Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs White Sox Matchup Today

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.

Colson Montgomery will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Notching 2 dingers in the last week, Colson Montgomery has been on fire lately.

Over the last two weeks, Colson Montgomery has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .356.

Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.

Chase Meidroth will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

Chase Meidroth has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Hitters such as Chase Meidroth with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Shota Imanaga who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Chase Meidroth’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Shaw has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) implies that Matt Shaw has had bad variance on his side this year with his .221 actual batting average.

Placing in the 98th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year, Matt Shaw demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.

Matt Shaw has been hot in recent games, hitting 3 dingers over the past week.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.309) provides evidence that Matt Shaw has experienced some negative variance this year with his .279 actual wOBA.

The Chicago White Sox have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,The #3 field in baseball for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks.

The Chicago White Sox have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

Shota Imanaga is an extreme flyball pitcher (44% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #3 HR venue in the majors today.

Recording 17.3 outs per start this year on average, Shota Imanaga places him the 82nd percentile.

The Chicago White Sox have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael A. Taylor, Kyle Teel, Luis Robert Jr., Colson Montgomery).

Shota Imanaga has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 6.36 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.48 — a 2.12 K/9 disparity.

Ranking in the 77th percentile, Shota Imanaga recorded an 11.9% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Carson Kelly ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Carson Kelly has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year’s 91.4-mph mark.

Carson Kelly’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.7% to 17.9%.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Carson Kelly has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .381.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 17th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill.

Nico Hoerner has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Using Statcast metrics, Nico Hoerner grades out in the 92nd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .286.

Nico Hoerner grades out in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.4% rate this year).

Nico Hoerner has displayed strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 87th percentile with a 1.49 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Adrian Houser.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.343) suggests that Ian Happ has experienced some negative variance this year with his .309 actual wOBA.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Michael A. Taylor will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Michael A. Taylor will hold that advantage today.

Michael A. Taylor has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last year’s 88.9-mph figure.

Michael A. Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 10.4% to 21.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Austin Slater is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Slater is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Austin Slater will have the upper hand today.

Austin Slater has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Austin Slater tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Austin Slater ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

There has been a significant improvement in Dansby Swanson’s launch angle from last season’s 10.2° to 13.5° this year.

Dansby Swanson’s quickness has increased this year. His 27.82 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.35 ft/sec now.

Dansby Swanson has hit 46.2% of his balls in the air 100 mph or harder this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Luis Robert Jr.’s BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have the upper hand today.

Luis Robert Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his home run talent, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Robert Jr.’s launch angle this year (18.2°) is considerably better than his 13.1° figure last season.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Adrian Houser will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Adrian Houser’s 93.5-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.4-mph jump from last year’s 92.1-mph mark.

Tallying 18.6 outs per start this year on average, Adrian Houser falls in the 95th percentile.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 8th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward,Adrian Houser is an extreme groundball pitcher (48% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #3 HR venue in the league — in this game.

The 10.4% Barrel% of the Chicago Cubs grades them out as the #4 group of hitters in baseball this year by this standard.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Miguel Vargas is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an advantage in today’s game.

Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Miguel Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Michael Busch is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Adrian Houser today.

Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 18.1% to 23.2%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 8% rate last season to 14.5% this year.

When assessing his home run ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 18th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Bats such as Seiya Suzuki with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Adrian Houser who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The Barrel% of Seiya Suzuki has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.5% last year to 18.9% this year.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Lenyn Sosa has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Lenyn Sosa has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season’s 90.3-mph mark.

Lenyn Sosa’s launch angle this season (19°) is significantly higher than his 12.4° figure last season.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs White Sox

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 4th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Hitting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Colson Montgomery meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 13th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

By putting up a 6.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Chase Meidroth is ranked in the 7th percentile for power.

This year, Chase Meidroth’s 2% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 5th percentile among his peers.

Chase Meidroth’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) has been 107.1 mph this year, ranking in the 8th percentile.

Chase Meidroth and his 5.3° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 6th percentile, among the lowest in MLB this year.

By putting up a .288 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Chase Meidroth has performed in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 21st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Matt Shaw is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Shaw today.

Matt Shaw will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Matt Shaw’s 83.2-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in Major League Baseball this year: 0th percentile.

The Chicago White Sox projected batting order projects as the 4th-worst on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.

Shota Imanaga performed well in his last game started and allowed 0 ER.

Shota Imanaga’s 2486-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 90th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Chicago White Sox hitters as a unit grade out 23rd- in the league for power this year when assessing with their 7.9% Barrel%.

Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #26 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Because flyball hitters hold a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Shota Imanaga and his 44% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot in today’s outing facing 2 opposing GB batters.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

In his last start, Shota Imanaga wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.

Batting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carson Kelly in today’s matchup.

Carson Kelly has been lucky this year, notching a .381 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .056 discrepancy.

Carson Kelly’s BABIP skill is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage over Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner has performed at a clip of 5.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 4th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his home run skill, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner’s 2.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 7th percentile this year.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ian Happ today.

Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 20.1% to 15.3%.

Ian Happ’s footspeed has decreased this season. His 27.95 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.29 ft/sec now.

Hitting the ball to all fields is a crucial ability for batting average that Ian Happ has struggled with this year, as evidenced by his placing in the 21st percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 13th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Michael A. Taylor is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Michael A. Taylor has recorded a .228 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of plate discipline, Michael A. Taylor’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 4.14 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 17th percentile.

Michael A. Taylor has notched a .293 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.

Austin Slater has paced 11.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Austin Slater has compiled a .314 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Placing in the 10th percentile, Austin Slater has put up a .211 batting average since the start of last season.

Checking in at the 23rd percentile, Austin Slater has posted a .283 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Dansby Swanson is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 21st percentile with a 3.82 K/BB rate.

Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Ranking in the 15th percentile, Luis Robert Jr. sports a .281 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Sporting a .210 batting average this year, Luis Robert Jr. grades out in the 7th percentile.

With a .280 wOBA in the past two weeks, Luis Robert Jr. has been struggling at the plate.

In notching a .346 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Luis Robert Jr. has performed in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Adrian Houser in the 18th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

Adrian Houser struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and posted 2 Ks.

Adrian Houser’s high usage rate of his fastball (59.4% this year) is likely weakening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Ranking in the 19th percentile, Adrian Houser notched an 8.6% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Adrian Houser has been lucky this year, notching a 1.89 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.42 — a 2.53 gap.

Adrian Houser turned in a great performance in his last GS and conceded 0 ER.

Extreme groundball hitters like Miguel Vargas usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

Miguel Vargas’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (17°) is significantly lower than his 20.1° figure last season.

Miguel Vargas’s speed has declined this season. His 28.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.27 ft/sec now.

In notching a .228 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Miguel Vargas grades out in the 16th percentile.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Busch today.

Michael Busch has been lucky this year, posting a .390 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .046 gap.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong’s true offensive skill to be a .328, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .036 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .364 wOBA.

Posting a 5.28 K/BB rate this year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has shown bad plate discipline, checking in at the 6th percentile.

Adrian Houser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today’s matchup.

Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Lenyn Sosa has posted a .290 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 18th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to plate discipline, Lenyn Sosa’s talent is quite weak, posting an 8.65 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 1st percentile.

Lenyn Sosa’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 27.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.68 ft/sec now.

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