
BAL @ NYY




Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, September 26th
26/09/24 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Yankees Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Yankee Stadium projects as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.
Cedric Mullins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today’s matchup.
Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Gerrit Cole in the 92nd percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.
Tallying 92.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Gerrit Cole falls in the 78th percentile.
David Rackley profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping today.
Projected catcher Austin Wells profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Jordan Westburg has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.
Jordan Westburg has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 6.5% rate last season to 12.5% this season.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.3° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in MLB.
Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Anthony Santander is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#1-worst of all teams on the slate today).
Anthony Santander’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (14.7°) is significantly higher than his 11.7° mark last season.
Gleyber Torres’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Gleyber Torres has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Gleyber Torres will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes in today’s game.
Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Anthony Rizzo will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Anthony Rizzo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 40.4% on the season to 60% in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best field in MLB for right-handed home runs.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Austin Wells has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as MLB’s 4th-best home run batter.
Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.
Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the game.
Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes in today’s game.
Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Ramon Urias has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), grading out in the 80th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year.
Sporting a .331 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ramon Urias is positioned in the 81st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Corbin Burnes in this game.
Jasson Dominguez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Jasson Dominguez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
In the past two weeks, Jasson Dominguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 104.9-mph of late.
In the last two weeks, Gleyber Torres’s 22.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Adley Rutschman pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Adley Rutschman’s launch angle this year (18.7°) is considerably better than his 12.5° angle last season.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Aaron Judge has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 26.5% seasonal rate to 36% in the past two weeks.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the majors.
Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today’s matchup.
Gunnar Henderson has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph to 94.9-mph over the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand today.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Austin Wells will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Ryan O’Hearn has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .325 mark is quite a bit lower than his .349 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The Baltimore Orioles projected lineup projects as the 3rd-best of the day in terms of overall batting skill.
Baltimore Orioles batters jointly rank near the top of baseball this year (3rd-) when assessing their 89.7-mph average exit velocity.
Baltimore’s 14.4° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in baseball this year: #4 overall.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Colton Cowser has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past 7 days.
Ramon Urias’s launch angle this season (12.6°) is significantly higher than his 7.7° angle last season.
Aaron Judge has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 96-mph to 99.7-mph over the last 14 days.
When estimating his home run ability, Anthony Santander ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Anthony Rizzo has been unlucky this year, notching a .277 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .027 disparity.
Austin Wells’s launch angle lately (28° in the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 17.3° seasonal figure.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Giancarlo Stanton has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15.8% rate last season to 20.8% this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Corbin Burnes in the 80th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.
Corbin Burnes has averaged 94.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 88th percentile.
Adley Rutschman, the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Compared to his seasonal average of 18.7°, Adley Rutschman has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.5° figure in the past week’s worth of games.
Over the past 7 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 15.4%.
Posting a 1.36 K/BB rate this year, Ryan O’Hearn has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 96th percentile.
The 2nd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the New York Yankees.
Jordan Westburg’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 14.3% to 18.4%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
The Barrel% of Juan Soto has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 20.1% this season.
Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .248 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Anthony Volpe has compiled a .313 BABIP this year, placing in the 77th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Over the past week, Giancarlo Stanton’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20.8% up to 28.6%.
Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Yankees Series Game 3
Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Yankee Stadium’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.
The weather report projects the 6th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Cedric Mullins will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Cedric Mullins’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 88.9-mph average last season has decreased to 86.9-mph.
Yankee Stadium projects as the #23 venue in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Batting from the same side that Gerrit Cole throws from, Jordan Westburg has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Jordan Westburg pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Cedric Mullins’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
The #8 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Anthony Santander today.
Batting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Gleyber Torres will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rizzo in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.9-mph average last season has fallen off to 90-mph.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.1) may lead us to conclude that Gleyber Torres has been very fortunate this year with his 13.9 actual HR/600.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Austin Wells has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.
Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium’s centerfield fences are the 5th-deepest.
In the last two weeks, Austin Wells’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.
Austin Wells has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 84.5-mph in the last 14 days.
Corbin Burnes will have the handedness advantage over Giancarlo Stanton in today’s matchup.
Giancarlo Stanton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
In terms of plate discipline, Giancarlo Stanton’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 3.79 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 19th percentile.
Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.
Juan Soto has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.1-mph dropping to 91.8-mph over the last two weeks.
Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 14.9% on the season to 7.4% in the past two weeks.
There has been a decrease in Anthony Rizzo’s average exit velocity this season, from 89.9 mph last year to 86.6 mph now, Anthony Rizzo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 17% to 10.9%.
Ramon Urias is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.
Ramon Urias has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.
Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Yankee Stadium profiles as the #22 ballpark in baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Gerrit Cole, Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman today.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Westburg in today’s game.
Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Batting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Anthony Volpe will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Aaron Judge will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.
Gunnar Henderson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Jasson Dominguez has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly recently, compiling a 5.3° angle on such balls in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
This year, Ryan O’Hearn has been pinch hit for in 22% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Gerrit Cole’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 91st percentile among all SPs in the game currently.
The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Colton Cowser hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Colton Cowser will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Batting from the same side that Gerrit Cole throws from, Ramon Urias will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Anthony Santander has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 11.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 5.9% over the last week.
Anthony Santander’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 17.7% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Burnes today.
Over his last 3 GS, Corbin Burnes has experienced a substantial fall off in his fastball velocity: from 94.7 mph over the entire season to 93.5 mph of late.
Corbin Burnes has gone to his cutter 10.9% less often this season (44.5%) than he did last season (55.4%).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Over the past week, Gunnar Henderson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.3% down to 0%.
Despite posting a .472 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has had positive variance on his side given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .428.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Corbin Burnes’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 93rd percentile among all SPs in MLB currently.
Ryan O’Hearn has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
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