Padres vs Brewers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, June 7th

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Padres vs Brewers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, June 7th

SD @ MIL

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, June 7th
07/06/25 19:35:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Brewers Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

American Family Field has the 7th-shortest fences in the majors.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Joey Ortiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Despite posting a .227 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Ortiz has been unlucky given the .073 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

Jackson Chourio’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jackson Chourio will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 18th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 45.7% to 54.2%.

Caleb Durbin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Caleb Durbin will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.6) suggests that Caleb Durbin has been unlucky this year with his 3.9 actual HR/600.

Caleb Durbin has displayed strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 87th percentile with a 1.46 K/BB rate.

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jacob Metz) behind the plate today.

American Family Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in the majors for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given that groundball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over groundball batters, Stephen Kolek and his 50.1% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position in today’s game going up against 4 opposing GB batters.

Generating 18.2 outs per game per started this year on average, Stephen Kolek places in the 92nd percentile.

The #2 park in MLB for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Jose Quintana’s 89.7-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1-mph drop off from last year’s 90.7-mph mark.

Jose Quintana’s sinker utilization has risen by 15.1% from last season to this one (30.4% to 45.5%) .

Among all starting pitchers, Jose Quintana’s fastball spin rate of 2072 rpm grades out in the 13th percentile since the start of last season.

Recording 91.7 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Jose Quintana ranks in the 75th percentile.

Elias Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today.

There has been a significant improvement in Elias Diaz’s launch angle from last year’s 7.3° to 18° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Manny Machado will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

In the past week, Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.9-mph in recent games.

As it relates to his batting average, Jake Cronenworth has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .242 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .275.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Quintana in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.2-mph over the course of the season to 87.4-mph lately.

Luis Arraez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 49.8% on the season to 60.9% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and William Contreras will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

This season, Gavin Sheets has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.9 mph compared to last year’s 90.8 mph mark.

Gavin Sheets has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.9-mph.

By putting up a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Gavin Sheets grades out in the 78th percentile.

Brice Turang is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today’s game.

Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage today.

Isaac Collins has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph to 91.1-mph over the last two weeks.

In the past two weeks, Isaac Collins’s 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Brandon Lockridge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today’s matchup.

Brandon Lockridge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.9 ft/sec this year, Brandon Lockridge is notably quick.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Brewers Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 6th-worst park in MLB for run-scoring.

This matchup is predicted to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Extreme groundball bats like Sal Frelick usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of every team playing today.

The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

In the last 14 days, Sal Frelick’s 4.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.9%.

Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Joey Ortiz has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.

Stephen Kolek will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Ortiz today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 3rd-worst venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.

Hitting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage today.

Jackson Chourio’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 87.1-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 84.9-mph over the past 14 days.

Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Caleb Durbin is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Stephen Kolek will hold the platoon advantage over Caleb Durbin in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Stephen Kolek in the 13th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 20.6% underlying K%.

Stephen Kolek will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Stephen Kolek’s high usage rate of his fastball (53.8% this year) is likely harming his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

In the league, American Family Field’s CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

Stephen Kolek has notched a 6.9% Swinging Strike percentage this year, placing in the 4th percentile.

Given that flyball pitchers hold a sizeable edge over flyball hitters, Jose Quintana and his 44.7% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in this game facing 2 opposing FB hitters.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Jose Quintana in the 19th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

The San Diego Padres (19.1 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of all teams on the slate.

In his previous start, Jose Quintana didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Elias Diaz is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph dropping to 90.7-mph in the last week.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 97 mph to 94 mph.

Jose Quintana will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run ability, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, William Contreras will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like William Contreras tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

Typically, hitters like Christian Yelich who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Stephen Kolek.

Christian Yelich’s launch angle this year (1.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 5.1° figure last season.

Gavin Sheets’s BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Gavin Sheets encounters a tough challenge today.

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 9th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Over the last week, Brice Turang’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

Isaac Collins is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Isaac Collins will bat from his weak side against Stephen Kolek in today’s matchup.

Isaac Collins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Brandon Lockridge is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Extreme groundball batters like Brandon Lockridge are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Quintana.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 6th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

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