ARI @ BAL






D-Backs @ Orioles Matchup Details
Date : Todays Game is on Monday, April 13th
Time : 13/04/26 18:35:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today
Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
,This game is projected to have the 8th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
,Pete Alonso has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,Gunnar Henderson projects as the 19th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
,Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in the league.
,Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.
,Jorge Barrosa pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Jorge Barrosa and his 16.3° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 79th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.
,Trevor Rogers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Thomas in today’s game.
,Alek Thomas’s launch angle this year (15.5°) is considerably higher than his 4.3° angle last year.
,Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Trevor Rogers in this game.
,Using Statcast metrics, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 85th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB.
,Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
,Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences today.
,Using Statcast data, Ketel Marte grades out in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .366.
,Tim Tawa hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Tim Tawa is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (20.5% rate since the start of last season).
,Leody Taveras will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
,Leody Taveras has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .400 wOBA over the last 7 days.
,Leody Taveras’s 21.4° launch angle (a reliable standard to study a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in baseball: 92nd percentile.
,Jose Fernandez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
,Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today’s game.
,Colton Cowser is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game as none of the available options for the Arizona Diamondbacks share his handedness.
,Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
,Jeremiah Jackson has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,Jeremiah Jackson will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,Jeremiah Jackson has put up a .351 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile.
,Coby Mayo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Coby Mayo ranks in the 94th percentile with a 20.5° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in baseball.
,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Taylor Ward is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Taylor Ward has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,Taylor Ward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
,Adrian Del Castillo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Trevor Rogers will have the handedness advantage over Adrian Del Castillo in today’s game.
,Adrian Del Castillo and his 19.3° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.
,Jeremiah Jackson has notched a .433 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.
,Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
,Hitting from the same side that Trevor Rogers throws from, Corbin Carroll encounters a tough challenge today.
,Corbin Carroll pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 79th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
,Samuel Basallo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.
,Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Samuel Basallo will have an advantage today.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks don’t have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Samuel Basallo is certain to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game.
,Nolan Arenado’s launch angle this season (23°) is quite a bit higher than his 19.1° angle last year.
,Samuel Basallo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dylan Beavers ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Dylan Beavers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.
,Dylan Beavers will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today’s game.
,Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #28 field in Major League Baseball for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Ryne Nelson has utilized his slider 7.5% more often this season (20.1%) than he did last year (12.6%).
,Ryne Nelson’s 95.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 78th percentile among all starters.
,Baltimore has performed as the #26 team in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season, which measures ability to hit the ball to all fields (an important talent for batting average).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 80th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Negatives with the Baltimore Orioles Game Today
Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Pete Alonso meets a tough challenge today.
,Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
,Pete Alonso has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 18.8% rate last season has fallen to 8.8% this year.
,Pete Alonso’s launch angle this year (10.1°) is considerably lower than his 15.3° mark last season.
,Gunnar Henderson’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 92.1-mph figure last season has dropped off to 89.4-mph.
,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Barrosa ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Jorge Barrosa is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.
,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Barrosa in today’s game.
,Using Statcast data, Jorge Barrosa is in the 1st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .167.
,Posting a .144 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jorge Barrosa finds himself in the 3rd percentile.
,Alek Thomas is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Alek Thomas has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will be challenged by the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alek Thomas in today’s matchup.
,Utilizing Statcast data, Alek Thomas ranks in the 10th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .278.
,Alek Thomas’s 90.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo in today’s game.
,Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 20.2% to 7.3%.
,Checking in at the 9th percentile, the hardest ball Geraldo Perdomo has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.2 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.
,The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Trevor Rogers.
,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s game.
,This year, Ketel Marte’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 13.5% last year to just 4.5% this year.
,Ketel Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 93.6-mph EV last year has fallen to 89.6-mph.
,Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 15% to 9.1%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Tawa in the 16th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
,Tim Tawa is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Tim Tawa will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers today.
,Tim Tawa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
,With a .193 wOBA over the last 14 days, Tim Tawa has been struggling at the plate.
,Leody Taveras is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.
,In today’s game, Leody Taveras is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.4% rate (89th percentile).
,Utilizing Statcast data, Leody Taveras is in the 19th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .250.
,Sporting a 6.47 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Leody Taveras has demonstrated weak plate discipline, checking in at the 11th percentile.
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jose Fernandez ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Jose Fernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers today.
,Jose Fernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
,Jose Fernandez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,Colton Cowser is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.
,Colton Cowser has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,Sporting a .290 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Colton Cowser has performed in the 17th percentile for offensive skills.
,Colton Cowser has compiled a .205 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,In notching a .000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jorge Barrosa is ranked in the 0th percentile for power.
,Jeremiah Jackson is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.
,Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage over Jeremiah Jackson in today’s matchup.
,Jeremiah Jackson really struggles to hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (90.7 mph) rate him as one of MLB’s worst: in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.
,Jeremiah Jackson has a high rate of hitting “too-high” (above 38° launch angle) balls, which lead to a lot of easy pop-outs; his 14.4% rate puts him in the 25th percentile among MLB hitters since the start of last season.
,Placing in the 12th percentile, Colton Cowser sports a .280 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
,With a 4.32 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Colton Cowser has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 14th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 18th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 18th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
,Coby Mayo is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.
,Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage against Coby Mayo in today’s game.
,In today’s matchup, Coby Mayo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.3% rate (92nd percentile).
,Ryne Nelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taylor Ward in today’s game.
,Taylor Ward has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 14.1% rate last season has lowered to 0% this year.
,Adrian Del Castillo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
,Adrian Del Castillo has put up a .259 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,With a .201 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Adrian Del Castillo has performed in the 22nd percentile.
,Jeremiah Jackson has shown weak plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile with a 5.2 K/BB rate.
,With a .197 wOBA over the last two weeks, Alek Thomas has been struggling at the plate.
,Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
,From last season to this one, Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.7% to 9.1%.
,Samuel Basallo has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,With a .203 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games, Samuel Basallo has been struggling at the plate.
,Samuel Basallo has recorded a .261 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 25th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Sporting a .236 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Samuel Basallo is positioned in the 20th percentile.
,Nolan Arenado is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Nolan Arenado will have the upper hand today.
,Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
,Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 86.8-mph EV last season has decreased to 83.9-mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,Samuel Basallo has compiled a .194 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Ryne Nelson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,Ryne Nelson has been lucky since the start of last season, compiling a 3.46 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.08 — a 0.62 deviation.
,Ryne Nelson has put up a .224 BABIP since the start of last season, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
,With a .223 wOBA in the last two weeks, Coby Mayo has been struggling at the plate.
,Coby Mayo’s 87-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 11th percentile.
,Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 19.2% to 12.2%.
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