Blue Jays vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Friday, June 27th

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Blue Jays vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Friday, June 27th

TOR @ BOS

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Matchup Details

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox

Todays Game is on Friday, June 27th
27/06/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Red Sox Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 venue in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today.

Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The #4 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.6-mph.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s launch angle in recent games (22.6° in the past week) is a significant increase over his 11.5° seasonal mark.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 16.5% to 20.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.

Addison Barger pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Addison Barger has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 8.8% rate last season to 15.2% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

Marcelo Mayer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Marcelo Mayer will hold that advantage today.

Marcelo Mayer has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph to 96.1-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Roman Anthony is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Roman Anthony will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios in today’s matchup.

Roman Anthony has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Roman Anthony ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Extreme groundball hitters like Roman Anthony generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Berrios.

As it relates to his home run talent, Trevor Story ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trevor Story’s true offensive talent to be a .307, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .028 deviation between that mark and his actual .279 wOBA.

Abraham Toro is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Abraham Toro will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Abraham Toro has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 40° mark in the last week’s worth of games.

Abraham Toro has notched a .463 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Myles Straw’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.

When it comes to his batting average, Myles Straw has suffered from bad luck this year. His .263 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .290.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Myles Straw has had some very poor luck this year. His .279 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.

Because of Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Andres Gimenez will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Andres Gimenez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 17%.

Andres Gimenez has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .194 figure is deflated compared to his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Andres Gimenez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .260 rate is deflated compared to his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.4% seasonal rate to 20.7% in the past 14 days.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.4-mph.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 13th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bo Bichette is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Bo Bichette has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Bo Bichette’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.5-mph now compared to just 89.2-mph then.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

In the last week’s worth of games, Bo Bichette’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph lately.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

In the past week, Alejandro Kirk’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.7% up to 18.8%.

Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last year’s 89.3-mph EV.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.0) implies that Alejandro Kirk has had some very poor luck this year with his 16.2 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The Boston Red Sox (25.3% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-most strikeout-heavy group of batters on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park.

Jose Berrios gave up a staggering 6 earned runs in his last GS.

Generating 17.8 outs per game per started this year on average, Jose Berrios ranks in the 90th percentile.

Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Ernie Clement has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.4-mph average to last season’s 85.3-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Jarren Duran’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Jarren Duran will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Because of Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Nathan Lukes will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

Nathan Lukes has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.292) suggests that Nathan Lukes has experienced some negative variance this year with his .257 actual batting average.

In terms of plate discipline, Nathan Lukes’s skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.13 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 96th percentile.

David Hamilton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

David Hamilton has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 90.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 87.7-mph.

David Hamilton has been unlucky this year, compiling a .218 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .278 — a .060 difference.

Brayan Bello’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this season (94.6 mph) below where it was last year (95.7 mph).

Brayan Bello’s 2176-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 21st percentile among all starting pitchers.

Checking in at the 11th percentile, Brayan Bello has posted a 1.77 K/BB rate this year.

Brayan Bello has averaged 91.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Brayan Bello will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Carlos Narvaez has notched a .347 BABIP this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Carlos Narvaez’s launch angle of late (22.3° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 12.7° seasonal figure.

Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Red Sox

This year, Wilyer Abreu has been pinch hit for in 11% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

In the league, the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

Fenway Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.

This matchup is forecasted to have the best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Typically, bats like Wilyer Abreu who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jose Berrios.

The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams on the slate today.

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Jose Berrios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s game.

This year, Addison Barger has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Addison Barger will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Marcelo Mayer is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

26% of the time that Marcelo Mayer has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Marcelo Mayer has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 10% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Toronto’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Roman Anthony, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Trevor Story will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Trevor Story’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 92.9 mph to 82.4 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Abraham Toro in the 22nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The switch-hitting Abraham Toro will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Jose Berrios,Abraham Toro has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks.

Abraham Toro’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 82.7-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When estimating his home run ability, Myles Straw ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Myles Straw is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Myles Straw has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Myles Straw ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 14th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Andres Gimenez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Typically, hitters like Andres Gimenez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello.

Because of Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Because of Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Bo Bichette will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Bichette in today’s matchup.

Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Brayan Bello will hold the platoon advantage against Alejandro Kirk in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the worst stadium in the league for strikeouts.

With 6 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Jose Berrios will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Jose Berrios will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jose Berrios’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.8 mph this season (91.7 mph) below where it was last season (93.5 mph).

Jose Berrios’s 2142-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 16th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

The 5th-weakest projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

When estimating his home run ability, Ernie Clement ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage against Ernie Clement today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

Ernie Clement will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Jarren Duran’s launch angle recently (7.4° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably worse than his 11.2° seasonal mark.

As it relates to plate discipline, Jarren Duran’s ability is quite weak, posting a 4.05 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 19th percentile.

Jarren Duran has averaged 7.2 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 14th percentile for power.

24% of the time that Nathan Lukes has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Extreme flyball bats like Nathan Lukes are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 17th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

David Hamilton is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, David Hamilton has been pinch hit for 29% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Brayan Bello in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

Given that flyball batters struggle against flyball pitchers, Brayan Bello (50.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected lineup.

Brayan Bello has compiled a 7.8% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 10th percentile.

The Toronto Blue Jays (18 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone set of batters on the slate today.

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have a tough challenge today.

Carlos Narvaez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.

Latest Boston Red Sox Match Player Stats

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