Padres vs D-Backs match player stats | 2025 Monday, August 4th

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Padres vs D-Backs match player stats | 2025 Monday, August 4th

SD @ ARI

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Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

Todays Game is on Monday, August 4th
04/08/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs D-Backs Matchup Today

Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.

Brandon Pfaadt has gone to his four-seam fastball 5.4% less often this season (28%) than he did last season (33.4%).

Among all starters, Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate of 2567 rpm grades out in the 99th percentile this year.

With a 0.74 discrepancy between Brandon Pfaadt’s 7.58 K/9 and his 8.32 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to positively regress in the future.

Among all major league stadiums, Chase Field’s CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.

In the league, the 10th-highest average fence height are at Chase Field.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in the majors for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Tyler Locklear is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Tyler Locklear will have an advantage in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the league.

Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will get to bat from his better side (0) today against JP Sears.

Xander Bogaerts’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Ramon Laureano’s BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home run skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against JP Sears today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Luis Arraez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense today (.314 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit worse than their .328 wOBA this year.

JP Sears is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #28 HR venue among all major league parks today.

JP Sears turned in a great performance in his last GS and conceded 2 ER.

JP Sears was in good form in his previous start and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

JP Sears’s slider percentage has spiked by 5.6% from last year to this one (33.8% to 39.4%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Blaze Alexander will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Alek Thomas tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like JP Sears.

Jorge Barrosa will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs D-Backs

The San Diego Padres (18.1 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-heavy lineup of all teams today.

The #8 park in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The San Diego Padres projected lineup ranks as the 4th-strongest of the day in terms of overall batting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best venue in the majors for batting average.

Today, Jackson Merrill is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40% rate (97th percentile).

Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts today.

Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Ryan O’Hearn has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan O’Hearn in today’s matchup.

Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Ramon Laureano in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ramon Laureano in today’s game.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough challenge today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo’s BABIP ability is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Freddy Fermin is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Freddy Fermin faces a tough challenge today.

Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Freddy Fermin will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 7 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over JP Sears in this game.

Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, JP Sears (42.4% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Arizona’s projected lineup.

Blaze Alexander is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

In today’s game, Blaze Alexander is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.4% rate (88th percentile).

Alek Thomas is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that JP Sears throws from, Alek Thomas faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jorge Barrosa ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jorge Barrosa is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that JP Sears throws from, Corbin Carroll will have a disadvantage today.

Corbin Carroll pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Latest Arizona Diamondbacks Match Player Stats

Latest San Diego Padres Match Player Stats