
LAD @ STL



Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, June 7th
07/06/25 14:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Dodgers vs Cardinals Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Victor Scott II will have an edge in today’s game.
Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage today.
Victor Scott II has posted a .334 BABIP this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Arenado tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Nolan Arenado has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year’s 89.2-mph mark.
Nolan Arenado’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (26.1° in the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 13° seasonal mark.
Erick Fedde has averaged 95.4 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.
Projected catcher Pedro Pages profiles as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Erick Fedde will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Erick Fedde has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 5.80 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.48 — a 1.69 K/9 deviation.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 2nd-worst venue in the league for home runs.
In the league, Busch Stadium’s RF fences are the 2nd-deepest.
Erick Fedde has compiled a 1.61 K/BB rate this year, grading out in the 9th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.
Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today’s game.
Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Pedro Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Batting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today’s game.
Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Brendan Donovan’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brendan Donovan is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Brendan Donovan will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Masyn Winn has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last season’s 88-mph EV.
Negative Match Player Stats with Dodgers vs Cardinals Series Game 2
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 22nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Victor Scott II has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Victor Scott II’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 86.6-mph seasonal average has fallen to 80.4-mph in the last 7 days.
Victor Scott II’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91-mph figure last season has fallen to 88.3-mph.
As it relates to his home run talent, Victor Scott II ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The #5 park in MLB for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.
Busch Stadium projects as the #25 field in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Batting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Willson Contreras will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
Willson Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 14.3% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.
Hitting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Nolan Arenado has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 45% to 35.3%.
Busch Stadium grades out as the #25 park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Erick Fedde didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his last start and accumulated 2 Ks.
Erick Fedde’s cutter usage has decreased by 7.9% from last season to this one (32.3% to 24.4%) .
Erick Fedde’s 2065-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 13th percentile out of all starters.
Erick Fedde has put up a 7.2% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 8th percentile.
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order profiles as the strongest of the day in terms of overall hitting skill.
In his previous game started, Erick Fedde was in good form and conceded 1 ER.
Lars Nootbaar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 10.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 25th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Hitting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Pedro Pages will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Pedro Pages has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.
Pedro Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.7-mph average last season has dropped off to 88-mph.
From last season to this one, Pedro Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.5% to 35%.
Alec Burleson has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 14.1% to 10.7%.
As it relates to his batting average, Alec Burleson has been very fortunate this year. His .290 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.
Brendan Donovan has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
Brendan Donovan has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.
In the past 14 days, Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 89.9 mph to 77.3 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brendan Donovan’s true offensive talent to be a .336, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .025 deviation between that mark and his actual .361 wOBA.
Long-balls are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in MLB.
Batting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Masyn Winn faces a tough challenge today.
Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 90.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 85.1-mph over the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn’s true offensive talent to be a .307, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .031 deviation between that mark and his actual .338 wOBA.
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