Phillies vs Braves match player stats | 2025 Friday, June 27th

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Phillies vs Braves match player stats | 2025 Friday, June 27th

PHI @ ATL

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Matchup Details

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

Todays Game is on Friday, June 27th
27/06/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Braves Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Mick Abel in the 10th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

The Atlanta Braves projected batting order grades out as the 3rd-best of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the game for BABIP.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 87°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the majors for strikeouts.

In his last outing, Mick Abel was rolling and posted 9 strikeouts.

Among all starting pitchers, Mick Abel’s fastball spin rate of 2542 rpm ranks in the 95th percentile this year.

Otto Kemp has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.7% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week.

Otto Kemp has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 95.1-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Truist Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors.

The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 11th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Max Kepler ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto’s true offensive skill to be a .330, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .038 difference between that mark and his actual .292 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the league.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Austin Riley as the league’s 20th-best home run hitter.

Austin Riley is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today’s matchup.

Nick Allen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Nick Allen usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mick Abel.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Mick Abel today.

Michael Harris II’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.1-mph over the course of the season to 105-mph recently.

The Philadelphia Phillies have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Otto Kemp, Brandon Marsh, Kyle Schwarber).

Bryce Elder will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats across the board.

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Braves

The 2nd-deepest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Truist Park.

Mick Abel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in today’s game.

Mick Abel is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #24 HR venue in MLB in this game.

In his previous game started, Mick Abel was on point and conceded 0 ER.

Mick Abel’s 95.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 89th percentile among all starting pitchers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mick Abel to throw 83 pitches today (10th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 22.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mick Abel in today’s matchup.

Otto Kemp is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Truist Park profiles as the #23 stadium in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Bryce Elder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Otto Kemp in today’s matchup.

Otto Kemp will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

The Atlanta Braves outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 8th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 93.9-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 91.6-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 40.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 30.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.351) implies that Kyle Schwarber has experienced some positive variance this year with his .389 actual wOBA.

Batting from the same side that Bryce Elder throws from, Nick Castellanos meets a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.79 K/BB rate.

Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage against Trea Turner today.

Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Trea Turner has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.

Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Max Kepler has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 13.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week.

Max Kepler’s launch angle recently (0.3° in the last week) is quite a bit lower than his 16.9° seasonal mark.

Max Kepler’s BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Bryce Elder throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Batting from the same side that Bryce Elder throws from, Alec Bohm will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm today.

Alec Bohm has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.

Over the past week, Alec Bohm’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 92.9 mph to 85.5 mph.

Mick Abel will have the handedness advantage against Marcell Ozuna today.

Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 98.2-mph mark last season has fallen to 95-mph.

Marcell Ozuna’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (15.8°) is quite a bit lower than his 19.4° mark last year.

Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his weak side (0) today against Mick Abel,Typically, batters like Ozzie Albies who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Mick Abel.

Utilizing Statcast data, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 10th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .279.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 39.5% on the season to 25.7% over the past 14 days.

Hitting from the same side that Mick Abel throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.403) may lead us to conclude that Ronald Acuna Jr. has had positive variance on his side this year with his .495 actual wOBA.

Mick Abel will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley today.

Typically, bats like Austin Riley who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Mick Abel.

Sporting a 4.2 K/BB rate this year, Austin Riley has demonstrated weak plate discipline, ranking in the 15th percentile.

Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh has been pulled from the game early 18% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Brandon Marsh has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will be challenged by the game’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Nick Allen is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

11% of the time that Nick Allen has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Mick Abel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Allen today.

Over the past week, Nick Allen’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 86.1 mph to 77.3 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 5th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Michael Harris II is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Michael Harris II’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86.3-mph in the last 14 days.

Michael Harris II’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.4-mph mark last season has lowered to 91.1-mph.

Michael Harris II’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 13.2% on the season to 0% over the last week.

Ranking in the 2nd percentile, Michael Harris II sits with a .240 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Posting a 12.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Bryson Stott has performed in the 21st percentile for power.

With a .285 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bryson Stott has performed in the 21st percentile.

Among all starting pitchers, Bryce Elder’s fastball velocity of 90.8 mph is in the 12th percentile this year.

Bryce Elder’s 2193-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 24th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

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