Rockies vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 Friday, July 25th

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Rockies vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 Friday, July 25th

COL @ BAL

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Matchup Details

Colorado Rockies at Baltimore Orioles

Todays Game is on Friday, July 25th
25/07/25 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rockies vs Orioles Matchup Today

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.

Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland today.

As it relates to his home run talent, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hunter Goodman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 75th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jordan Beck is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jordan Beck has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.2-mph average to last season’s 86.1-mph EV.

Jordan Beck’s BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Holliday’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 ballpark in the majors for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Holliday can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Ramon Urias will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ramon Urias has experienced some negative variance this year. His .291 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Colorado Rockies offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

The shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Dean Kremer has a reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of being matched up with 6 same-handed batters in this outing.

Dean Kremer has averaged 92.9 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.

The Colorado Rockies have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mickey Moniak, Hunter Goodman, Jordan Beck, Ryan McMahon).

It may be best to expect positive regression for the Baltimore Orioles offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Kyle Freeland is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #5 HR venue in the league in today’s game.

The Baltimore Orioles (26.2% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the most strikeout-prone set of batters of the day.

In his last GS, Kyle Freeland was firing on all cylinders and compiled 7 strikeouts.

Given the 0.74 discrepancy between Kyle Freeland’s 6.61 K/9 and his 7.35 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and should perform better in the future.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

When assessing his home run ability, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Ramon Laureano will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Jacob Stallings will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Freeland in today’s matchup.

Jacob Stallings has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jacob Stallings will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Tyler Freeman is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Freeman ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler Freeman has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s shallowest RF fences today.

Ezequiel Tovar’s BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ezequiel Tovar has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last season’s 93.4-mph mark.

Ezequiel Tovar has been hot in recent games, bashing 2 home runs over the past 7 days.

Ezequiel Tovar has put up a .341 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 85th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Gunnar Henderson is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rockies vs Orioles

The 3rd-deepest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Jordan Westburg’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 48.4% to 42%.

Sporting a 4.56 K/BB rate this year, Jordan Westburg has demonstrated bad plate discipline, grading out in the 12th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Hunter Goodman will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has been lucky this year. His .359 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .284.

Hunter Goodman has shown weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 8th percentile with a 5.1 K/BB rate.

Hunter Goodman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 20.8% to 14.7%.

Dean Kremer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Beck in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Jordan Beck is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.2% rate (76th percentile).

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Beck in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Beck’s true offensive talent to be a .300, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .338 wOBA.

Jordan Beck has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 12th percentile with a 4.77 K/BB rate.

Jordan Beck has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .274 figure is inflated compared to his .239 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyle Freeland will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Holliday in today’s matchup.

Jackson Holliday’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.4% to 13.2%.

Jackson Holliday’s speed has declined this year. His 29.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.6 ft/sec now.

Jackson Holliday has displayed bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 20th percentile with a 3.94 K/BB rate.

Ramon Urias is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 15.6% to 11.4%.

With a .291 wOBA in the last two weeks, Ramon Urias has been struggling at the plate.

The standard deviation of Ramon Urias’s launch angle this year (29.4°) is in the 22nd percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.

Placing in the 21st percentile, Ramon Urias sits with a .290 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The 2nd-weakest projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Colorado Rockies.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #28 park in baseball for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Dean Kremer will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

Dean Kremer has used his four-seamer 6.1% less often this season (26%) than he did last year (32.1%).

Colorado Rockies hitters collectively have been among the worst in the majors this year ( 8th-worst) when it comes to their 89-mph average exit velocity.

Ranking in the 24th percentile, Dean Kremer recorded a 9% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Kyle Freeland was in good form in his previous start and conceded 0 ER.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kyle Freeland has utilized his non-fastballs 6.1% more often this season (61.3%) than he did last year (55.2%).

Out of all starters, Kyle Freeland’s fastball spin rate of 2418 rpm ranks in the 80th percentile this year.

Kyle Freeland has had some very poor luck with his ERA this year; his 5.19 figure is inflated compared to his 3.94 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Kyle Freeland will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Among all starting pitchers, Kyle Freeland’s fastball velocity of 91.4 mph is in the 24th percentile this year.

Kyle Freeland has recorded a 17.8% K% this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

Ryan McMahon has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan McMahon in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .220.

Checking in at the 5th percentile, Ryan McMahon sports a .204 batting average this year.

In today’s matchup, Ramon Laureano is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.3% rate (84th percentile).

Ramon Laureano has been lucky this year, compiling a .363 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .045 gap.

Ramon Laureano has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (an important skill for batting average), ranking in the 12th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Stallings in the 5th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Jacob Stallings is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jacob Stallings has struggled with his Barrel%; his 7.3% rate last season has dropped off to 1.3% this season.

Jacob Stallings’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.1-mph EV last season has fallen off to 88.6-mph.

Jacob Stallings’s speed has declined this year. His 23.95 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 23.38 ft/sec now.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jacob Stallings ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, Jacob Stallings ranks in the 23rd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 11.900.

Typically, hitters like Mickey Moniak who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Dean Kremer.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mickey Moniak in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mickey Moniak’s true offensive skill to be a .315, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .050 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .365 wOBA.

Sporting a 4.23 K/BB rate this year, Mickey Moniak has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 16th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Tyler Freeman will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Freeman in today’s game.

There has been a significant decline in Tyler Freeman’s launch angle from last year’s 12.9° to 9.1° this season.

Tyler Freeman has been lucky this year, putting up a .360 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .032 disparity.

This year, Tyler Freeman’s 3.8% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 11th percentile among his peers.

Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Dean Kremer will hold the platoon advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game.

Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Ezequiel Tovar’s quickness has dropped off this season. His 28.1 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.44 ft/sec now.

Last season, Ezequiel Tovar had a launch angle of 18° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 14.1°.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

From last season to this one, Gunnar Henderson’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94.7 mph to 91.1 mph.

From last year to this one, Gunnar Henderson’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.1% to 9.6%.

This year, there has been a decline in Gunnar Henderson’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.86 ft/sec last year to 28.32 ft/sec currently.

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