SF @ ARI






Giants @ D-Backs Matchup Details
Date : Todays Game is on Monday, May 18th
Time : 18/05/26 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the San Francisco Giants Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in the league for right-handed batting average.
,Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the upper hand today.
,The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fernandez in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,Jose Fernandez will have the handedness advantage over Robbie Ray in today’s game.
,Jose Fernandez will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
,Willy Adames is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
,Willy Adames has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.9-mph average.
,Willy Adames’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 41.7% to 48.4%.
,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
,Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.
,Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
,Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
,The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
,Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Luis Arraez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,Luis Arraez will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
,In the past 7 days, Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.3-mph over the course of the season to 93.4-mph lately.
,Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
,Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
,Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Ryan Waldschmidt will have an advantage today.
,Ryan Waldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Despite posting a .266 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Chapman has suffered from bad luck given the .063 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.
,Harrison Bader has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 97.7-mph in the last 7 days.
,Harrison Bader’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 15.9% on the season to 25% over the past week.
,Harrison Bader has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 26.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Willy Adames has been unlucky given the .049 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.
,Willy Adames and his 24° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 100th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.
,Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Drew Gilbert will have an advantage in today’s game.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Drew Gilbert has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 15°, Drew Gilbert has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 21.4° angle over the last two weeks.
,Ildemaro Vargas is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Robbie Ray.
,Extreme flyball batters like Ildemaro Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.
,When estimating his home run skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.
,Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand today.
,Rafael Devers is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
,Daniel Susac’s BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,When assessing his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Over the past 7 days, Harrison Bader’s 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%.
,Harrison Bader has notched a .335 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile.
,Jung Hoo Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
,Jung Hoo Lee will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.
,Jung Hoo Lee has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
,Jung Hoo Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 47.8% to 54.4%.
,Ildemaro Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
,In the past week, Ildemaro Vargas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 93.1-mph in recent games.
,Gabriel Moreno’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have an edge today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 79th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
,Casey Schmitt is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
,Casey Schmitt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15.5% to 21.2%.
,Casey Schmitt has compiled a .384 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
,Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Robbie Ray in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
,Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Nolan Arenado has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 84.5-mph average.
,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Zac Gallen will hold that advantage today.
,Zac Gallen has used his slider 17.4% more often this year (24.6%) than he did last season (7.2%).
,Given the 1.92 gap between Zac Gallen’s 6.07 K/9 and his 7.99 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see positive regression in future games.
,Ryan Waldschmidt has been hot of late, posting a a 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) over the past 14 days.
,Over the past two weeks, Ryan Waldschmidt’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 43.8% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Over the last 7 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.8%.
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Gabriel Moreno’s launch angle this year (18.2°) is a considerable increase over his 14.4° angle last season.
,Over the past 7 days, Rafael Devers’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Robbie Ray in the 92nd percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.
,Robbie Ray has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 5.9 more adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.
,Robbie Ray’s slider usage has risen by 5.8% from last season to this one (22.9% to 28.7%) .
,Robbie Ray has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 8.76 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.07 — a 1.3 K/9 deviation.
,Corbin Carroll will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
,Corbin Carroll has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 92.5-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
,Ketel Marte will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ketel Marte’s true offensive skill to be a .357, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .078 disparity between that figure and his actual .279 wOBA.
,It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the San Francisco Giants offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 8°, Matt Chapman has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 31° figure in the last 7 days.
,Jung Hoo Lee’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 10.9°, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.8° mark in the past week.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s true offensive talent to be a .312, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .058 disparity between that mark and his actual .254 wOBA.
,Geraldo Perdomo’s launch angle recently (16.5° in the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 11.6° seasonal figure.
,By putting up a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 85th percentile for offensive skills.
,In terms of plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo’s talent is quite strong, putting up a 0.89 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 98th percentile.
,In the last two weeks, Luis Arraez’s 22.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.
,With a .555 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Casey Schmitt is positioned in the 95th percentile.
Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in the majors.
,Among all major league parks, the 10th-highest fence height (on average) are at Chase Field.
,Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast expects the least humidity on the slate at 16%.
,Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 17.3% to 12.1%.
,Jose Fernandez is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.
,Jose Fernandez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph dropping to 83.9-mph over the past 7 days.
,Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Willy Adames meets a tough challenge today.
,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willy Adames today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 22nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
,Geraldo Perdomo has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph dropping to 81.4-mph in the past week.
,Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 20.2% to 9.7%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
,Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Nolan Arenado’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.
,Ryan Waldschmidt is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.
,Ryan Waldschmidt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
,Extreme groundball bats like Ryan Waldschmidt tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.
,Matt Chapman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.
,Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Matt Chapman has a tough challenge today.
,In today’s matchup, Matt Chapman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.3% rate (85th percentile).
,Harrison Bader is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 5th-worst park in baseball for righty home runs.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Gilbert in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
,Drew Gilbert is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Ildemaro Vargas’s BABIP talent is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Despite posting a .392 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ildemaro Vargas has been lucky given the .115 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .277.
,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 11th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .228.
,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Rafael Devers in today’s matchup.
,Rafael Devers’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 96.3-mph figure last season has dropped off to 90.9-mph.
,Daniel Susac is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Daniel Susac has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
,Daniel Susac will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,Despite posting a .332 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Arraez has been very fortunate given the .027 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.
,Luis Arraez’s 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 0th percentile this year.
,When assessing his home run talent, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Willy Adames’s launch angle recently (7.2° over the last week) is quite a bit worse than his 22.3° seasonal figure.
,Zac Gallen will have the handedness advantage against Harrison Bader in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 5th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
,Jung Hoo Lee will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
,Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
,Gabriel Moreno has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Over the last week, Gabriel Moreno’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 91.6 mph to 89.3 mph.
,Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Schmitt in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Casey Schmitt in today’s matchup.
,Harrison Bader will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
,Ketel Marte has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph dropping to 87.8-mph in the past two weeks.
,Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 15% to 9.2%.
,Batting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Corbin Carroll will not have the upper hand today.
,Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,Corbin Carroll’s launch angle this year (12.9°) is considerably worse than his 16.8° mark last season.
,Posting a .289 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has performed in the 22nd percentile.
,Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 9.2% on the season to 5.6% in the past 14 days.
,Chase Field profiles as the #25 venue in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,In his last game started, Zac Gallen struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.
,Zac Gallen has posted an 8.3% Swinging Strike rate this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.
,Checking in at the 14th percentile, Zac Gallen has compiled a 15.9% Strikeout% this year.
,Over the last 7 days, Rafael Devers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 90.9 mph to 88.7 mph.
,When assessing his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,In the last week’s worth of games, Casey Schmitt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.6% down to 0%.
,The #5 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
,Drew Gilbert will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 17.8% underlying K%.
,With 8 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Robbie Ray has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
,Robbie Ray will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fernandez in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in MLB for home runs.
,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 87.6 mph to 83 mph.
,Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.2°, Jung Hoo Lee has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.1°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
,There has been a decrease in Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity this year, from 86.8 mph last year to 84.5 mph now,Ryan Waldschmidt has been cold recently, posting a 82.8-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks.
,Recording 14.3 outs per game per started this year on average, Zac Gallen falls in the 22nd percentile.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,With a 1.99 difference between Robbie Ray’s 3.04 ERA and his 5.03 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and should see negative regression in future games.
,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Chapman in today’s game.
,Jose Fernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 42.2% on the season to 25% in the last two weeks.
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