Marlins vs Twins match player stats Thursday, September 26th 2024. Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins Series Game 3

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Marlins vs Twins match player stats Thursday, September 26th 2024. Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins Series Game 3

MIA @ MIN

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, September 26th
26/09/24 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs Twins Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

This contest is projected to have the 6th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Carlos Correa will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Carlos Correa has posted a .370 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 95th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his home run ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Target Field grades out as the #5 venue in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Jake Burger has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.6% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past 7 days.

Batting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Griffin Conine will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Griffin Conine has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Connor Norby is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Over the past week, Connor Norby’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.2% up to 26.7%.

Connor Norby has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 86-mph EV.

Connor Norby’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Willi Castro has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 90.9-mph.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage against Valente Bellozo in today’s matchup.

Trevor Larnach may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his home run ability, Royce Lewis ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Royce Lewis is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

With a .337 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Xavier Edwards is ranked in the 85th percentile.

In terms of plate discipline, Xavier Edwards’s skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.62 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 91st percentile.

Griffin Conine’s launch angle recently (27.5° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably better than his 6.2° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Jonah Bride is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Jonah Bride has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.5% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.

Over the last two weeks, Jonah Bride’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 95.1-mph lately.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places David Festa in the 91st percentile among all SPs in MLB.

The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Griffin Conine, Jake Burger, Derek Hill).

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jeremie Rehak) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

David Festa will have the handedness advantage over 6 opposing batters today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and David Festa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Ryan Jeffers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 15.9% on the season to 33.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

Batting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Valente Bellozo’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 11th percentile out of all SPs in the game currently.

The 5th-best projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 8th-best field in MLB for walks.

Valente Bellozo is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue among all parks in today’s game.

Carlos Santana will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

In terms of plate discipline, Carlos Santana’s ability is quite good, posting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 90th percentile.

Over the past 14 days, Otto Lopez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph of late.

Byron Buxton projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Byron Buxton has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Valente Bellozo has a pitch-to-contact profile (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Buxton.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 17.7% on the season to 24.1% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

In terms of his home runs, Willi Castro has experienced some negative variance this year. His 11.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.7.

Carlos Santana’s launch angle in recent games (19.3° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 15.9° seasonal figure.

Carlos Santana has hit 22.6 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 75th percentile for power.

Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs Twins Series Game 3

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF fences in MLB.

Among all major league stadiums, the 5th-highest average fence height are at Target Field.

Hitting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Carlos Correa will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Carlos Correa has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.

Carlos Correa has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph dropping to 85-mph in the last 14 days.

Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Valente Bellozo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Jeffers in today’s matchup.

Ryan Jeffers pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Ryan Jeffers has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph dropping to 83.2-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Nick Fortes is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

This year, Nick Fortes has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

David Festa will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Fortes in today’s game.

David Festa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Burger in today’s matchup.

Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Burger in today’s game.

Jake Burger has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 9th percentile with a 4.65 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 5th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Griffin Conine is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

25% of the time that Griffin Conine has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Griffin Conine hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Griffin Conine will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

David Festa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Norby today.

Connor Norby pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Connor Norby in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Norby’s true offensive skill to be a .305, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .333 wOBA.

Nick Fortes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Willi Castro is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

40% of the time that Trevor Larnach has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

In the past 14 days, Trevor Larnach’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12°.

Valente Bellozo will have the handedness advantage over Royce Lewis today.

Royce Lewis pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 16.9°, Royce Lewis has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.3°) in the last two weeks.

Jesus Sanchez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today’s matchup.

Jesus Sanchez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph dropping to 76.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.2°, Jesus Sanchez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4°) over the past 14 days.

When assessing his home run skill, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against David Festa, Xavier Edwards hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Griffin Conine ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that David Festa throws from, Otto Lopez will have a tough matchup today.

Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

David Festa will have the handedness advantage over Jonah Bride in today’s matchup.

Today, Jonah Bride is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.7% rate (85th percentile).

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonah Bride today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.301) implies that Jonah Bride has experienced some positive variance this year with his .336 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Festa to throw 79 pitches in today’s game (least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Given the 0.83 deviation between David Festa’s 10.80 K/9 and his 9.97 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see worse results the rest of the season.

Ryan Jeffers’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 90.5-mph mark last year has fallen to 86.7-mph.

In terms of power, Willi Castro grades out in the 19th percentile, having hit 11.2 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Valente Bellozo’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (61.7% this year) should work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Minnesota Twins bats as a unit place 22nd- in baseball for power this year when assessing with their 91.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 0th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will bat from his bad side against Valente Bellozo today.

Otto Lopez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Byron Buxton encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Typically, bats like Byron Buxton who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Valente Bellozo.

Byron Buxton’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (16.2°) is a significant dropoff from his 21.4° figure last season.

When assessing his home run skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xavier Edwards’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 86.6-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.5-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xavier Edwards’s true offensive talent to be a .297, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .043 disparity between that figure and his actual .340 wOBA.

Byron Buxton’s launch angle lately (6.5° in the last 7 days) is considerably lower than his 20.1° seasonal angle.

Jesus Sanchez has shown weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 21st percentile with a 3.66 K/BB rate.

Jake Burger has posted a .274 BABIP this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.4°, Carlos Correa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.3°) over the past 14 days.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Valente Bellozo in the 10th percentile among all SPs in the league.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Valente Bellozo to throw 81 pitches today (3rd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Valente Bellozo in today’s game.

Byron Buxton has been lucky this year, notching a .361 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .016 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 9th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Carlos Santana has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 6.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, David Festa’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 76th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game currently.

The Miami Marlins projected lineup profiles as the 4th-weakest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

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