Padres vs D-Backs match player stats | 2025 Friday, June 13th

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Padres vs D-Backs match player stats | 2025 Friday, June 13th

SD @ ARI

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Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

Todays Game is on Friday, June 13th
13/06/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs D-Backs Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill as the 18th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill.

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage against Ryne Nelson in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for batting average.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek in this matchup.

Stephen Kolek will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Stephen Kolek’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (53.7% this year) is likely harming his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Ketel Marte projects as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the past 14 days, Pavin Smith’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

Xander Bogaerts’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, posting a .287 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .040 deviation.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle in recent games (24.6° over the last week) is considerably higher than his 12.2° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as Major League Baseball’s 20th-best home run batter.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Eugenio Suarez has strong power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Stephen Kolek struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.

Extreme groundball bats like Eugenio Suarez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Josh Naylor will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Elias Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 16.7%.

Elias Diaz’s launch angle this season (17.6°) is a considerable increase over his 7.3° angle last season.

Elias Diaz has been unlucky this year, putting up a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .021 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Last year, Manny Machado had an average launch angle of 6.4° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 9.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.

Jake Cronenworth’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (34.4° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 12.9° seasonal figure.

By putting up a 1.33 K/BB rate this year, Jake Cronenworth has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 97.1-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 88.4-mph figure.

Hitting 2 HRs over the past week, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been on fire recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge in today’s game.

Luis Arraez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 18% on the season to 25.5% in the last 14 days.

By putting up a 0.5 K/BB rate this year, Luis Arraez has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 100th percentile.

When assessing his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Tyler Wade will have the upper hand today.

Extreme flyball batters like Tyler Wade tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryne Nelson.

Tyler Wade has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 81.9-mph to 84.2-mph over the last two weeks.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 13% to 19.9%.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Gabriel Moreno will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

This season, Gabriel Moreno has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.9 mph compared to last year’s 89.6 mph mark.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.

Gavin Sheets has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year’s 87.8-mph average.

Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Alek Thomas has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 14 days.

Alek Thomas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 92.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand today.

Corbin Carroll will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats across the board.

Ryne Nelson’s 94.8-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 80th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Ryne Nelson’s four-seamer utilization has spiked by 7.3% from last year to this one (56% to 63.3%) .

Ryne Nelson has been one of the luckiest mound aces in baseball on balls in play this year with a .242 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs D-Backs

Chase Field has the 10th-tallest fences in the league.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill today.

Jackson Merrill’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 90.4-mph mark last season has fallen off to 88.2-mph.

The #5 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Jackson Merrill’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 88.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 82.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all major league parks.

The San Diego Padres outfield defense grades out as the best out of every team on the slate today.

Because groundball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over groundball bats, Stephen Kolek and his 49.9% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position today matching up with 2 opposing GB bats.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Stephen Kolek in the 10th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Stephen Kolek to throw 84 pitches in this game (4th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.2% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-worst park in MLB for strikeouts.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Stephen Kolek,Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Ketel Marte’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 94-mph average last year has fallen off to 91.8-mph.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ketel Marte has been very fortunate this year. His .423 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .388.

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Pavin Smith has been pulled from the game early 33% of the time.

Pavin Smith has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 11.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 14 days.

Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Xander Bogaerts has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 5th-worst field in baseball for right-handed home runs.

Stephen Kolek will have the handedness advantage over Eugenio Suarez today.

Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of San Diego (#1-best of all teams on the slate today).

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Eugenio Suarez’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.8%.

Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.7-mph figure last season has lowered to 89.4-mph.

Josh Naylor has been lucky this year, putting up a .352 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .024 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Elias Diaz will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage over Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.8°, Manny Machado has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1°) in the last two weeks.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Cronenworth today.

Jake Cronenworth has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

From last season to this one, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 48.8% to 37.8%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (8.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.7°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s game.

Luis Arraez’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 85.3-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 83.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 87.9-mph average last year has dropped to 85.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Wade in the 1st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Tyler Wade is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Tyler Wade will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Geraldo Perdomo’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 85.3-mph in the past week.

When assessing his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo has been lucky this year, posting a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .040 gap.

Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage today.

Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Gabriel Moreno who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Stephen Kolek.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Gavin Sheets will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Gavin Sheets’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (7.5° over the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.2° seasonal angle.

Alek Thomas is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

This year, Alek Thomas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Typically, hitters like Alek Thomas who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Stephen Kolek.

Corbin Carroll has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 16.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.

Over the last 14 days, Corbin Carroll’s 25.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.9%.

As it relates to his home runs, Corbin Carroll has had some very good luck this year. His 38.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 31.0.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Corbin Carroll has been very fortunate this year. His .388 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .359.

The San Diego Padres (18.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-prone group of batters of all teams on the slate.

Ryne Nelson wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his previous game started and notched 2 Ks.

Ryne Nelson is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #29 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.

Ranking in the 10th percentile, Ryne Nelson compiled an 8.2% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season.

Latest Arizona Diamondbacks Match Player Stats

Latest San Diego Padres Match Player Stats