White Sox @ Mariners Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago White Sox Game Today

In MLB, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.

,Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Cole Young will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,In the past 7 days, Cole Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph in recent games.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cole Young ranks in the 83rd percentile with a 17.9° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,J.P. Crawford has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,J.P. Crawford has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last year’s 89.7-mph figure.

,Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.

,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Leo Rivas will get to bat from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Noah Schultz) in today’s game.

,Leo Rivas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Despite posting a .213 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Leo Rivas has been unlucky given the .075 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .288.

,Compared to last season, Cole Young has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.2% to 44.6% this season.

,Tristan Peters will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today’s game… and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split.

,The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tristan Peters can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,Tristan Peters pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

,Connor Joe has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Connor Joe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Schultz today… and the cherry on top, Schultz has a large platoon split.

,Connor Joe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Samuel Antonacci’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Samuel Antonacci is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Given Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Samuel Antonacci will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Samuel Antonacci can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,Samuel Antonacci has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The switch-hitting Drew Romo will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Bryan Woo… and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.

,Drew Romo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,The standard deviation of Drew Romo’s launch angle has been very consistent recently (39.5° in the last two weeks’ worth of games), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage over Noah Schultz today… and even more favorably, Schultz has a large platoon split.

,Rob Refsnyder will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage against Noah Schultz today… and moreover, Schultz has a large platoon split.

,T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 field in the league for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Among all starting pitchers, Noah Schultz’s fastball spin rate of 2506 rpm grades out in the 91st percentile this year.

,In notching a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, J.P. Crawford is ranked in the 79th percentile for hitting ability.

,Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Josh Naylor has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.3-mph figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Mitch Garver will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Schultz in today’s game… and even better, Schultz has a large platoon split.

,Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Mitch Garver will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Given Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Colson Montgomery will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,Colson Montgomery is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Because of Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Andrew Benintendi will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,Andrew Benintendi pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,In the past week, Andrew Benintendi’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.9% up to 22.2%.

,Given Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Jarred Kelenic will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarred Kelenic stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,In the last 7 days, Jarred Kelenic’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 23.1% up to 37.5%.

,Drew Romo has been hot in recent games, tallying a .378 wOBA over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Josh Naylor has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season’s 90.3-mph EV.

,Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Chase Meidroth has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Chase Meidroth has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 89.8-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Julio Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Noah Schultz today… and even more favorably, Schultz has a large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as Major League Baseball’s 2nd-best home run hitter.

,Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Munetaka Murakami will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today… and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split.

,The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Munetaka Murakami can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

,Seattle’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Miguel Vargas, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 10th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average ability.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Munetaka Murakami ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Munetaka Murakami pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Mitch Garver, the Mariners’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Due to his large platoon split, Bryan Woo has a tough challenge facing 7 batters in the projected batting order of the opposite hand in today’s matchup.

,Bryan Woo has tallied 17.7 outs per start this year, placing in the 85th percentile.

,Leo Rivas is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.5% rate since the start of last season).

,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #3 field in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Chase Meidroth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 12.5% on the season to 16.7% in the past week.

,The standard deviation of Tristan Peters’s launch angle has been very consistent recently (36.3° over the past week), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

,Miguel Vargas has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 9.6% rate last season to 15.2% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryan Woo in the 75th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

,The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Colson Montgomery, Jarred Kelenic, Munetaka Murakami).

Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Game Today

Cole Young is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

,According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate today.

,Noah Schultz will have the handedness advantage against Cole Young in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Schultz’s large platoon split.

,Cole Young’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 14.9% on the season to 7.1% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,Noah Schultz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.P. Crawford in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Schultz’s large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Rivas in the 12th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Leo Rivas is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Peters in the 14th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Tristan Peters is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Tristan Peters has been pinch hit for 26% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,11% of the time that Samuel Antonacci has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,T-Mobile Park grades out as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Samuel Antonacci in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Drew Romo ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Drew Romo is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in the game for RHB batting average.

,Rob Refsnyder has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 12.9% rate last season has dropped to 7.7% this season.

,Randy Arozarena has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.6% rate last season has lowered to 5.7% this season.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this year (6.5°) is considerably worse than his 13.4° mark last season.

,Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 14.5% on the season to 8.8% over the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena’s true offensive talent to be a .339, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .032 difference between that mark and his actual .371 wOBA.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Noah Schultz is projected to throw 84 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Drew Romo (the White Sox’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

,The shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in T-Mobile Park.

,Due to his large platoon split, Noah Schultz will not have the upper hand matching up with 6 hitters in the projected offense who bat from the other side in this outing.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Rivas in the 14th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,By putting up a 4.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Leo Rivas is positioned in the 13th percentile for power.

,Since the start of last season, Leo Rivas’s 2.3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 17th percentile among his peers.

,Noah Schultz will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Naylor in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Schultz’s large platoon split.

,Josh Naylor’s launch angle in recent games (8.1° over the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 14.7° seasonal angle.

,Mitch Garver is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Mitch Garver’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 96-mph EV last year has dropped off to 92.5-mph.

,Mitch Garver’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 13.8% to 6.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Colson Montgomery today.

,Colson Montgomery has been lucky this year, notching a .366 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .317 — a .049 difference.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,22% of the time that Andrew Benintendi has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Andrew Benintendi will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Jarred Kelenic is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Jarred Kelenic has been pulled from the game early 28% of the time.

,Drew Romo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Josh Naylor’s BABIP skill is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bryan Woo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Vargas in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

,Miguel Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Vargas’s true offensive talent to be a .349, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .027 gap between that figure and his actual .376 wOBA.

,Rob Refsnyder’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 92-mph mark last year has fallen to 87.1-mph.

,When assessing his home run talent, Chase Meidroth ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Given Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Chase Meidroth will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

,Julio Rodriguez’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 91.9-mph mark last season has dropped off to 89.7-mph.

,When estimating his home run ability, Samuel Antonacci ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Munetaka Murakami has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 95-mph dropping to 92.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,J.P. Crawford’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 88-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 85.6-mph over the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryan Woo in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

,The Chicago White Sox have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Bryan Woo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Noah Schultz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Noah Schultz’s fastball velocity over his last 3 outings (93.6 mph) has been quite a bit worse than than his seasonal rate (94.8 mph).

,Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 38.5% on the season to 18.8% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Colson Montgomery’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Chase Meidroth will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Peters in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jarred Kelenic in today’s matchup.

,In notching a .248 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jarred Kelenic finds himself in the 18th percentile for offensive ability.

,Munetaka Murakami’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 19.8% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

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