World Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Cardinals Matchup Today

Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.

Victor Scott will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today’s game.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Victor Scott will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Victor Scott has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 8.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 16.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Victor Scott has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .251 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.

Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.69 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott is quite quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Willson Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Willson Contreras will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today.

Kyle Schwarber has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 15.6% rate last year to 21.4% this season.

Kyle Schwarber has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 98.1-mph average to last season’s 93.6-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors’s 4th-best home run hitter.

Kyle Schwarber has strong power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante has a pitch-to-contact profile (21st percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

Nick Castellanos’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 19.4% to 22.6%.

Nick Castellanos has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .257 mark is deflated compared to his .284 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Nick Castellanos has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.1 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), checking in at the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

In the past week’s worth of games, Nick Castellanos has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .391.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s game.

With a 1.85 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

With a .275 batting average since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado is positioned in the 85th percentile.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Trea Turner is very toolsy, placing in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.95 ft/sec this year.

Placing in the 87th percentile, Trea Turner sports a .352 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

With a .298 batting average since the start of last season, Trea Turner finds himself in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Sporting a .468 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Trea Turner has performed in the 85th percentile.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Placing in the 92nd percentile, the hardest ball Max Kepler has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.4 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Max Kepler’s 16.3° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the league: 75th percentile.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.3) may lead us to conclude that Max Kepler has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 12.3 actual HR/600.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Max Kepler ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB.

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today.

Bryce Harper’s launch angle this season (17.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.6° mark last year.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Bryce Harper ranks in the 88th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .278.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.340) implies that J.T. Realmuto has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .323 actual wOBA.

Based on Statcast data, J.T. Realmuto grades out in the 83rd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .274.

Since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 79th percentile at 94.1 mph.

Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.47 ft/sec this year, J.T. Realmuto is very athletic.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Aaron Nola in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

Aaron Nola has averaged 97.4 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

The underlying talent of the St. Louis Cardinals projected batting order today (.313 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .341 wOBA this year.

It may be wise to expect worse results for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst field in the game for home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Aaron Nola in the 80th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Aaron Nola was firing on all cylinders in his last start and accumulated 8 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Alec Bohm has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year’s 90.4-mph average.

Alec Bohm’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 45.8% to 54.5%.

When it comes to his batting average, Alec Bohm has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .272 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .299.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alec Bohm ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alec Bohm has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .324 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339.

Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Alec Bohm sits with a .272 batting average since the start of last season.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today.

Brandon Marsh’s 91.5-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the majors since the start of last season: 89th percentile.

Brandon Marsh grades out in the 83rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.7% rate since the start of last season).

Ranking in the 94th percentile, Brandon Marsh has put up a .336 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage today.

Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.

Checking in at the 95th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season, Pedro Pages demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – an important skill for achieving a high batting average.

The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order grades out as the 3rd-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

Checking in at the 13th percentile, Andre Pallante has posted a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

A low launch angle standard deviation generally leads to a higher BABIP, and Philadelphia Phillies’s 27.7° deviation as a team puts them in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season, implying strong bat control and overall hitting ability.

Andre Pallante’s slider usage has spiked by 5.7% from last year to this one (17.8% to 23.5%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alec Burleson ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Brendan Donovan will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Andre Pallante in today’s matchup.

When it comes to plate discipline, Bryson Stott’s ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.89 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 81st percentile.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn has posted a .275 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 75th percentile, Masyn Winn sports a .264 batting average since the start of last season.

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Cardinals

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Victor Scott ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Victor Scott is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 4th-worst stadium in MLB for run-scoring.

The 2nd-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Busch Stadium.

Typically, batters like Victor Scott who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Aaron Nola.

Victor Scott ranks in the 25th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (38.8% rate since the start of last season).

The #3 field in the majors for suppressing home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Aaron Nola will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willson Contreras today.

Willson Contreras’s speed has fallen off this year. His 27.1 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.7 ft/sec now.

As it relates to his home runs, Willson Contreras has been lucky since the start of last season. His 21.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.4.

Busch Stadium projects as the #26 field in the majors for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Willson Contreras has been cold of late, limping his way to a .150 wOBA in the last 14 days.

Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.358) implies that Kyle Schwarber has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .373 actual wOBA.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (30.7) provides evidence that Kyle Schwarber has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 34.8 actual HR/600.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-largest outfield among all stadiums — generally bad for home runs.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Nick Castellanos meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home runs, Nick Castellanos has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 21.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.4.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.9% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 45% to 37.5%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.288) suggests that Nolan Arenado has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .318 actual wOBA.

Nolan Arenado’s launch angle this season (10.5°) is considerably worse than his 16.8° figure last season.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Trea Turner has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s matchup.

Trea Turner has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .294 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting the ball to all fields is a core skill for batting average that Trea Turner has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his grading out in the 25th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

Trea Turner has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 18.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 13th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

In today’s matchup, Max Kepler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.5% rate (75th percentile).

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Max Kepler in today’s game.

Max Kepler has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), grading out in the 22nd percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

Max Kepler has hit 12.3 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile for power.

Bryce Harper has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 94-mph average last year has dropped to 89.1-mph.

Bryce Harper has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 28.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 21.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

This year, there has been a decline in Bryce Harper’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.38 ft/sec last year to 26.73 ft/sec currently.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.362) suggests that Bryce Harper has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .379 actual wOBA.

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, J.T. Realmuto faces a tough challenge today.

J.T. Realmuto has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today’s matchup.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, J.T. Realmuto ranks in just the 15th percentile with a 8.9° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Aaron Nola will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Aaron Nola gave up a monstrous 5 earned runs in his last game started.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 20.4% underlying K%.

The #4 stadium in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Aaron Nola’s curveball usage has decreased by 8.9% from last year to this one (32.9% to 24%) .

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage over Alec Bohm in today’s game.

Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Bohm today.

Alec Bohm’s speed has declined this year. His 26.25 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.66 ft/sec now.

Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh’s quickness has dropped off this season. His 28.2 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.2 ft/sec now.

From last season to this one, Lars Nootbaar’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94.4 mph to 89.1 mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pedro Pages ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pedro Pages is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Pedro Pages will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Pedro Pages’s footspeed has dropped off this year. His 25.91 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.01 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Andre Pallante in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Philadelphia Phillies offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Andre Pallante will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andre Pallante in the 14th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Andre Pallante has put up an 8.9% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile.

Placing in the 24th percentile, Andre Pallante has compiled an 18.9% Strikeout% since the start of last season.

In today’s game, Alec Burleson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.1% rate (86th percentile).

Alec Burleson has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 6.6% rate last year has dropped off to 0% this year.

Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 46.5% to 32.1%.

Alec Burleson’s speed has dropped off this year. His 25.48 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 23.05 ft/sec now.

Alec Burleson has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 19.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 15.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In today’s game, Brendan Donovan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.1% rate (86th percentile).

Brendan Donovan’s launch angle this year (8.2°) is considerably lower than his 13° figure last year.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Today, Bryson Stott is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.4% rate (97th percentile).

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott’s footspeed has declined this year. His 29.05 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.4 ft/sec now.

Since the start of last season, Bryson Stott’s 3.6% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 13th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 24th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Masyn Winn will be in a tough position today.

Masyn Winn’s 4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 16th percentile since the start of last season.

Masyn Winn’s 88.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 9th percentile since the start of last season.

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