
STL @ MIL


Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Friday, June 13th
13/06/25 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Brewers Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Sal Frelick is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Among all stadiums, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today.
Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Sal Frelick’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Joey Ortiz will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Ortiz’s true offensive ability to be a .301, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .065 disparity between that figure and his actual .236 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.
Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Jackson Chourio will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Caleb Durbin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Over the past week, Caleb Durbin’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.7% up to 7.7%.
Caleb Durbin has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 87.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 84.4-mph EV.
The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.
Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Victor Scott II will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.
Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Over the last 7 days, Willson Contreras’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.9% up to 27.8%.
By putting up a 1.5 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has displayed good plate discipline, grading out in the 87th percentile.
It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) in charge of the strike zone today.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Erick Fedde (34.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 FB hitters in Milwaukee’s projected offense.
Erick Fedde will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Erick Fedde has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 4.9 more adjusted pitches-per-game than average.
American Family Field projects as the #1 field in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Erick Fedde has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 5.62 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.39 — a 1.77 K/9 disparity.
Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Rhys Hoskins’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (34° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 21° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Christian Yelich is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.
Christian Yelich will have the handedness advantage over Erick Fedde in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christian Yelich ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Freddy Peralta in the 91st percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.
Freddy Peralta has averaged 94.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 88th percentile.
Given that groundball hitters perform worse against groundball pitchers, Freddy Peralta (37.7% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 GB hitters in the opposition’s projected offense.
Freddy Peralta has been lucky in regards to his ERA this year; his 2.69 figure is significantly deflated relative to his 4.02 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Ivan Herrera is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
This season, Ivan Herrera has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.7 mph compared to last year’s 91.5 mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Ivan Herrera’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 46.6% to 53.7%.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta today.
Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today’s matchup.
Nolan Gorman’s launch angle this year (23.4°) is significantly better than his 20.4° figure last year.
Nolan Gorman projects as the 19th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today.
Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Alec Burleson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage today.
Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Over the last two weeks, Isaac Collins’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.3%.
Isaac Collins has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 7.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 11.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to plate discipline, Isaac Collins’s talent is quite good, sporting a 1.94 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 82nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Masyn Winn is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Masyn Winn has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season’s 88-mph average.
Masyn Winn’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (11.7°) is significantly higher than his 6.1° angle last season.
Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Brewers Series Game 2
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 4th-worst park in the league for run-scoring.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 2nd-best pitching conditions on the slate.
Sal Frelick’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 86.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 76-mph over the past week.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Sal Frelick’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 5.5°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Sal Frelick’s true offensive skill to be a .295, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .032 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .327 wOBA.
The #5 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Sal Frelick has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .284 figure is quite a bit higher than his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 25th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Joey Ortiz is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
This year, Joey Ortiz has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
Hitting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Joey Ortiz will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 5th-worst venue in the game for RHB batting average.
Batting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Jackson Chourio faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Jackson Chourio’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.7-mph mark last year has decreased to 87.4-mph.
Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 10.8%.
When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Chourio’s ability is quite weak, posting a 5.71 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 8th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Caleb Durbin will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Over the last week, Caleb Durbin’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.
As it relates to his home run skill, Victor Scott II ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Victor Scott II ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Victor Scott II’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 86.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks.
Batting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Willson Contreras will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Arenado are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Freddy Peralta.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nolan Arenado in today’s game.
Projected catcher Pedro Pages profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
American Family Field projects as the #28 stadium in baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Erick Fedde turned in a great performance in his last start and gave up 1 ER.
The 6.2% Barrel% of the Milwaukee Brewers grades them out as the #30 squad in the majors this year by this standard.
The Milwaukee Brewers (20.2 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of batters of all teams on the slate today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Rhys Hoskins has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time.
Erick Fedde will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhys Hoskins in today’s matchup.
Typically, batters like Rhys Hoskins who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Erick Fedde.
Rhys Hoskins has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 11.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.
Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage against William Contreras today.
This year, William Contreras’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 10% last year to just 4.5% this year.
William Contreras’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 89.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 86.4-mph over the last two weeks.
Sporting a 8.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , William Contreras grades out in the 12th percentile for power.
Christian Yelich has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.
There has been a significant decline in Christian Yelich’s launch angle from last year’s 5.1° to 1.7° this season.
Christian Yelich’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 12% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Christian Yelich has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 28.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 13.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Freddy Peralta’s four-seam fastball utilization has risen by 6% from last year to this one (53.8% to 59.8%) .
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Freddy Peralta’s overall pitching skill is in the 89th percentile among all starters in baseball currently.
It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the St. Louis Cardinals offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
Freddy Peralta will hold the platoon advantage over Ivan Herrera in today’s matchup.
Ivan Herrera has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ivan Herrera in today’s matchup.
Ivan Herrera’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 16.3% to 10.5%.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lars Nootbaar in today’s matchup.
Lars Nootbaar has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 14 days.
Lars Nootbaar’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 91.7-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 85-mph in the last 7 days.
Lars Nootbaar’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (-1.3° in the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 9.2° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 16th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.
Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.
Typically, bats like Nolan Gorman who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Freddy Peralta.
Nolan Gorman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Pedro Pages is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Pedro Pages will be at a disadvantage today.
Pedro Pages has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Brice Turang has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
In the last 14 days, Brice Turang’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.
Brice Turang’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 84.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
This year, Alec Burleson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
In the past 7 days, Alec Burleson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.
Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 14.1% to 11%.
Isaac Collins is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Isaac Collins will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Erick Fedde in this game.
Over the last week, Isaac Collins’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.
In the past week, Isaac Collins’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 89.6 mph to 82.6 mph.
Freddy Peralta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn today.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.6°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.4°) in the past two weeks.
Masyn Winn has been lucky this year, posting a .329 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .022 discrepancy.
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