Padres vs Cardinals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Friday, July 25th

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Padres vs Cardinals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Friday, July 25th

SD @ STL

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Friday, July 25th
25/07/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Cardinals Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Jackson Merrill’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°.

Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Victor Scott II will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta today.

Victor Scott II will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Victor Scott II grades out in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.3% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 42% to 47.2%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nick Pivetta in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

Nick Pivetta has recorded 17.3 outs per GS this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 8th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest right field fences among all parks.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Nick Pivetta in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Willson Contreras, Jordan Walker, Pedro Pages).

Nick Pivetta has gone to his curveball 5.8% more often this season (22.3%) than he did last season (16.5%).

Grading out in the 87th percentile, Nick Pivetta has put up a 27.3% Strikeout% this year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Willson Contreras will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Nolan Arenado ranks in the 90th percentile with a 19.2° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the majors.

In terms of plate discipline, Nolan Arenado’s skill is quite good, sporting a 1.49 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 87th percentile.

Martin Maldonado’s 17.2° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 80th percentile.

Martin Maldonado has strong power (77th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (33.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Miles Mikolas is a pitch-to-contact type (3rd percentile K%) — great news for Maldonado.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Manny Machado has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season’s 93.4-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today’s game.

Jake Cronenworth’s speed has gotten better this year. His 27.69 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.18 ft/sec now.

Jake Cronenworth has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.61 K/BB rate.

Very few of Jake Cronenworth’s contacted balls have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid hitting into lazy pop fly outs. His 24.1% “too-high” rate this year ranks in the 86th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the majors.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season’s 28.28 ft/sec to 28.84 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Luis Arraez will have the upper hand today.

With a .291 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Luis Arraez is ranked in the 95th percentile.

When it comes to plate discipline, Luis Arraez’s talent is quite good, posting a 0.71 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average talent.

It may be best to expect improved performance for the San Diego Padres offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

Miles Mikolas’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this year (91.7 mph) below where it was last season (93.1 mph).

Miles Mikolas’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this season (55.4% vs. 49% last season) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Extreme flyball batters like Ivan Herrera tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season’s 90.8-mph EV.

Gavin Sheets has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .322 figure is quite a bit lower than his .345 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Pedro Pages has been unlucky this year, compiling a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .280 — a .027 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today’s matchup.

Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Brendan Donovan is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Walker’s true offensive talent to be a .307, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .042 deviation between that mark and his actual .265 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Masyn Winn’s launch angle this season (16.3°) is a significant increase over his 13° figure last year.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Cardinals Series Game 2

Busch Stadium grades out as the #23 field in baseball for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

Victor Scott II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The San Diego Padres outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

Victor Scott II has notched a .294 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 21st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 19th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #23 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Xander Bogaerts encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts has paced 8.3 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 16th percentile for power.

Posting a 11.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Xander Bogaerts is positioned in the 23rd percentile for power.

Xander Bogaerts grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (12.1% rate this year).

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Clint Vondrak) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Martin Maldonado (the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a weak pitch framer.

Nick Pivetta has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged going up against 6 same-handed bats today.

The #2 venue in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Nick Pivetta is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #26 HR venue in the league today.

Batting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Willson Contreras will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Willson Contreras has a high rate of hitting “too-high” (above 38° launch angle) balls, which lead to a lot of easy pop-outs; his 14.4% rate puts him in the 21st percentile among MLB hitters this year.

Batting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Nolan Arenado has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Today, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.2% rate (99th percentile).

Typically, bats like Nolan Arenado who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Nick Pivetta.

Nolan Arenado has put up a .282 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 13th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Martin Maldonado in the 1st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Martin Maldonado is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Martin Maldonado faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Martin Maldonado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Martin Maldonado in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Manny Machado will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jake Cronenworth has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today’s matchup.

Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.9-mph figure last year has fallen to 89.8-mph.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 47.2% to 38.7%.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 48.8% to 40.9%.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s 8.7° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in MLB: 15th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Luis Arraez has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

From last season to this one, Luis Arraez’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 87.9 mph to 85.8 mph.

Using Statcast metrics, Luis Arraez is in the 24th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .297.

Luis Arraez’s 0.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 2nd percentile this year.

Miles Mikolas is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #26 HR venue in the majors today.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Miles Mikolas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Miles Mikolas turned in a great performance in his last outing and allowed 2 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Miles Mikolas to be on a bit of a short leash in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Miles Mikolas in the 9th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

The San Diego Padres (19.8 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone group of hitters on the slate.

Batting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Ivan Herrera encounters a tough challenge today.

Ivan Herrera has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Ivan Herrera’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.3% to 10.1%.

Ivan Herrera has been lucky this year, compiling a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .046 discrepancy.

Ivan Herrera’s footspeed has declined this season. His 27.25 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.55 ft/sec now.

Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gavin Sheets today.

Gavin Sheets’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 17.5% to 13.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 19th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Pedro Pages is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Nick Pivetta will hold the platoon advantage against Pedro Pages in today’s matchup.

Pedro Pages has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

In terms of his batting average, Alec Burleson has been lucky this year. His .290 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .269.

Grading out in the 8th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.18 ft/sec this year, Alec Burleson is not very fast.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alec Burleson has been very fortunate this year. His .346 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326.

Today, Brendan Donovan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (87th percentile).

Brendan Donovan’s footspeed has fallen off this year. His 27 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.55 ft/sec now.

Brendan Donovan has a high rate of hitting “too-high” (above 38° launch angle) balls, which lead to a lot of easy pop-outs; his 12.2% rate puts him in the 11th percentile among MLB hitters this year.

Jordan Walker is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Jordan Walker faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jordan Walker’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (4.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 7.9° angle last season.

Jordan Walker has been cold lately, limping his way to a .265 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

HRs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in Major League Baseball.

Nick Pivetta will have the handedness advantage against Masyn Winn today.

This year, Masyn Winn’s 5.4% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers.

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