the 5th percentile among all SPs in baseball.
Alan Porter profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in today’s game.
Kyle Hendricks has a reverse platoon split and is stuck being matched up with 8 same-handed hitters in this game.
Kyle Hendricks will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Despite technically being the “starter” today, Kyle Hendricks may not go more than a couple framess consider he will function as more of an opener.
Recording 14.7 outs per game per started since the start of last season on average, Kyle Hendricks checks in at the 16th percentile.
It may be best to expect improved performance for the Houston Astros offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the unluckiest offense in the league this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Kyle Hendricks will have the handedness advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s matchup.
Isaac Paredes has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .242 rate is a good deal higher than his .222 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Jose Altuve will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Jose Altuve’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 86.5-mph mark last season has decreased to 82-mph.
Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 15.7% to 9.1%.
Yordan Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.
Yordan Alvarez has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .302 rate is considerably higher than his .288 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hayden Wesneski will hold the platoon advantage over Jorge Soler in today’s matchup.
Jorge Soler hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Soler in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Jeremy Pena will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Jeremy Pena generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.
With a 4.19 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jeremy Pena has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 13th percentile.
Jake Meyers is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Kyle Hendricks will have the handedness advantage over Jake Meyers in today’s game.
Jake Meyers has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.
Kyren Paris is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.
16% of the time that Kyren Paris has started against a northpaw since the start of last season, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Hitting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Kyren Paris will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Los Angeles Angels offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 9th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
With 7 batters who bat from the same side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Hayden Wesneski figures to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Hayden Wesneski will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Hayden Wesneski has posted a 3.34 K/BB rate since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.
Hayden Wesneski’s 2136.6-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 22nd percentile out of all starters.
Hayden Wesneski will “start” for Houston Astros today but will serve in the role of an opener and may not last more than a couple framess.
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