
MIL @ ARI



World Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, April 11th
11/04/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Brewers vs D-Backs Matchup Today
Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 82°.
Batters such as Sal Frelick with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
As it relates to plate discipline, Sal Frelick’s talent is quite good, posting a 1.94 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 78th percentile.
Sal Frelick’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for left-handed batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Joey Ortiz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.
Bats such as Joey Ortiz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
There has been a significant improvement in Joey Ortiz’s launch angle from last season’s 9.6° to 14.6° this season.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jackson Chourio will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Tim Tawa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today.
Tim Tawa will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge today.
Eugenio Suarez has a ton of pop (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Quintana.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage today.
Josh Naylor has been hot lately, tallying a .399 wOBA over the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.
Randal Grichuk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have an edge today.
Rhys Hoskins has performed at a clip of 27.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his home run talent, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, William Contreras will have an edge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Christian Yelich is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Extreme flyball hitters like Christian Yelich usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Christian Yelich ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Christian Yelich has been hot in recent games, bashing 2 dingers over the last 7 days.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today.
Geraldo Perdomo has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year’s 88.1-mph figure.
Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 33.3% this season.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Eduardo Rodriguez’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 86th percentile out of all starters in the game right now.
Eduardo Rodriguez has averaged 93.2 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.
The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Eduardo Rodriguez in the 88th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.
Eduardo Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats across the board.
Eduardo Rodriguez’s four-seam fastball rate has dropped by 6.9% from last season to this one (44% to 37.1%) .
Checking in at the 82nd percentile, Eduardo Rodriguez has put up a 25.2% strikeout rate since the start of last season.
Gabriel Moreno’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Brice Turang has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 2.5% rate last season to 15.6% this year.
Brice Turang has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season’s 87-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Alek Thomas has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .283 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .317.
As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Isaac Collins will get to bat from his good side against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.
Ranking in the 82nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.12 ft/sec this year, Isaac Collins is notably athletic.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Corbin Carroll has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.3% rate last year to 20% this season.
Vinny Capra will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.
Vinny Capra is notably fast, grading out in the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.17 ft/sec this year.
Negative Match Player Stats with Brewers vs D-Backs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the worst park in the majors for LHB home runs.
Chase Field has the 10th-highest average fence height in Major League Baseball.
Batting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sal Frelick in today’s game.
Sal Frelick’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 11.3% to 3%.
Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Joey Ortiz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
Joey Ortiz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Joey Ortiz’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 87.8-mph figure last year has fallen to 81.8-mph.
The #1 park in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Chourio in today’s game.
Jackson Chourio has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 23.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 18.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jackson Chourio’s footspeed has dropped off this season. His 29.71 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.49 ft/sec now.
Tim Tawa’s BABIP talent is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tim Tawa is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams playing today.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tim Tawa ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
With a .204 wOBA in the last week’s worth of games, Tim Tawa has been struggling at the plate.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.
Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#1-best on the slate).
Eugenio Suarez has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 30.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 27.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hitting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Josh Naylor meets a tough challenge today.
There has been a significant decline in Josh Naylor’s launch angle from last year’s 10.8° to 7.7° this season.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) may lead us to conclude that Josh Naylor has been lucky since the start of last season with his .337 actual wOBA.
Randal Grichuk hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
Randal Grichuk has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .288 figure is inflated compared to his .251 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Randal Grichuk ranks in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (38.4% rate since the start of last season).
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.6-mph mark last year has lowered to 89.6-mph.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold of late, putting up a .207 wOBA over the past two weeks.
This season, there has been a decline in Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.6 ft/sec last year to 26.13 ft/sec currently.
Sporting a 3.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 23rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Rhys Hoskins in today’s matchup.
William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
William Contreras’s footspeed has fallen off this season. His 26.45 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.55 ft/sec now.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), William Contreras and his 10.4% rank in the 3rd percentile since the start of last season.
Batting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Christian Yelich will have a tough challenge today.
Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
This season, there has been a decline in Christian Yelich’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.48 ft/sec last year to 27.01 ft/sec currently.
When assessing his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Geraldo Perdomo has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .325 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .292.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo’s 3.1% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 8th percentile among his peers.
The #2 park in baseball for boosting base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Eduardo Rodriguez (35.5% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 FB hitters in Milwaukee’s projected batting order.
The Milwaukee Brewers have done a strong job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 16.5° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (#2 overall).
The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Milwaukee Brewers has been 118.1 mph since the start of last season, ranking them as the #4 offense in the league by this standard.
Eduardo Rodriguez is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.5% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #29 HR venue in the majors in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 6th-worst venue in MLB for strikeouts.
Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.
Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Typically, hitters like Gabriel Moreno who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jose Quintana.
Gabriel Moreno’s footspeed has declined this year. His 27.16 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.82 ft/sec now.
When assessing his home run skill, Brice Turang ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brice Turang is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Batting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Brice Turang will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Alek Thomas is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.
Jose Quintana will hold the platoon advantage against Alek Thomas today.
Typically, hitters like Alek Thomas who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jose Quintana.
When estimating his home run talent, Alek Thomas ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Isaac Collins is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.
Isaac Collins will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Collins in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Hitting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Corbin Carroll encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Placing in the 10th percentile, Corbin Carroll has notched a .254 BABIP since the start of last season.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Corbin Carroll and his 11.8% rank in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinny Capra in the 12th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Vinny Capra is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinny Capra in the 18th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vinny Capra in today’s game.
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